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Miller Channels Model Tax-class clienteles, equilibrium, and capital structure.
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Review item Explain why an increase in leverage doesn’t affect the value of a firm in a world without taxes or threat of bankruptcy.
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Answer Homemade leverage gives the investor the same effects as leverage in the firm. Homemade leverage is costless. Therefore investors won’t pay extra for leverage in the firm.
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Recapitulation Started with V U = V L Corporate taxes Financial distress
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B Value, V L VuVu V L = V u + T C B Value of the firm Cost of Financial Distress
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Indirect costs of financial distress Lost sales, delayed collection, slow deliveries. Managers take large risks. Investors won’t support good projects. Equity “milks the property.”
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Against-the-Wall Mart AssetsBVMVLiabilitiesBVMV Cash200200LT bonds300? Fixed Asset4000Equity300? Total600200Total600200 What happens if the firm is liquidated today? LT Bonds = 200. Equity = 0.
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Managers take bad risks Cost = $200 (all the firm’s cash) The gambleProbabilityPayoff Win Big10%$1,000 Lose Big90%$0 Required return is 50% Expected CF from the gamble = $1000 x 0.10 + $0 = $100 NPV = - $200 + $100 / 1.5 = -$133 BAD PROJECT
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Equity accepts the bad risk Expected CF to debt (bondholders) = 300 x 0.10 + 0 = 30 Expected CF to equity (shareholders) = (1000 - 300) x 0.10 + 0 = 70 PV of debt (bonds) without the gamble = 200 PV of equity (shares) without the gamble = 0 PV of debt (bonds) with the gamble = $30 / 1.5 = $20 PV of equity (shares) with the gamble = $70 / 1.5 = $47
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The market won’t invest in good projects. Government sponsored project t=0 t=1 -300 +350 Required return is 10% NPV = -$300 + $350 / 1.1 = $18.18 GOOD PROJECT But … the firm only has $200 now.
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Equity passes, debt passes New bondholders contribute the 100 by buying more bonds. They get 100 or ¼ of the firm’s debt, whichever is less. When the firm gets 350, the new bondholders collect ¼*350 = 87.5. They lose. New shareholders contribute the 100: They get 50 / 1.1 - 100 = -54.55
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Summary of “failure to contribute” Neither new equity nor new debt will contribute. Markets fail. Note: old debt would contribute if it could do so in a coordinated manner. There is an externality element. One purpose of bankruptcy is to coordinate the interests of debt.
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Milking the Property Liquidating dividends... are often illegal … or restricted by bond indenture. Other tactics to siphon money. Perks, compensation to management. Sweetheart deals with shell companies
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Optimal Debt and Value Debt (B) Value of firm (V) 0 Present value of tax shield on debt Present value of financial distress costs Value of firm under MM with corporate taxes and debt VL=VU+TCB=VL=VU+TCB= V=Actual value of firm V U =Value of firm with no debt B* Maximum firm value Optimal amount of debt
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The final word on capital structure Miller channels model. Restores MMI with important differences
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What's been left out so far? Investor taxes. Supply and demand.
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Financial officers as marketers … or arbitragers. They package EBIT into either the debt channel or the equity channel, depending on which has more value.
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Taxes in the debt channel Only T B, investor tax rate on bond income
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Taxes in the equity channel T C the corporate tax rate T S investor tax rate on stock income Stock income is partially or largely tax shielded: unrealized capital gains net capital gains
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Channels $ of operating cash flows TCTC Corporate taxes 1-T B (1-T C )(1-T S ) TBTB TSTS Personal taxes Debt channel Equity channel
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Clienteles for the channels Dependent on tax rates which differ among investors
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Clienteles for the debt channel 1-T B > (1-T C )(1-T S ) Low income investors (Low T B and T S ) Pension funds (T B = T S = 0) IRA's (low T B, T S, because deferred) Non profit organizations
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Clienteles for the equity channel 1-T B < (1-T C )(1-T S ) High income investors (high T B, low T S ) Corporations (low T S on dividends)
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Equilibrium of demand The debt clientele demands debt. The equity clientele demands equity. But at what prices?
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Value as equity Value as Debt Operating C.F.’s of the whole economy D of Institutions D of rich investors V* = 1/R B V* = 1/R S as equity as debt Miller: Tax-class clienteles
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Meaning of the Miller channels model. Economy-wide debt-equity ratio is determinate. For each firm, debt-equity ratio does not affect value.
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Tax reform and leveraged buyouts in the late 1980's Tax reform of 1986 Raised T C, which favors bonds Raised T S, which also favors bonds
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Value as equity Value as debt Operating C.F.’s of the whole economy tax reform increased debt...
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Increase in demand for bonds Raises economy-wide debt Rewards debt-for-equity swaps and leveraged buyouts.
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Value as equity Value as debt Operating C.F.’s of the whole economy... tax cut increased equity
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Summary Value is unaffected by leverage, except when tax laws have changed or something else affects the demands of clienteles.
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Review item In a world with corporate taxes, V L =V U +T C B. Why?
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Answer: Present value of tax shield Debt and other assets are perpetuities. Let r B be the market rate for the bonds. Interest payments of Br B each year generate a tax shield of T C Br B Present value of this perpetuity is found by dividing by r B. Result is T C B.
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