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ECON – Speak Financial Markets Income: A flow of compensation over time Wealth: A stock of assets at a given time: Financial Assets minus Financial Liabilities Money: A financial asset (a stock variable) used for transactions. Money equals Currency plus Checkable Deposits Investment: The purchase of new capital goods
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The Demand for Money Money: Used for transactions (currency and checkable deposits) Bonds: Cannot be used for transactions and pays a positive interest rate (i) Two financial assets to choose from The demand for money (M d ) depends on: The level of transactions, proportional to nominal income ($Y)The level of transactions, proportional to nominal income ($Y) The interest rate on bonds (i)The interest rate on bonds (i)
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The Demand for Money Demand for money M d = $YL(i) (-) M d = $YL(i) (-) The liquidity demand for Money, a function of i Nominal income (-) M d is inversely related to i
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M d ($Y) The Demand for Money Money, M Interest Rate, i M i a c M1M1 i1i1 b i2i2 M d and i are inversely related Given $Y at i, M = M (P*, A) i 2, M = M 2 i 1, M = M 1 M2M2
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M d (for $Y´ > $Y) M d (for nominal Income $Y) The Demand for Money Money, M Interest Rate, i M i M´ Graphically M d = $YL (i)
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The Demand for Money
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Money Demand and the Interest Rate: The Evidence Observations Negative relation between
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The LM relation: M d = $YL(i) = M s Demand for Liquidity = Supply of Money Money Demand, Money Supply & the Equilibrium Interest Rate
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M d ($Y) The Determination of the Interest Rates Money, M Interest Rate, i M MsMs i1i1 Equilibrium interest, I, M d = M S A The Equilibrium Graphically
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M d ($Y) M d´ ($Y´ > $Y) Increase $Y to $Y´ M d increases to M d ´ M MsMs Money, M Interest Rate, i i1i1 A The effects of an increase in National Income on i A´ i2i2 Equilibrium moves from A to A´ i increases from i 1 to i 2
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M d ($Y) The effects of an increase in the Money Supply on i Money, M Interest Rate, i MsMs M i1i1 A M s´ Increase M s to M s ´ M´ Equilibrium moves from A to A´ A´ i2i2 Interest rate falls from i 1 to i 2
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Summary: i is determined by M D & M S Central bank changes i by changing M S Central bank changes M S with open market operations Buying bonds increases the M S and reduces i Selling bonds decreases the M S and increases i The Determination of the Interest Rates
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Banks/Depository Institutions Reserves Loans Bonds Assets Bonds Assets Checkable deposits Liabilities Central Bank Money =Reserves +Currency Liabilities Central Banks
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high-powered Supply and demand for central bank high-powered money H = Currency + Bank Reserves c = fraction of money public holds in currency (1-c) = fraction of money public holds in checkable deposits at banks Θ = fraction of deposits banks hold in reserves (vault cash + deposits at central bank) high-powered Supply and demand for central bank high-powered money H = Currency + Bank Reserves c = fraction of money public holds in currency (1-c) = fraction of money public holds in checkable deposits at banks Θ = fraction of deposits banks hold in reserves (vault cash + deposits at central bank) Public’s Demand for Money, M d Money, M d Demand for checkable deposits D d = (1 – c)M d Demand for Central Bank Money H d = CU d + R d Demand for currency CU d = cM d Supply of Central Bank Money H s = Demand for Reserves, R d (by banks) R d = Θ D d
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If people hold deposits of D d, banks hold reserves of D d Demand for central bank high-powered money H d = CU d + R d H d = CU d + R d H d = cM d + R d = cM d + ΘD d = cM d + Θ(1-c)M d H d = [c + Θ(1-c)] M d
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Supply of Central Bank Money = Demand for Central Bank Money In equilibrium And, of course, Demand for Money = Supply of Money Money Market Equilibrium = money multiplier
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The supply of money depends on H s, controlled by central bank c, controlled by the public Θ, controlled by banks (central bank may set minimum) The supply of money depends on H s, controlled by central bank c, controlled by the public Θ, controlled by banks (central bank may set minimum) Recall: Therefore: Supply of Money = Demand for Money Therefore: Money market equilibrium: For given M s, $Y and i have to adjust so no more or less money is demanded than is supplied.
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Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations The Price of Bonds and the Interest Rate Calculating the price of a bond-- Assume a bond with a $100 value in one year How does M s change? The price of a bond and the interest rate are inversely related. The price of a bond and the interest rate are inversely related.
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The supply and demand for reserves The Federal Funds Market: The market for bank reserves The Federal Funds Rate: The interest rate that equates the supply of Reserves (H s - CU d ) with demand for reserves (R d ) When the Fed steps into the open market for government bonds and buys bonds –It bids up the price of bonds: P B i –It increases its bond holding (assets) and hence H s –Bank reserves increase, reducing the fed funds rate.
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