1. Updated Louisiana 2018 Employment Occupational Forecast Louisiana Workforce Commission Division of Economic Development Louisiana State University

2. Methodology Baseline statistical model using the MicroMatrix software and historical data (846 regional industry forecasts) Review statistical industry forecasts Economic causes of trends Contact Louisiana driver firms and incorporate their comments Incorporate economic development projects and major announcements as of 4/12/2010 – Input from Regional Business Meetings Move from industries to occupation using staffing patterns Review occupational forecasts

3. Input from Regional Meetings 9 economic development representatives 7 education/training providers 4 industry associations Additional input from 4 “driver firms” (145 of 153) 12 additional employers

4. Input from Regional Meetings 97 industry forecasts with positive feedback 31 recommended changes to industry forecasts 12 changes were made to industry forecasts 33 new contacts this year with 13 from regional business meetings

5. Implied Annual Growth Rates by RLMA PreliminaryApril 2010 Historical Data StatisticalAdjusted Forecast 1990-20041994-20041998-2008 1: New Orleans0.2%0.3%0.7%0.6%-1.5% 2: Baton Rouge0.8%1.1%2.1%1.5% 3: Houma1.3%1.5%2.5%2.6%2.0% 4: Lafayette0.9%1.2%1.7%1.3%1.0% 5: Lake Charles0.3%0.7%1.7%1.3%0.5% 6: Alexandria0.6% 1.9%1.2% 7: Shreveport0.5%0.7%1.6%1.0%0.8% 8: Monroe0.6%0.9%1.8%0.9%0.0% Statewide 0.6%0.8%1.5%1.1%0.3%

6. Implied Annual Growth Rates by Industry PreliminaryApril 2010 Historical Data StatisticalAdjusted Industry SectorForecast 1994-20041998-2008 11: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting-2.1%-2.0%-1.7%-2.0% 21: Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction0.1%0.7%-0.5%-0.3% 22: Utilities-1.0%-0.3%-2.2%0.1% 23: Construction0.4%-0.2%1.1%0.6% 31-33: Other Manufacturing-0.2% -1.5%-1.9% 324: Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing-0.6%-0.2%-1.8%-0.1% 325: Chemical Manufacturing-1.7%0.1%-2.1%-2.3% 42: Wholesale Trade0.4%0.6% -0.4% 44-45: Retail Trade-0.1%0.4%0.5%-0.1% 48-49: Transportation and Warehousing0.6%0.7%1.0%0.5% 51: Information0.7%0.4%2.0%0.6% 52: Finance and Insurance0.6%0.7%1.6%-0.1%

7. Implied Annual Growth Rates by Industry PreliminaryRevised Historical Data StatisticalAdjusted Industry SectorForecast 1994-20041998-2008 53: Real Estate and Rental and Leasing0.9%0.7%2.1%-0.2% 54: Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services1.6%1.3%2.7%2.8% 55: Management of Companies and Enterprises-0.8%0.3%0.1%1.1% 56: Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 0.6%0.8%2.6%1.5% 61: Educational Services0.9% 1.2%0.2% 62: Health Care and Social Assistance1.7%2.0%1.7%1.4% 71: Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation-0.7%0.3%3.8%-1.3% 72: Accommodation and Food Services0.7%1.6%2.9%1.1% 81: Other Services (except Public Administration)0.9% 1.3%-0.5% 91: Federal Government0.7%1.3%-1.0%1.4% 92: State Government0.3%0.5%0.3%-0.2% 93: Local Government0.4%0.8%2.1%0.9%

8. Staffing Patterns Occupation Industry HospitalsPhysicians Registered Nurses Clinical Laboratory Technicians Accountants

9. Staffing Patterns

10. Top Demand Occupations Occupational Title 2008 Occupational Employment Estimate Annual Growth Annual Replacement Total Annual Demand Cashiers65,83003,130 Retail Salespersons60,7006601,8702,530 Waiters and Waitresses33,3605301,8102,340 Food Preparation Workers31,3506501,0901,740 Registered Nurses40,0901,0006601,660 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 47,45001,520 Customer Service Representatives 24,3905706801,250 Office Clerks, General35,450310650960 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 27,100360590950

11. Top Occupations >$30,000 Occupational Title 2008 Occupational Employment Estimate Total Annual Demand 2010 Statewide Annual Average Wage 2010 Statewide Hourly Average Wage Registered Nurses40,0901,660$60,721$29.19 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 27,100950$44,622NA General and Operations Managers35,370850$97,474$46.86 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 29,630780$34,002$16.35 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 19,470730$37,564$18.06 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 28,880710$31,615$15.20 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer27,250690$35,203$16.92 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 22,580660$52,664$25.32 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 24,190540$40,655$19.55

12. Summary Recommended changes raise statewide employment growth forecast from 0.6% annually to 0.8%. This compares to annual growth rates of –1.0% nationally for 2008-2018 –1.1% statewide for 1994-2004 –1.7% statewide for 2006-2016 June 29, 2010