1. Brownsville, TX Forecast September 27, 2010

2. Where is Brownsville? http://maps.google.com/maps?q=brownsville,+tx&oe=utf- 8&rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official&client=firefox-a&um=1&ie=UTF- 8&hq=&hnear=Brownsville,+TX&gl=us&ei=n_6gTOiqF5LEsAO0y- 3PCA&sa=X&oi=geocode_result&ct=image&resnum=1&ved=0CCkQ8gEwAA

3. Things to look at Forecast Discussion Satellite Analysis NCEP Models NAM GFS Bufkit MOS USL

4. Text forecast links Forecast Discussion: – http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site =NWS&issuedby=BRO&product=AFD&form at=CI&version=1&glossary=1 http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site =NWS&issuedby=BRO&product=AFD&form at=CI&version=1&glossary=1 MOS – http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi- bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KBRO http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi- bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KBRO USL How to read MOS: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/synop/redmav.htm

5. Links http://www.weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=ir&h ours=12 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_500_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_700_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/

6. NAM

7. GFS

8. Ensembles Storm Prediction Center Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SPC SREF) http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/ EMC NCEP SREF http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/S REF.html http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/S REF.html

11. Comparisons GFS 82 65 9kts 0 GFS MOS 86 61 12kts 0 NAM 81 63 11kts 0 NAM MOS 86 62 10kts 0 USL

12. Forecast Low – 62 – Northerly winds cold advection – Low humidity overnight High – 85 – Very dry daytime air (little cloud cover) – North winds picking up during the day

13. Forecast Continued Wind – 14 Winds will pick up during the day Precip – 0 Strong high pressure

15. Forecast Day 1 85 62 14kts 0 NWS 86 63 8kts 0 (Close to NAM MOS) ter@hawaii.eduter@hawaii.edu HIG 370