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Intermediate methods in observational epidemiology 2008 Quality Assurance and Quality Control.

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Presentation on theme: "Intermediate methods in observational epidemiology 2008 Quality Assurance and Quality Control."— Presentation transcript:

1 Intermediate methods in observational epidemiology 2008 Quality Assurance and Quality Control

2 Threats to Causal Inference in Epidemiologic Studies Confounding Experimental Design Adjustment/Control ThreatSolution Bias Quality Assurance Quality Control

3 QA: Activities to assure quality of data that take place prior to data collection (through protocol and manuals of operation) QC: Efforts during the study to monitor the quality of data at identified points during the collection and processing of data Definitions of Quality Assurance and Quality Control

4 STEPS IN QUALITY ASSURANCE (1) Specify hypothesi(e)s (2) Specify general design -- develop protocol (3) Select or prepare data collection instruments, and develop procedures for data collection/ processing -- develop operation manuals (4) Train staff -- certify staff (5) Using certified staff, pre-test and pilot study instruments and procedures. In the pilot study, assess alternative strategies for data collection- eg, telephone vs. in-person interviews (6) Modify (2) and (3) and retrain staff on the basis of results of (5)

5 (1) Specify hypothesi(e)s (2) Specify general design -- develop protocol (3) Select or prepare data collection instruments, and develop procedures for data collection/ processing -- develop operation manuals (4) Train staff -- certify staff (5) Using certified staff, pre-test and pilot study instruments and procedures. In the pilot study, assess alternative strategies for data collection- eg, telephone vs. in-person interviews (6) Modify (2) and (3) and retrain staff on the basis of results of (5) Based on a “grab” sample STEPS IN QUALITY ASSURANCE

6 (1) Specify hypothesi(e)s (2) Specify general design -- develop protocol (3) Select or prepare data collection instruments, and develop procedures for data collection/ processing -- develop operation manuals (4) Train staff -- certify staff (5) Using certified staff, pre-test and pilot study instruments and procedures. In the pilot study, assess alternative strategies for data collection- eg, telephone vs. in-person interviews (6) Modify (2) and (3) and retrain staff on the basis of results of (5) Based on a sample as similar as possible to the study population

7 STEPS IN QUALITY ASSURANCE (1) Specify hypothesi(e)s (2) Specify general design -- develop protocol (3) Select or prepare data collection instruments, and develop procedures for data collection/ processing -- develop operation manuals (4) Train staff -- certify staff (5) Using certified staff, pre-test and pilot study instruments and procedures. In the pilot study, assess alternative strategies for data collection- eg, telephone vs. in-person interviews (6) Modify (2) and (3) and retrain staff on the basis of results of (5)

8 QUALITY CONTROL PROCEDURES: TYPES 1. Observation monitoring “Over the shoulder” observation of staff by experienced supervisor(s) to identify problems in the implementation of the protocol. Example: - Taping of interviews

9 -Random repeat (phantom) measurements based on either internal or external pools (biologic samples) to examine:. Intra-observer. Inter-observer Advantages. Better overall quality of data. Measurement of reliability variability

10 Phantom sample based on an internal pool Internal phantom sample STUDY BASE BLOOD SAMPLES OF 7 PARTICIPANTS Aliquot 2: measurement in study lab Aliquot 1: measurement in gold standard lab

11 Aliquot 2: measurement in study lab Phantom sample based on an external pool Phantom sample from the gold standard lab STUDY BASE BLOOD SAMPLES OF 7 PARTICIPANTS

12 - Monitoring of individual technicians for deviations from expected values Example: monitoring of digit preference for blood pressure (expected: 10% for each digit)

13 Digit Preference in Systolic Blood Pressure (SBP) Measurements

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15 Quality Control Indices Validity (Accuracy) Precision (Repeatability, Reliability)

16 Validity : Usually estimated by calculating sensitivity and specificity. The study (observed) measurement (“test”) is comparedwith a more accurate method (“gold standard”). When clearcut gold standard not available: “inter-method reliability” Problem: Limited to 2 x 2 tables

17 ...Thus, traditional reliability indices (e.g., kappa, correlation coefficient) can be also used to estimate validity of continuous variables or variables with more than 2 categories Gold Standard results Study results

18 Reliability: Sources of Variability Measurement Error –Instrument/Technique/Lab –Observer/Technician Intra-observer Inter-observer Intra-individual (physiologic)

19 Blood collected from an individual (1 st measurement) To examine within-technician variability? Aliquot 1.2: Lab determination done by same technician Aliquot 1.2: measurement done by same technician in a masked fashion To measure within-individual variability? Blood collected from the individual (replicate measurement) Repeat blood collection in same individual X time later To examine between-lab variability? Send Aliquot 1.3 to a different lab Aliquot 1.3: Lab determination done at a different lab Time Design of a study to evaluate sources of variability (Based on Chambless et al, Am J Epidemiol 1992;136:1069-1081) For other sources of variability, use phantom samples Phantom sample Aliquot 1.2 Aliquot 1.3 Aliquot 1.1: Study lab determination Aliquot 1.4 To examine between-technician variability? Aliquot 1.3: Lab determination done by a different technician at study lab Aliquot 1.2: measurement done by a different technician in a masked fashion at study lab

