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Why do the French have more children? Marina Hinterhaeuser
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Europe’s population growth rates are falling… Italy 0.04% Austria 0.09% Germany -0.02% France: 0.35% !!!France: 0.35% !!! Figures taken from https://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/https://www.odci.gov/cia/publications/factbook/ (CIA Fact book)
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Italy, Austria: Germany:
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France:
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…WHY??
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Outline: Possible reason behind the difference Benefits and costs of children Budget constraints French government’s efforts Effect on growth rate Summary and Conclusion
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Cultural Differences? Germans… Too boring? Too scary? Angela Merkel and Oliver Kahn
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Cultural Differences? French… Sexier?? Moulin Rouge girls and Laetitia Casta
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That can’t be true?! Heidi Klum, Seal, and Angela Merkel
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Immigration? According to INSEE: During Jan ’01 – ’04: 64% natural increase 36% immigration Germany relies on immigrants for growth.
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What’s the French secret?
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Benefits and Costs of Children Costs: - education - medical care - food/apartment - clothes - presents - holidays …
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Benefits and Costs of Children Benefits: –Pleasantness –Care for you in the future –(reproduce your genes)
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Benefits and Costs of Children Note: costs and benefits are different for each household
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Benefits and Costs of Children Quick summary: Law of diminishing marginal returns Here: According to Cost-Benefit Principle, parents would decide to have 2 children 2 children not enough to replace 2 parents for population growth
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Budget Constraint
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Government subsidises children: Liberal maternity leaves Part-time work for women Some child-care cost covered Offers child-care centres for working mothers Discounts on transportation, cultural events
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On top of that: If a family has three or more children: tax breaks MORE money can be received from government as maternity leave compensation
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Benefits and Costs of Children Marginal cost decreases with the 3 rd child Family will have three children
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Budget Constraint
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Why the French do it better… Other countries also have subsidies, such as free education, maternity leaves, child-care, etc. BUT these things to not provide an incentive. They are taken for granted.
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Why the French do it better… By reducing income tax from 3 rd child onwards, families are given an incentive to have more children –Marginal Cost decreases –Total Utility decreases
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Important Note: Incentive is even stronger if income taxes are very high: –France: up to 40% taxable –Germany: up to 42% taxable –Hong Kong: <16% Figures from: http://www.worldwide-tax.com
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Summary: French are not just sexier. French government gives incentives to parents to have three children Reduces the marginal cost of the third child Increases family’s budget for children
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Many different countries have different types of population growth issues. China limits the number of children Other countries need more children
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If you have any ideas as to what policies different countries should employ, involving cultural issues, please come to me and we can have an interesting discussion
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Let’s hope that no culture goes extinct Thank you. Marina Hinterhaeuser
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