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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Managerial Economics & Business Strategy Chapter 2 Market Forces: Demand and Supply
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Overview III. Market Equilibrium IV. Price Restrictions V. Comparative Statics II. Market Supply Curve n The Supply Function n Supply Shifters n Producer Surplus I. Market Demand Curve n The Demand Function n Determinants of Demand n Consumer Surplus
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Market Demand Curve Shows the amount of a good that will be purchased at alternative prices. Law of Demand n The demand curve is downward sloping. Quantity D Price
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Determinants of Demand Income Prices of substitutes Prices of complements Advertising Population Consumer expectations
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 The Demand Function An equation representing the demand curve Q x d = f(P x, P Y, M, H,) n Q x d = quantity demand of good X. n P x = price of good X. n P Y = price of a substitute good Y. n M = income. n H = any other variable affecting demand
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Change in Quantity Demanded Price Quantity D0D0 4 7 10 6 A A to B: Increase in quantity demanded B
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity D0D0 D1D1 6 7 D 0 to D 1 : Increase in Demand Change in Demand 13
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Consumer Surplus: The value consumers get from a good but do not have to pay for.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 I got a great deal! That company offers a lot of bang for the buck! Gateway 2000 provides good value. Total value greatly exceeds total amount paid. Consumer surplus is large.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 I got a lousy deal! That car dealer drives a hard bargain! I almost decided not to buy it! They tried to squeeze the very last cent from me! Total amount paid is close to total value. Consumer surplus is low.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity D 10 8 6 4 2 1 2 3 4 5 Consumer Surplus: The value received but not paid for Consumer Surplus: The Discrete Case
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Consumer Surplus: The Continuous Case Price $ Quantity D 10 8 6 4 2 1 2 3 4 5 Value of 4 units Consumer Surplus Total Cost of 4 units
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Market Supply Curve The supply curve shows the amount of a good that will be produced at alternative prices. Law of Supply n The supply curve is upward sloping Price Quantity S0S0
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Supply Shifters Input prices Technology or government regulations Number of firms Substitutes in production Taxes Producer expectations
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 The Supply Function An equation representing the supply curve: Q x S = f(P x, P R,W, H,) n Q x S = quantity supplied of good X. n P x = price of good X. n P R = price of a related good n W = price of inputs (e.g., wages) n H = other variable affecting supply
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Change in Quantity Supplied Price Quantity S0S0 20 10 B A 5 A to B: Increase in quantity supplied
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity S0S0 S1S1 8 5 7 S 0 to S 1 : Increase in supply Change in Supply 6
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Producer Surplus The amount producers receive in excess of the amount necessary to induce them to produce the good. Price Quantity S0S0 Producer Surplus Q*Q* P*P*
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Market Equilibrium Balancing supply and demand n Q x S = Q x d Steady-state
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity S D 5 6 12 Shortage 12 - 6 = 6 6 If price is too low… 7
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity S D 9 14 Surplus 14 - 6 = 8 6 8 8 If price is too high… 7
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Restrictions Price Ceilings n The maximum legal price that can be charged n Examples: Gasoline prices in the 1970s Housing in New York City Proposed restrictions on ATM fees Price Floors n The minimum legal price that can be charged. n Examples: Minimum wage Agricultural price supports
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price Quantity S D P* Q* Ceiling Price Q s PFPF Impact of a Price Ceiling Shortage Q d
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Full Economic Price The dollar amount paid to a firm under a price ceiling, plus the nonpecuniary price. P F = P c + (P F - P C ) P F = full economic price P C = price ceiling P F - P C = nonpecuniary price
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 An Example from the 1970s Ceiling price of gasoline - $1 3 hours in line to buy 15 gallons of gasoline n Opportunity cost: $5/hr n Total value of time spent in line: 3 $5 = $15 n Non-pecuniary price per gallon: $15/15=$1 Full economic price of a gallon of gasoline: $1+$1=2
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Impact of a Price Floor Price Quantity S D P* Q* QSQS QdQd Surplus PFPF
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Comparative Static Analysis How do the equilibrium price and quantity change when a determinant of supply and/or demand change?
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Applications of Demand and Supply Analysis Event: The WSJ reports that the prices of PC components are expected to fall by 5-8 percent over the next six months. Scenario 1: You manage a small firm that manufactures PCs. Scenario 2: You manage a small software company.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Use Comparative Static Analysis to see the Big Picture! Comparative static analysis shows how the equilibrium price and quantity will change when a determinant of supply or demand changes.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Scenario 1: Implications for a Small PC Maker Step 1: Look for the “Big Picture” Step 2: Organize an action plan (worry about details)
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price of PCs Quantity of PC’s S D S* P0P0 P* Q0Q0 Q* Big Picture: Impact of decline in component prices on PC market
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 So, the Big Picture is: n PC prices are likely to fall, and more computers will be sold Use this to organize an action plan n contracts/suppliers? n inventories? n human resources? n marketing? n do I need quantitative estimates? n etc.
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Scenario 2: Software Maker More complicated chain of reasoning to arrive at the “Big Picture” Step 1: Use analysis like that in Scenario 1 to deduce that lower component prices will lead to n a lower equilibrium price for computers n a greater number of computers sold. Step 2: How will these changes affect the “Big Picture” in the software market?
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Price of Software Quantity of Software S D Q0Q0 D* P1P1 Q 1 Big Picture: Impact of lower PC prices on the software market P0P0
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 The “big picture” for the software maker: n Software prices are likely to rise, and more software will be sold Use this to organize an action plan
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Michael R. Baye, Managerial Economics and Business Strategy, 3e. ©The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999 Summary Use supply and demand analysis to n clarify the “big picture” (the general impact of a current event on equilibrium prices and quantities) n organize an action plan (needed changes in production, inventories, raw materials, human resources, marketing plans, etc.)
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