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USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007.

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Presentation on theme: "USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service AUGUST CROP REPORT Presented at the Midwest, Great Plains, and Western Outlook Conference August 14, 2007 Indianapolis, IN Jeff Geuder Chief, Crops Branch USDA/NASS

2 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

3

4 CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC+ 18.6 HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC+ 20.9 YieldBu/Ac152.8--+ 2.5 ProductionBil Bu13.1--+ 23.9 U.S CORN PRODUCTION

5 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC+ 18.6 HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC+ 20.9 YieldBu/Ac152.8--+ 2.5 ProductionBil Bu13.1--+ 23.9 U.S CORN PRODUCTION No change from June Up from ‘06

6 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Corn: PlantedMil Ac92.9NC+ 18.6 HarvestedMil Ac85.4NC+ 20.9 YieldBu/Ac152.8--+ 2.5 ProductionBil Bu13.1--+ 23.9 U.S CORN PRODUCTION 2 nd highest yield on record Record production

7 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 11% above previous record 24% above last year

8 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 2 nd highest behind 160.4 in 2004 152.8

9 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Very high ear count Recent trend

10 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service August 2007 Corn Objective Yield Sample Distribution Maturity Code  2: Pre-blister  3: Blister  4: Milk  5: Dough  6: Dent Dent

11 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Better vegetative condition vs. 2006

12 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Increased yield in some major States

13 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Decreased yield in some minor States

14 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Record yield in some States

15 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 12.909 13.054

16 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC- 15.1 HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC- 15.2 YieldBu/Ac41.5--- 2.8 ProductionBil Bu2.63--- 17.7 U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

17 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC- 15.1 HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC- 15.2 YieldBu/Ac41.5--- 2.8 ProductionBil Bu2.63--- 17.7 U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION No change from June Down from ‘06

18 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Soybeans: PlantedMil Ac64.1NC- 15.1 HarvestedMil Ac63.3NC- 15.2 YieldBu/Ac41.5--- 2.8 ProductionBil Bu2.63--- 17.7 U.S SOYBEAN PRODUCTION Yield down 1.2 bu. from ‘06 Production down from last year’s record

19 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Lowest since 2003

20 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service Down 1.2 bu from ‘06 Still 4 th highest yield 41.5

21 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service August 2007 Soybean Objective Yield Sample Distribution Maturity Code  2: Pods set, leaves green  3: Pods filled, leaves yellow

22 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

23 Small decreases in some major States

24 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 2.653 2.625

25 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac37.2- 1.1+ 19.5 YieldBu/Ac41.3- 0.7- 1.0 ProductionBil Bu1.54- 1.6+ 18.4 Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac39.3+ 0.5+ 18.4 ProductionMil Bu500+ 0.5+ 8.6 Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC+ 19.2 YieldBu/Ac35.5- 2.5+ 20.3 ProductionMil Bu76.7- 2.6+ 43.4 All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu2.11- 1.1+ 16.7 U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Harvested acres reduced – flooding at harvest time Production up from last year’s drought

26 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

27 1.554 1.537

28 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac37.2- 1.1+ 19.5 YieldBu/Ac41.3- 0.7- 1.0 ProductionBil Bu1.54- 1.6+ 18.4 Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac39.3+ 0.5+ 18.4 ProductionMil Bu500+ 0.5+ 8.6 Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC+ 19.2 YieldBu/Ac35.5- 2.5+ 20.3 ProductionMil Bu76.7- 2.6+ 43.4 All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu2.11- 1.1+ 16.7 U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION 6.1 bushel increase from last year

29 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac37.2- 1.1+ 19.5 YieldBu/Ac41.3- 0.7- 1.0 ProductionBil Bu1.54- 1.6+ 18.4 Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac39.3+ 0.5+ 18.4 ProductionMil Bu500+ 0.5+ 8.6 Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC+ 19.2 YieldBu/Ac35.5- 2.5+ 20.3 ProductionMil Bu76.7- 2.6+ 43.4 All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu2.11- 1.1+ 16.7 U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Above last year but below 8 of previous 10 seasons

30 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service

31 Hot, dry in July

32 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season Winter Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac37.2- 1.1+ 19.5 YieldBu/Ac41.3- 0.7- 1.0 ProductionBil Bu1.54- 1.6+ 18.4 Other Spring: HarvestedMil Ac12.7NC- 8.3 YieldBu/Ac39.3+ 0.5+ 18.4 ProductionMil Bu500+ 0.5+ 8.6 Durum Wheat: HarvestedMil Ac2.16NC+ 19.2 YieldBu/Ac35.5- 2.5+ 20.3 ProductionMil Bu76.7- 2.6+ 43.4 All Wheat: ProductionBil Bu2.11- 1.1+ 16.7 U.S. WHEAT PRODUCTION Above last year but lowest since 1993

33 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 76.7

34 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service 2.129 2.114

35 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season OatsMil Bu98.3- 2.6+ 4.9 BarleyMil Bu223- 3.3+ 24.0 SorghumMil Bu475--+ 71.1 Alfalfa HayMil Tons69.9--- 2.5 Other HayMil Tons75.3--+ 7.6 U.S. PRODUCTION

36 USDA / National Agricultural Statistics Service CropUnitAug ‘07 % Chg from Prev Forecast % Chg from Prev Season RiceMil Cwt190--- 1.7 PeanutsBil Lbs3.37--- 3.0 Dry BeansMil Cwt23.7--- 2.1 All TobaccoMil Lbs775--+ 6.6 SugarbeetsMil Tons29.8--- 12.5 SugarcaneMil Tons31.5--+ 6.5 U.S. PRODUCTION

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