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U.S. and World Cotton Economic Outlook March 2010 Prepared by: Economic Services National Cotton Council
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Macroeconomic Environment
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Real GDP Growth in Selected Countries
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U.S. Cotton Supply
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December Cotton Futures Cents per Pound
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December Corn Futures Cents per Bushel
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November Soybean Futures Cents per Bushel
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Southeast1,891 2,123 12.2 Mid-South 1,627 1,764 8.4 Southwest5,243 5,718 9.1 West247 312 26.6 ALL UPLAND 9,008 9,916 10.1 ALL ELS142 176 24.4 ALL COTTON9,149 10,093 10.3 Southeast1,891 2,123 12.2 Mid-South 1,627 1,764 8.4 Southwest5,243 5,718 9.1 West247 312 26.6 ALL UPLAND 9,008 9,916 10.1 ALL ELS142 176 24.4 ALL COTTON9,149 10,093 10.3 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Acres *2010 NCC Planting Intentions Survey *2010 NCC Planting Intentions Survey
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Southeast765 859 12.2 Mid-South 658 714 8.4 Southwest2,122 2,314 9.1 West100 126 26.6 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,013 10.1 ALL ELS57 71 24.4 ALL COTTON3,703 4,085 10.3 Southeast765 859 12.2 Mid-South 658 714 8.4 Southwest2,122 2,314 9.1 West100 126 26.6 ALL UPLAND 3,645 4,013 10.1 ALL ELS57 71 24.4 ALL COTTON3,703 4,085 10.3 2010 U.S. Cotton Plantings 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change 20092010% Actual Estimated* Change Actual Estimated* Change Thousand Hectares *2010 NCC Planting Intentions Survey *2010 NCC Planting Intentions Survey
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U.S. Cotton Production *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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U.S. Cotton Supply *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections with stocks adjusted to reflect March WASDE
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U.S. Cotton Demand
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Net Domestic Fiber Consumption
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Cotton’s Share of Fiber Consumption
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Components of Retail Cotton Consumption
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U.S. Cotton Textile Imports
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U.S. Cotton Content in Textile Imports
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U.S. Trade With Mexico
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U.S. Trade with CBI
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U.S. Imports from China
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Calendar Year, Million Bales)
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U.S. Cotton Mill Use (Crop Year, Million Bales) *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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U.S. Cotton Production & Use *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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The World Market & U.S. Cotton Exports
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China Cotton Supply & Use
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World Cotton Production *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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World Fiber Mill Use *PCI
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Fiber Prices
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World Cotton Mill Use *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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Foreign Cotton Production & Use
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U.S. Cotton Exports *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections
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World Cotton Ending Stocks
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Cotton Stocks/Use (World less China)
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Bales Beginning Stocks6.343.20 Production12.4016.00 Imports0.010.00 Total Supply18.7419.20 Mill Use3.503.40 Exports12.0012.60 Total Offtake15.5016.00 Ending Stocks3.203.20 Stocks-to-Use Ratio20.6%20.0% 2009/10e*2010/11p* *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections with stocks adjusted to reflect March WASDE
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U.S. Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons Beginning Stocks1.380.70 Production2.703.49 Imports0.000.00 Total Supply4.084.18 Mill Use0.760.74 Exports2.612.75 Total Offtake3.383.49 Ending Stocks0.700.70 Stocks-to-Use Ratio20.6%20.0% 2009/10e*2010/11p* *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections with stocks adjusted to reflect March WASDE
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Beginning Stocks62.4251.41 Production102.24113.50 Imports34.3937.00 Mill Use115.70118.50 Exports34.4037.00 Ending Stocks51.4148.91 Stocks-to-Use Ratio44.4%41.3% Beginning Stocks62.4251.41 Production102.24113.50 Imports34.3937.00 Mill Use115.70118.50 Exports34.4037.00 Ending Stocks51.4148.91 Stocks-to-Use Ratio44.4%41.3% World Supply and Demand Million Bales 2009/10e*2010/11p* *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections with stocks adjusted to reflect March WASDE
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Beginning Stocks13.6011.20 Production22.2724.73 Imports7.498.06 Mill Use25.2125.82 Exports7.498.06 Ending Stocks11.2010.66 Stocks-to-Use Ratio44.4%41.3% Beginning Stocks13.6011.20 Production22.2724.73 Imports7.498.06 Mill Use25.2125.82 Exports7.498.06 Ending Stocks11.2010.66 Stocks-to-Use Ratio44.4%41.3% World Supply and Demand Million Metric Tons 2009/10e*2010/11p* *e = USDA estimates, p = USDA 2010 Ag Outlook projections with stocks adjusted to reflect March WASDE
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Merchants Ginners Cottonseed Producers Cooperatives Warehouses Manufacturers
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