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Current Extinctions
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Rates of Extinction Expected from Fossil Record: 4 species a year go extinct from 10 million living species 1 mammal species (out of about 4000 living) extinct every 400 years 1 bird species (out of just over 9000 living) extinct every 200 years 40 plant species extinct in 400 years (out of 250,000 living)
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Rates of Extinction Rates of extinction on mainland areas since 1600 mammals 1.6% extinct (62 of 4000) birds 1.3% extinct (117 of 9000) vascular plants 0.3% extinct (596 of 250,000)
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Alwyn Gentry and friends in the field
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Estimating Loss of Unknown Species Based on the Theory of Island Biogeography from which we know that larger areas support more species and from which we know that if we reduce the size of an island, we lose species - this knowledge is described by the species-area equation S = cA z where S = species number, A = area, c is a constant that varies depending on the type of species and the islands in question, z is the slope of the curve
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Extinct Australian Megafauna
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Some Extinct And still living Pleistocene Megafauna
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Extinct American mega-bird
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Recent Pleistocene Extinctions
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Past Climate Change
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Coring Glacial Ice
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Ice Core Data
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Pollen core data collection
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Pollen Core Data
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Distribution of North American Trees in past 16,000 years
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Black-tailed prairie dog
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Northern bog lemming
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Eastern chipmunk
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Global Ice Coverage Last Ice Age
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Rainforests in: a. Glacial period, b. Inter-glacial period
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Global carbon cycle
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Carbon dioxide concentration at Mauna Loa
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Change in Average Global Temperature
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Statistics and climate change http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=pla yer_embedded&v=e0vj-0imOLwhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=pla yer_embedded&v=e0vj-0imOLw
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Surface temperature trends from 1800-2009 http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/vid eo/2011/oct/20/berkeley-earth-climate- change-videohttp://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/vid eo/2011/oct/20/berkeley-earth-climate- change-video
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Model predictions of global temperature increase
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Predicted surface change 1960-2060
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Current distributions of biomes
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Predictions for biomes after global warming
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The Earth Ice Free
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Global Ice Coverage Last Ice Age
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Will species be able to survive current climate change? Maybe Maybe not
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Pikas may run out of mountaintop
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The dodo What makes species vulnerable to extinction?
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Passenger pigeon
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Passenger pigeon
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Allee Effect Some species have a minimum requirement for population size in order to successfully breed
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Characteristics that predispose species to becoming extinct 1. habitat overlap - the species occupy habitat that is desirable to humans and lose out in competition with humans for the habitat - tallgrass prairie species 2. human attention - species suffer because singled out by humans - either desired as food or fur and hunted heavily (passenger pigeon, dodo, northern elephant seal); or disliked by humans and killed as varmints (wolves, African wild dogs) 3. large home range requirements - animals needing large areas can’t find large enough areas in human dominated landscape - California condor 4. limited adaptability and resilience - Pacific salmon return to natal stream to reproduce; won’t go elsewhere
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Konza Prairie – Kansas
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African wild dog
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California Condor
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Coho salmon
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Salmon Life Cycle
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Salmon support 137 species
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