1. MIGRATION AND PUBLIC POLICY LATI 50 Introduction to Latin America

2. I. PATTERNS OF MIGRATION INTRODUCTION THE NUMBERS GAME(S) Flows Stocks Proportions Costs and benefits Rates of assimilation

3. EMOTIONAL ISSUES AND POLITICAL DEBATES Ethnicity vs. melting pots Diversity vs. tradition Fairness vs. efficiency NAFTA AND MEXICAN MIGRATION Claims and expectations Preliminary realities Hypotheses and prognostications

4. Mexican-Origin Population in United States, 1900-2003 Mx-born (9.9)

5. Geographical Concentration of Mexican Migrants

6. II. QUESTIONS OF PUBLIC POLICY DIMENSIONS ~12 million illegal immigrants in U.S. 55-60% from Mexico 25% of Mexico’s able-bodied male workforce now in U.S. U.S.-Mexican wage ratio ~ 8:1 or 10:1

7. PUBLIC PERCEPTIONS Economic threat? Cultural threat? Societal threat?

8. THE RANGE OF POLICY CHOICE: LEGAL MIGRATION Revise legal quotas Revise criteria for entry THE RANGE OF POLICY CHOICE: ILLEGAL MIGRATION Strategies for restriction: Building fences Blocking corridors (e.g., Operation Gatekeeper) Withdrawing incentives and benefits (e.g., Prop 187) Punishing employers

9. Strategies for opening: Augmenting quotas Guest-worker programs Eliminating barriers Strategies for reduction: Targeting economic development Circulating information Additional steps?

10. Bush on Migration: Phase 1: The Whole Enchilada (January-September 11, 2001) Phase 2: Focus on Security Phase 3: The Second Term (January 2005-present) Temporary amnesty for those here and employed Guest-worker program Eventual path to citizenship

11. What Would You Do?