1. Classification and quantification of the key stakeholders Alan Matthews Trinity College Dublin Presentation to Joint UCD/DAFF/Teagasc initiative “Driving a sustainable agri-food sector: the new roadmap for education, research and innovation” Dublin, 29 November 2007 Feedback to: alan.matthews@tcd.ie

2. Identification of stakeholders The agricultural context Future trends for main stakeholders Some implications for research and education system

3. Primary agriculture Agro-food processing Environment Energy Forestry Marine Consumers Policy Rural Stakeholders

4. Output stagnating, productivity growth poor…

5. Total factor productivity growth: Ireland and New Zealand compared Source: NZ Statistics, Matthews 1999

6. Total factor productivity trends by system Source: Newman and Matthews

7. Despite growing reliance on direct payments…

8. Source: Teagasc NFS 2006 …steady fall in real Family Farm Income per farm

9. Market protection to milk and beef (ad valorem tariff equivalents)

10. Land prices bear no relationship to agricultural returns

11. Trend in global food prices Source: IMF Commodity Food Price Index

12. EU biofuels targets 2003 Biofuels Directive –2% biofuels share by 2005 –5.75% by 2010 10% binding minimum target for ALL member states for biofuels share in transport fuels by 2020 (March 2007) Ireland’s performance Biofuel ShareTarget 2003 (%) 2004 (%) 2005 (%) 000.050.06 (subject to production being sustainable and second- generation biofuels becoming commercially available)

13. Composition of agricultural output 1990 and 2005

14. No. of holdings in the State 1855-2005 Source: CSO Farm Structures Survey 2007

15. Farm types, 1991-2005

16. Only dairying and tillage show a positive market margin on average… Source: Teagasc NFS 2006

17. Source: Thorne 2007 Cash and economic costs as % of average of selected countries 1996-20003

18. Cow numbers: dairy and other

19. Costs and returns in beef production, 2006 Source: Teagasc NFS 2006

20. Sheep numbers: ewes and total

21. Pig numbers: breeding and total

22. Area under selected crops, 1991-2005

23. Other stakeholders Agri-food industry Forestry Rural Bioenergy Consumers Environment

24. Share of agricultural area farmed organically 2004 Source: EPA 2006, based on N. Lampkin, U. of Wales

25. Source: CSO Environmental Accounts for Ireland 1997-2004

26. Implications for research and education Importance of agreeing long term strategic objectives to inform research/education High rates of return to public investment in agri-food R&D Importance of certainty in research funding –core vs competitive grants –own initiative vs demand driven research –economies of scale at fourth level