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“When taking multiple choice tests, it is sometimes the case that one answer seems correct at first, but upon further reflection another answer seems correct. As a general rule is it better to stick with your initial ‘first instinct’ -- or change your answer if another choice seems better? In other words, which answer is probably more likely to be correct?” Kruger, Wirtz, & Miller, 2005, p. 726
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Right to WrongWrong to RightWrong to Wrong Adapted from Kruger et al., 2005, p. 727
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Which would you regret most? Switching when I should have stuck Sticking when I should have switched Neither Adapted from Kruger et al., 2005, p. 728
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Selective Memories SWITCHING: students reported the outcome of going against their first instinct as being worse than it actually was (as measured by their actual scores) STICKING: students reported the outcome of sticking with their first instinct as being better than it actually was
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SWITCHING and being wrong Perceived as more negative When this happens, you remember it more Confirming your belief in the first instinct fallacy When you switch, you are: right no longer right still wrong
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