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1 The labor market n Labor Supply –Workers n Labor Demand –Firms n Market Clearing? –Full employment
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2 Characteristics or modes of mobilization of labor force Non-Commodity n Forced -> Slave n Free –Household –Militant n Wage earner –Civil servant –House helpers Commodity n Prisoners n Free –Self employed –informal sector –Peasants n Wage earner –private firms
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3 Structure of labor market
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4 Structure of Labor Market
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5 Labor Supply People in the labor force n Economically Active Population “EAP” –civilian population with or without a job that have been looking for one in a period of time before the survey (BLS last 4 weeks)
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6 People not in the labor force n Participating as students in the education system n Unpaid household work n Retired or with pensions n For health reasons n Volunteer in community services
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7 Research questions on the labor supply n Who is in the labor market? n Who is out of the labor market? –Age –Gender –Position in the household –Location
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8 Why the participation rate changes overtime? n Cultural factors –women in the labor market –scholarships and school retention –more years of study n Discouraged workers effect n Additional worker effect
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9 Some participation rates in the US labor market
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10 Differences in participation rate according to gender
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11 Participation rate according to race
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12 Participation rate according race and gender
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13 Civilian population between 16 and up and employed population
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14 Research questions on the labor demand n Who has a job? –Gender –Age –Qualifications –Salary/Wage –Hours of work –Relation with the owner of the firm
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15 Rate of Employment emp/eap
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16 What means to be employed n Wage earners –a person that at the time of the survey/census was working with a salary in cash or in kind –with a job but not working at the time of the survey due to various factors –members of the army (where not professionals)
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17 What means to be employed n Independent workers –Professionals –Self Employed –Employers –Workers without pay devoting a number of hours to earn money or goods or services
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18 Some problems with the estimation of the employment n Underestimates the production for self consumption, especially at rural level n The legal age hides child labor n Informal workers above the age of retirement n Seasonal workers not captured by the survey
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19 Research questions on the Labor Demand n Who is unemployed? –Age –Gender –Ethnicity –Duration of unemployment –Turn over
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20 Unemployed and rate of unemployment
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21 Research questions on the Labor Supply n What means to be under employed? –Does she/he wants to work more hours? –Social/Demographic considerations
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22 What is to be under employed n Open under employment (visible) people working for a salary o independently involuntary working less than the normal (legal) working hours and willing to do it in the same job or getting an additional one. n Hidden under employment –Low hourly payment according to qualifications n Voluntary under employment
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23 Research questions on the labor supply n Who is over employed? –Hours of work –Social/demographic characteristics
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24 Evolution of the civilian population above 16 years old
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25 Civilian and EAP
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26 Rate of participation (total)
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27 Participation rate accoding to gender
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28 Evolution of employment and rate of employment (Total)
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30 Evolution of unemployed and unemployment rate
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31 People not in the labor force
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32 People not in the labor force but want a job now
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33 Male and Female unemployment
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34 Some dynamic analysis of unemployment
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35 Changes in labor participation n It is difficult to define a single labor supply function n For adult males participation is a function of the demographic growth n For adult females it is a function of the income of the household (expresed on the income of the HHH, plus a trend that reflects cultural factors n Additonal workers are function of what happen with the other two.
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36 Labor supply functions n Male participation –f(pop.growth) n Female participation –f(wages, prime worker unemp, pw Y) n Youth participation –f(pw unemp, pw Y, Female emp.)
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37 Some findings n Male participation have been declining over time in relative terms n Female participation, excluded the growing trend, tend to be counter cyclical if employment represents the cycle. n Youth have a similar behaviour to females
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38 Some findings n In the US, female participation can have an U shaped behavior, since wage increases may induce it. n With youngsters the trend is less clear
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39 How may an ELR program affect labor supply n Depends on the ELR benefit –If it is high enough to support a family there should be no changes, unless the discouraged effect was high before the ELR –If it is not enough the effect can be a sudden increase in the rate of participation of additional workers
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40 Other effects of ELR on labor supply n If schooling is a complementary part of ELR (scholarships for youngsters) the rate of participation could decrease. n If childcare is considered and ELR activity, rate of participation may decrease
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41 The Labor Demand n Depends mainly on the level of economic activity (GDP growth) and labor costs relative to the price of capital goods –emp = f( GDP, w/k) n The employment to GDP elasticity varies according to the business cycle
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42 Labor Demand n Studies all over the world have found that price elasticity of labor is very low, ranging from 0.15 to 0.45 in most of the cases
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43 The need to work with different labor markets n In countries with clear formal and informal sectors, the demand for labor should be taken into account in a different way. n Informal markets are more wage sensitive than the rest. n Informal markets are a way to escape “stickiness” of unionized wages
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