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Tianjin Plastics Group Gamma Samir Bhargava Jung-Chang Cho
Jennifer Cota Kurt Ellison Kelly Hickman Jiby Mathews
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Joint Venture Tianjin Plastics / Chinese Ministry of Power Industry
Government owned enterprise Uses energy-intensive extrusion process for production of raw industrial plastic products Maple Energy U.S. – based international power plant developer Established in 1989 Successful power plant projects in Argentina, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and the United Kingdom
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The Proposed Power Plant
140 megawatt coal-fired steam-electric plant Provide all of Tianjin’s power needs Excess power to be sold on regional electrical power grid Construction & testing requires 4 years Power purchasing agreement with Chinese Ministry of Power Industry Provision for free coal feedstock for life of power plant
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Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) Agreement
Maple-Tianjin-MOPI Joint Venture – own & manage for 20 years Turn over to Hebei Province in 2020
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What is Project Financing?
Typically used for large-scale, long-term projects Lenders look to assets & cash flow of project Preferred & primary method for financing infrastructures Structured as a single-purpose corporation Lenders have no recourse to non-project assets
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Choose the best financing option
Issue Defined Choose the best financing option Repatriation Currency Risk
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Contract Fulfillment Not Guaranteed by Chinese Government
Basic Matrix Important/ Urgent Low High Export-Import Bank Announcing its Non-Participation in Funding Large Projects in China Contract Fulfillment Not Guaranteed by Chinese Government Currency Controls Exchange Rate Risk
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Immediate Matrix Important/ Urgent Low High
Inadequate Capital Resources in China Limits on ROI Cash Flow Risk Ensure Repatriation of Original Equity Investment
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Fishbone Analysis
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Financing Arrangements
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Constraints & Opportunities
-Enormous market potential -Local economic prosperity Constraints - Inadequate capital resources - Investment barriers
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Available Solutions Indirect RMB Swap Dollar-Indexed Rate Adjustment
Borrow in Local Currency Back-to-Back Loan
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Decision Criteria Feasibility Risk Assessment Cost Cash Flow / NPV
Internal Rate of Return
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Indirect RMB Swap Feasibility?
Not feasible due to lack of financial derivates to hedge Non-existence of financial markets in China Chinese government controls the amount of Rmb converted to hard currency
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Dollar-Indexed Rate Adjustment
Power price paid by Tianjin Plastics indexed to the dollar -Simplest solution -Dependable revenue stream -Minor role of costs of production -Earnings essentially guaranteed, preserving U.S. dollar value Feasibility? -NO -> MOPI ruled out immediately -Revenue structure Rmb based -Negative impact on returns of invested capital
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Borrow in Local Currency
Feasible? -Yes -Cash inflows and outflows in same currency (RMB) Risk? -Currency valuation risk -Maple is not insulated from currency exchange risk Cost? -Bank of China will charge 13% interest for 10 year loan -Initial collateral in 100% dollar-denominated deposit (not required until fourth year)
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Borrow in Local Currency
Income? -4% interest in collateral deposit Repatriation? -Deposit returned in last 6 years amortization schedule -Profits exposed to currency risk 17
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Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation)
Local Currency Loan Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate Date Exch. Rate (RMB/$) Real Cash Inflow Real Cash Inflow 2000 7.51 $ ,567,474.07 10.99 $ ,757,195.74 2001 7.30 $ ,483.46 11.68 $ ,429,573.53 2002 7.11 $ ,592.05 12.28 $ ,622,811.59 2003 6.91 $ ,636.62 12.92 $ ,846,637.51 2004 6.71 $ 1,039,053.31 13.53 $ ,095,140.29 2005 6.51 $ 1,094,057.46 14.06 $ ,362,895.22 2006 6.31 $ ,842.97 14.45 $ ,310.77 Total $ 7,544,139.95 $ ,166,564.65
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Back-to-Back Loan Loan of US $8.415m Maple Energy (USA) Wintel (USA)
LIBOR % Loan of Rmb70.018m Maple Energy (CHN) Wintel - China (CHN) 10.5%
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Back-to-Back Loan Feasible? Risk? -Yes -Cash inflows in U.S. Dollars
-Cash outflows in local currency (RMB) Risk? -Currency valuation risk borne by Wintel -Maple insulated from currency exchange risk -Limited interest rate risk due to variable loan rate
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Back-to-Back Loan Cost? Income? -Initial capital loaned to Wintel
-Immediately converted to current currency exchange rate (Rmb$8.32/$) -Wintel will charge 10.5% for six year loan Income? -Maple earns LIBOR % return on six year loan 22
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Back-to-Back Loan Repatriation? -Interest earned on initial capital
-Initial capital returned in 6 years -Profits not exposed to currency risk 23
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Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation)
Back-to-Back Loan Real Cash Inflows (Repatriation) RMB Appreciate RMB Depreciate Date Exch. Rate (RMB/$) Real Cash Inflow Real Cash Inflow 1996 8.32 $ ,776,346.38 1997 1998 1999 2000 7.51 $ ,603,408.81 10.99 $ ,346,399.84 2001 7.30 $ ,558,573.14 11.68 $ ,493,717.03 Total $ ,267,367.45 $ ,945,502.37
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Cash Flows for Original Financing Arrangement
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Borrow in Local Currency vs. Back-to-Back Loan
Cash Flow / NPV: Borrow in Local Currency: $1,003,415 Back-to-Back Loan: $1,639,503 Internal Rate of Return: Borrow in Local Currency: 15.2% Back-to-Back Loan: 15.3%
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Action Plan Finance with Back-to-Back Loan
Feasible, includes Solving Repatriation Issue No Currency Risk Lower Cost than Borrowing in Local Currency -Netting Interest Expense & Interest Income Lower Cost Leads to Higher NPV & IRR
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