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U.S. Energy Market: Part 1 Consumption We consume 26% of World Energy or nearly 20 mmbo per day Mature market economy
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U.S. Energy Consumption, 1775-1999
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Energy Consumption by Fuel, 1949-2020
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U.S. Energy Flow, 1999 (Quadrillion Btu)
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Transportation Consumption
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Industrial Consumption
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Long-Term Heating Oil Use (1947-1999) Residential, Commercial & Farming
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Cost of Household Energy, 1979-1999 Inflation Adjusted to 2000 Dollars
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O& G Journal - 8/28/2000
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Household Expenditures by Space-Heating Intensity, 1997
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Gasoline Market
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Gasoline Consumption O& G Journal - 7/24/2000
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Motor Vehicle Efficiency
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Gasoline Additives & Markets O& G Journal - 7/10/2000
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Environmental Investments O& G Journal - 7/17/2000
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Renewable Energy Consumption by Source
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U.S. Energy Market: Part 2 Production
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Production and Consumption
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Petroleum Production and Consumption
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Oil Flow, 1999 (Millions Barrels per Day)
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Oil Well Productivity
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Lower 48 and Alaskan Crude Oil Production
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Natural Gas Overview
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Natural Gas Flow, 1999 (Trillion Cubic Feet)
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Energy Production, 2000
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Coal Major source of energy since 19c. Production in eastern and western US Significant CO 2 and particulate emissions Cleaner plants (still disposal issue) Coalbed methane (capital investment) International CO 2 reduction ( e.g., EPA/China ) Coal consumption down -both US & World Key factors in production: rank, thickness, continuity of beds; sulfur content; transportation; politics
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Nuclear Significant since early 1970’s No new plants approved, but licenses renewed in several Many plants deactivated Nuclear waste disposal issue International issues - Russia/FSU - France/Korea/Japan Three Mile Island (1979) & Chernoble (1986)
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Types of Oil and Gas Wells Exploration (high risk) ~ 10% av. success rate Frontier New basins Development (lower risk) Fields ( Rocky Mt thrust belt v. Permian Basin)
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Oil & Gas Exploratory Wells, 1949-1999
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O& G Journal - 9/25/2000
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Oil & Gas Exploratory Wells, 1949-1999
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O& G Journal - 9/25/2000
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Oil & Gas Exploratory Wells, 1949-1999
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Oil & Gas Development Wells, 1949-1999
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Oil & Gas Drilling Activity Measurements
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Drilling, Finding and Development Cost
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Technically Recoverable Petroleum Resource Estimates, January 1, 1999
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Summary U.S. oil production will continue to decline U.S. increasing will be dependent upon oil imports Natural gas is of growing significance Renewable energy and new technologies are extremely important Protecting the environment is a high priority A strong economy is a high priority
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April, 2001 WSJ/NBC poll found that energy was our most important economic issue by 3 to 1. US energy self-sufficiency is a myth (if we rely on fossil fuels). Is anyone concerned in Jan, 2002?
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Part 3Petroleum Reserves Industry Inventories –For operational needs (pipelines, refineries, supply/demand) Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) –Government controlled, emergency use
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Strategic Petroleum Reserve 700 mmbo capacity at four salt domes in US Gulf Coast ( 545 mmbo in place in 2001 ). The SPR can hold approximately 70 days of oil imports at current demand.
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Strategic Petroleum Reserve Stocks
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2001 Oil Futures: Nymex
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END
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References SPR drawdowns trigger law of unintended consequences by Sarah Emerson,Oil&Gas Journal, Dec 10, 2001, p. 24-30.
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Inflation-Adjusted Cost of Crude Oil
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SPR as Share of Domestic Stocks
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O& G Journal - 7/24/2000
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Inflation-Adjusted Cost of Crude Oil
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