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Energy Policy Heinberg 1-3 Gary Flomenhoft http://www.uvm.edu/~gflomenh/CDAE06/
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Heinberg Chapter 1 How to gain an Energy Subsidy 1) Takeover 2) Tool Use 3) Specialization 4) Scope Enlargement 5) Drawdown
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Takeover Biotic Potential / Competitive exclusion Use / divert: 40% Earth’s terrestrial NPP 25% Total NPP
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ESA Listings and GDP 1973 1980 1990 2001 $10 $9 $8 $7 $6 $5 $4 $3 R 2 = 98.4
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Endangerment Causes Urbanization Agriculture Water diversions (e.g., reservoirs) Recreation, tourism development Pollution Domestic livestock, ranching 247 205 160 148 143 136 Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.
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Causes (cont.) Mineral, gas, oil extraction Non-native species Harvest Modified fire regimes Road construction/maintenance Industrial development 134 115 101 83 81 Czech et al. 2000. Bioscience 50(7):593-601.
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Evolution of Tool Use Type of Tool: -Human energy for manufacture and use -External power for manufacture, human power for use -Human energy for manufacture, external energy for use -External energy for manufacture and use-defines industrial society
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Specialization Technical-economic societies
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Scope Enlargement Tools, resources, trade, transportation, globalization
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Drawdown Deplete non-renewable stocks: Coal, oil, natural gas, uranium, minerals, etc. Dangers of Drawdown: Pollution Climate change Depletion
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Complexity-diminishing returns
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Complexity Increasing costs of: Maintaining organization and control Controlling conquered territory Taxation
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American success Great natural resources Energy subsidies: slaves then fossil fuels Global trade
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Heinberg Chapter 2-Party time How to gain an Energy Subsidy Cheap abundant Energy- Coal, oil, electrification
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Heinberg Chapter 3-Lights Out M.K. Hubbert Curve Cassandras-Cambell, Deffeyes, Ivanhoe, Youngquist, Simmons Cornucopians: Huber, Lomborg, Simon, Lynch,
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