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Law of One Price Economics Experiment Keith Salas and Sean Lynam
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Our Question: Does the law of one price hold on Ebay?
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Law of One Price “In an efficient market all identical goods must have only one price.” Defines a market as a geographical area, within which the same things are sold for the same price at the same time, allowance being made for transportation cost
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Ebay Everybody knows what Ebay is
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Why Should the Law of One Price Hold on Ebay? All new products are the same Only difference is S&H Buyers have similar valuations for products Very competitive, many buyers and sellers
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The Setup 4 Sets of 4-8 auctions, 1-5 minutes in length All buyers have same valuation Auctions come and go at different times Buyers don’t know when a new auction will enter, but do know when it ends
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Ebay Love Trying to imitate Ebay Lots of auctions for the same products starting and stopping
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Round 1 3333 22225555x 1114444
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Round 1 Results
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Round 2 33336 2222 1111444
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Round 2 Results
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Round 3
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Round 3 Results
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Round 4 333 2224 11111
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Round 4 Results
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Findings and Interpretations
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Law of one price did not hold in our experiment The first auction of each round was very close to the valuations of the buyers Fewer available auctions = more bidders in each auction = higher sale prices Findings
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Findings Part Deux Auctions that started and ended in the middle of the rounds tended to have lesser sale prices Got lost in the mix
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Interpretations Ebay sellers: when to end auctions? High traffic versus low traffic of Ebay users High traffic: supply greater than demand Low traffic: demand greater than supply
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If we had to do it again...
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