20 Indices of Reliability (also used for validity) % differences between repeat measurements (expected if no bias: ½ positive and ½ negative) % observed agreement Kappa Correlation coefficient Coefficient of variation Bland-Altman plot

21 Indices of Reliability (also used for validity) % differences between repeat measurements (expected if no bias: ½ positive and ½ negative) % observed agreement Kappa Correlation coefficient Coefficient of variation Bland-Altman plot

22 Agreement Between First and Second Readings to Identify Atherosclerotic Plaque in the Left Carotid Bifurcation by B-Mode Ultrasound in the ARIC Study (Li et al, Ultrasound Med Biol 1996;22:791-9) 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading Percent Observed Agreeement: [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 88% Shortcomings Chance agreement is not taken into account If most observations are in one of the concordance cell(s), % Observed Agreement overestimates agreement

23 Agreement Between First and Second Readings to Identify Atherosclerotic Plaque in the Left Carotid Bifurcation by B-Mode Ultrasound in the ARIC Study (Li et al, Ultrasound Med Biol 1996;22:791-9) 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading Percent Observed Agreeement: [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 88% Shortcomings Chance agreement is not taken into account If most observations are in one of the concordance cell(s), % Observed Agreement overestimates agreement

24 Indices of Reliability (also used for validity) % differences between repeat measurements (expected if no bias: ½ positive and ½ negative) % observed agreement Kappa Correlation coefficient Coefficient of variation Bland-Altman plot

25 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading The most popular measure of agreement: Kappa Statistics P O Observed agreement proportion P E Expected (chance) agreement proportion

26 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading P O = [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 0.88 Kappa Statistics

27 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading P O = [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 0.88 Expected agreement: (1) multiply the marginals converging on the concordance cells, (2) add the products, and (3) divide by the square of the total: Kappa Statistics

28 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading P O = [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 0.88 Expected agreement: (1) multiply the marginals converging on the concordance cells, (2) add the products, and (3) divide by the square of the total: Kappa Statistics

29 986777209Total 79472569Normal 19252140Plaque TotalNormalPlaqueSecond Reading First Reading P O = [140 + 725] ÷ 986 = 0.88 Expected agreement: (1) multiply the marginals converging on the concordance cells, (2) add the products, and (3) divide by the square of the total: Kappa Statistics Shortcomings Kappa is a function of the prevalence of the condition Can be calculated only for categorical variables (2 or more) Maximum agreement not due to chance Agreement not due to chance PE = [(209 x 192) + (777 x 794)] ÷ 986 2 = 0.68 Thus, kappa values obtained from different populations may not be comparable

30 Interpretation of Kappa values (Altman & Bland, Statistician 1983;32:307-17) 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 VERY GOOD GOOD MODERATE FAIR POOR

31 Indices of Reliability (also used for validity) % differences between repeat measurements (expected if no bias: ½ positive and ½ negative) % observed agreement and % observed positive agreement Kappa Coefficient of variation Bland-Altman plot

32 Coefficient of variation (CV) General definition: Standard Deviation (SD) as a percentage of the mean value

33 Calculation of the Coefficient of Variability X i1 and X i2 = values of repeat measurements on same lab sample X i = mean of these measurements For each pair of values: The mean overall CV over all pairs is the average of all pair-wise CVs and For each pair of repeat measurements:

34 Example of Calculation of the Coefficient of Variation - I Phantoms 1 2 Replicates (e.g., 2 different observers, 2 measurements done by same observer, 2 different labs, etc.) PAIR No. 1 2 3 4 k......

35 Pair (Split samples) No. 1: Measurement of total cholesterol Measurement No. 1 (X 11 )= 154 mg/dL Measurement No. 2 (X 12 )= 148 mg/dL V 1 = (154 - 151) 2 + (148 - 151) 2 = 18 mg/dL Phantoms 1 2 Replicates PAIR No. 1 Do the calculations for each pair of replicate samples Mean= [154 + 148] / 2= 151 mg/dL Example of Calculation of the Coefficient of Variation - I Repeat the calculation for all pairs of measurements and calculate average to obtain overall CV

36 AnalyteIntra-Class Correlation Coefficient* Coefficient of variation (%)** Total serum cholesterol0.945.1 HDL 0.946.8 HDL2 0.7724.8 Reliability in the ARIC study (Am J Epi 1992;136:1069) *Best: as high as possible **Best: as low as possible

37 Indices of Reliability (also used for validity) % differences between repeat measurements (expected if no bias: ½ positive and ½ negative) % observed agreement and % observed positive agreement Kappa Coefficient of variation Bland-Altman plot

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