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Stocks Economics 71a: Spring 2007 Mayo, chapter 10 Lecture notes 4.1
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Goals Stock basics Historical stock performance
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Common Stock Ownership of piece of a firm Key parts Voting rights (control) Dividends Right to assets Limited liability
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1. Voting and Control Voting rights In proportion to share holdings Annual meetings Proxy Firm control Shareholders elect Board of Directors Oversee management Sometimes difficult to remove
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Voting Methods Traditional Everyone votes on each candidate Like regular election Cumulative One vote per board position 5 members - get 5 votes per share Can cast all votes for one candidate Increases power of minority voting blocks Can group all votes for one candidate
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2. Dividends Payments to shareholders from firm Usually cash Usually paid quarterly Firm sets amounts Dividends paid after all other obligations are met Amount can be zero
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Dividend Timing Declaration date (June 3rd) Ex-dividend date (June 16) Date of record (June 18) Payment date (June 30) Key date: Ex-dividend date Purchase before: get dividend Purchase after: no dividend
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Dividend Decisions Profits of the firm (earnings) Shareholders (dividends) Retained earnings (investment) Payout ratio = (dividends)/earnings Dividend yield = (dividends per share)/(price per share)
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Does Dividend Policy Matter? Example: Assets - Liabilities = 100 = Shareholder equity Shares = 100, price per share = 100/100 = 1 Earnings = 10 1. Pay out earnings as dividends 10/100 = 0.1 per share 2. Hold earnings as cash Value of the firm goes from 100 to 110 (A-L) Price per share goes to 110/100 = 1.10 Shareholders gain 0.1 per share
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Does Dividend Policy Matter? In theory, No In real life, Yes Worry about firm investing funds wisely Worry about firm running off with funds Stock may not be priced correctly
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Dividend Reinvestment Firm allows you to buy stock with dividends No fees or commissions Sometimes below market prices
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What is a Stock Return? Stock held from time t to t+1 Pays dividend during this time of d(t+1) Why is this sensible? Increase of 1 dollar after investment t to t+1
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Two Parts to a Stock Return = (capital gain) + (dividend yield)
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Numerical Example Price(last year) = 100 (per share) Price(today) = 110 Dividend = 3 (per share)
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3. Rights to Assets Shareholders have rights to residual assets in a bankruptcy case Value distributed after other obligations met Bills Tax payments Bond holders Often this can be zero
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4. Limited Liability Liabilities of shareholders are limited Not responsible for amounts firm owes Or lawsuits against the firm What does this mean? If you buy a stock for $10, the most you can lose is $10
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Preferred Stock (Debt like) Fixed, promised dividend Similar to interest payments on debt Cumulative basis: missed dividends must be paid No voting rights (usually) Call option Firm can buy back
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Bankruptcy Priorities Bills owed and tax payments Debt holders Preferred stock holders Common stock holders
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Issuing and Increasing Shares Initial Public Offering (IPO) at start New issues (issue more shares) “Dilution” Rights offering Stock options Stock spin-offs Spin off subsidiaries Stock splits 2 for 1 split Stock dividends
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Stock Splits Example: 2-1 split Number of shares increases by 2 Price falls by 1/2 Dividend reduced by 1/2 No real impact Why? Lower price, more investors Reverse split: 1-2 split Increase price, why??
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Reducing Shares Buy back shares (share repurchase) Treasury stock Reverse dilution
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Stock Dividends Pay dividends with shares of stock Similar to stock split No change for investors More shares Price goes down
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Tax Treatments Firm Interest payments on debt are tax deductible Dividend payments are not Example (Profits – debt interest payments) Pay taxes on this amount This gives a tax advantage to the firm for using debt financing
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Tax Treatments Individual Investors Capital gains (lower rates) Dividends (some at lower rates) 2003 tax law change Before 2003 dividends taxed at higher rates
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Goals Stock basics Historical stock performance
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Goals Stock basics Historical stock performance
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Real Portfolio Values (Inflation Adjusted, dividends reinvested)
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Total Portfolios (log scale)
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Dividend Comparison
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Real Portfolio Values (Inflation Adjusted)
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Long Term Annual Returns (1/28-6/2005) Dividends Reinvested Raw ReturnsInflation Adjusted Stocks12.4%9.2% Corp Bonds6.3%3.2% Gov’t Bonds5.8%2.8% TBills3.8%0.7%
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Goals Stock basics Historical stock performance
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