1. Rethinking Global Development: Crisis as Opportunity Duncan Green, Oxfam November 2010

2. Crisis = Danger + Opportunity

3. Danger 1: Hunger Source: WFP

4. From an Age of Development To an Age of Scarcity ?

6. Danger 2: Climate change © Crown copyright Met Office

7. 3 options (and only three) Step change in technology (20 Manhattan projects) Accept less global growth Runaway climate change

8. Danger 3: Financial chaos: what 5,000 kwacha buys in Zambia

9. Annual % Gini Change 0 -2 -3 Danger 4: Inequality - falling in some countries…

10. …but rising in many more Annual % Gini Change 432 10432 10

11. And Opportunity? Shocks crucial in Changing attitudes and beliefs Abolition of slavery Women’s suffrage Creating New Institutions National health service United Nations Changes to role of state income taxes

12. So where might current food + finance shock lead? Already happening G8 -> G20 Limited reregulation of finance Rediscovery of role of agriculture New global taxes (eg FTT)? But so far, only minimal signs of Climate change response New focus on inequality and redistribution Rethink on well-being or environmental constraints on growth

13. What's needed: ActiveCitizens

14. EffectiveStates

15. Thankyou! And for more information… From Poverty to Power blog on oxfamblogs.org/fp2p/