1. Airport of the Future Public Policy View Hans Mohrmann March 30th, 2006 5th International Seminar on Airport Planning

2. Rank Country Population GDP/ capita GDP 1 United States296$41,800$12,361,686,801,200 2 European Union457$25,000$11,423,831,450,000 3 China1,306$6,200$8,099,145,634,400 4 Japan127$30,400$3,873,484,217,600 5 India1,080$3,400$3,672,898,919,200 6 Germany82$29,700$2,448,212,283,000 7 United Kingdom60$30,900$1,867,641,021,300 8 France61$29,900$1,813,619,722,200 9 Italy58$28,300$1,644,315,833,900 10 Brazil186$8,500$1,581,958,749,000 11 Russia143$10,700$1,534,597,306,300 12 Canada33$32,800$1,076,005,344,800 13 Mexico106$10,000$1,062,029,030,000 14 Spain40$25,100$1,012,570,696,200 15 Korea, South49$20,300$987,405,621,300 16 Indonesia242$3,700$895,303,352,300 17 Australia20$32,000$642,893,984,000 18 Taiwan23$26,700$611,280,052,800 19 Iran68$8,100$550,944,666,000 20 Turkey70$7,900$550,318,416,100 21 Argentina40$13,600$537,716,024,800 22 Thailand64$8,300$532,739,666,600 23 South Africa44$11,900$527,695,218,400 24 Netherlands16$30,500$500,428,475,500 25 Poland39$12,700$489,686,396,800

4. Ongoing Urbanization 80%

5. Urban Metropolis Nodes - Global City Regions (*) … Source Mercer Source Expedia (*) Prof. Gerlach Cerfontaine

6. EU / NL Population Growth 1993 - 2005 Source: Eurostat NL Slow Down? EU Acceleration?

7. Netherlands: + 3,5% Poland : +3% Aging Population 1993 – 2005

8. Hungary Bulgaria Poland Lithuania Latvia Estonia Source: Eurostat “New” Europe Population Growth 2000 -2005

9. Ongoing Urbanization in the Netherlands 1999–2004 5 % occurred within the existing urban footprint; 95 % occurred by enlargement. Growth occurred in Urban aera’s of s Noord-Holland and Zuid-Holland In Limburg 1999- 2004 experienced an absolute decrease in population

10. Location: Closer to work ? Preferred Mode: Car Work Distance: 20 KM Prof. Gaudry Univ. Montreal quote French stats: constant 30 minute travel time since 1800 Average Commute: 30 minutes

11. Airport Centre of Delta Metropolis

12. Evolution of a transportation facility: Grand Central New York Grand Central at the edge of the city GC earned revenues by selling Air Rights to developers

13. Beginning: facilitating traffic / passengers Today: a social meeting place, shops, restaurants, bars….and transportation Evolution of a transportation facility: Grand Central New York

14. Evolution of a transportation facility: Another Railway Station? (IV)

15. Concentrating in larger Metropolis Million Annual Passengers Average growth: 18,5 MAP Average growth: 3,6 MAP Average growth: 1,2 MAP

16. Maximize Value under Urban Tsunami Infra Driven Value Driven

17. “Gated Community” & virtual security LandsideAirside Terminal Current situation: Pax area Pax area Virtual and physical Security Fence Landside Airside Terminal “Gated Community” People area physical Security Fence Virtual Security Fence

18. A new Airport Definition: a high mobility & 24 h services place a social meeting & gathering place a gated community a prime AAA+ location a Living City. Great Skies! My Penthouse has an Airport… Yours? Ah, I see … an old one with a Golf Course! Great Skies! My Penthouse has an Airport… Yours? Ah, I see … an old one with a Golf Course! Elzenhof Park City ?

19. Conclusions: 1.Urbanization is ongoing in industrialized world 2.Global Metropolis are specialized nodes in a global network of City Regions 3.Urbanization = City Tsunami for airports 4.Role and character airport changes with Global City Regions integration 5.City Integration requires maximization of landside 6.Airport bizz models evolve: Infra => Bizz => Real Estate

20. Thank You!