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Discussion Finding Bernie Madoff: Detecting Fraud by Investment Managers Philip Hamill
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Where is Bernie? D&G in 98 th Percentile for felony risk. Federal Correction Complex, Butler, North Carolina, Prisoner Number #61727-054. Projected release date: 14 th November 2139
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Is this research interesting? Yes. Is this research Important? YES! – significant policy implications Fund Management literature focuses on performance. Limited literature on predicting fraud & other operational risks.
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Can the predictive power be improved? Gil-Bazo & Ruiz-Verdú (2008) JEBO: High performance lower fees. Gil-Bazo & Ruiz-Verdú (2009)JF: (-) relationship between fees & risk-adjusted performance!!! Chen et al (2004) AER: Fund size, performance, liquidity and organisational structure. Use Cahart’s alpha – lagged/cumulative performance important? CCO CFA variable?
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