Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Development of the NEC baseline scenario State of play Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Published by Modified over 9 years ago

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "Development of the NEC baseline scenario State of play Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Development of the NEC baseline scenario State of play Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

2 National scenarios provided for the NEC review CountryEnergyAgricultureEnergyAgriculture AUSTRIAYes ITALYYes BELGIUMYesNoLATVIAYes CYPRUSNo LITHUANIANo CZECH REP.Yes LUXEMBOURGNo DENMARKYes MALTANo ESTONIANoYesNETHERLANDSYes FINLANDYes POLANDYes FRANCEYes PORTUGALYes GERMANYYesNoSLOVAKIAYesNo GREECENo SLOVENIAYes HUNGARYYes SPAINYesNo IRELANDYes SWEDENYes ITALYYes UKYes LATVIAYes Total1916

3 Available energy and CO 2 projections PRIMES “with climate policy” scenario 2004 used for CAFE (“PRIMES CAFE”) – all MS PRIMES baseline projection 2005 (“PRIMES 2005”) – all MS National energy projections for NEC, late 2005, - 19 MS National CO 2 projections submitted in the “Policies and Measures” reports, July 2005 – 12 MS National CO 2 (and energy) projections reported in the 4 th National Communications to UNFCCC, March 2006, – 11 MS

4 Energy projections EU-25 19902000 2020

5 2005 energy projections for 2020 (1) [PJ]

6 2005 energy projections for 2020 (2) [PJ]

7 2005 energy projections for 2020 (3) [PJ]

8 Comparison of CO 2 estimates for 1990 excl. LULUCF

9 CO 2 projections for 2010 relative to 1990 (provisional GAINS estimates)

10 CO 2 projections for 2020 National CO 2 vs. National NEC energy projections, relative to 1990 (provisional GAINS estimates)

11 CO 2 projections for 2020 National NEC energy projections vs. PRIMES, relative to 1990 (provisional GAINS estimates)

12 Conclusions Some inconsistencies between national CO 2 and NEC energy projections not yet resolved – further consultations There are differences between national and PRIMES energy projections for MS Both projections are likely to exceed in 2020 - at EU level - the Kyoto target for 2012 This is relevant because air pollutant (baseline) emissions and control costs are sensitive towards the stringency of the GHG/CO 2 target

Download ppt "Development of the NEC baseline scenario State of play Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)"

Similar presentations

M. Amann, I. Bertok, J. Cofala, F. Gyarfas, C. Heyes. Z. Klimont, W. Schöpp, W. Winiwarter The CAFE baseline scenarios: Emission projections.

M. Amann, I. Bertok, J. Cofala, F. Gyarfas, C. Heyes. Z. Klimont, W. Schöpp, W. Winiwarter The CAFE baseline scenarios: Emission projections.
IIASA Janusz Cofala, Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Emission Projections for 2020 Results from a study for the.

IIASA Janusz Cofala, Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Emission Projections for 2020 Results from a study for the.
Results of CAFE Consultations Wilfried Winiwarter, Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont, Markus Amann,... 5 th Joint UNECE Task Force & EIONET Workshop on Emission.

Results of CAFE Consultations Wilfried Winiwarter, Janusz Cofala, Zbigniew Klimont, Markus Amann,... 5 th Joint UNECE Task Force & EIONET Workshop on Emission.
Three policy scenarios for CAFE Markus Amann, Janusz Cofala, Chris Heyes, Zbigniew Klimont, Wolfgang Schöpp, Fabian Wagner.

Three policy scenarios for CAFE Markus Amann, Janusz Cofala, Chris Heyes, Zbigniew Klimont, Wolfgang Schöpp, Fabian Wagner.
Exploratory CAFE scenarios for further improvements of European air quality in Europe M. Amann, I. Bertok, R. Cabala, J. Cofala, F. Gyarfas, C. Heyes,

Exploratory CAFE scenarios for further improvements of European air quality in Europe M. Amann, I. Bertok, R. Cabala, J. Cofala, F. Gyarfas, C. Heyes,
Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Links between climate, air pollution and energy policies Findings from the.

Markus Amann International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Links between climate, air pollution and energy policies Findings from the.
State of model development: RAINS/GAINS International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) M. Amann, W. Asman, I. Bertok, A. Chambers, J. Cofala,

State of model development: RAINS/GAINS International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) M. Amann, W. Asman, I. Bertok, A. Chambers, J. Cofala,
Options for Setting Environmental Interim Targets for Health for CAFE Summary of presentations to the CAFE Working Group on Target Setting and Policy Advice.

Options for Setting Environmental Interim Targets for Health for CAFE Summary of presentations to the CAFE Working Group on Target Setting and Policy Advice.
Sensitivity analyses for the CAFE policy scenarios Markus Amann, Janusz Cofala, Chris Heyes, Zbigniew Klimont, Wolfgang Schöpp, Fabian Wagner.

Sensitivity analyses for the CAFE policy scenarios Markus Amann, Janusz Cofala, Chris Heyes, Zbigniew Klimont, Wolfgang Schöpp, Fabian Wagner.
The use of the BelEUROS model for policy support at LNE TEMIS-workshop 8/9 October 2007 on behalf of: Mirka Van der Elst Flemish Ministry of the Environment,

The use of the BelEUROS model for policy support at LNE TEMIS-workshop 8/9 October 2007 on behalf of: Mirka Van der Elst Flemish Ministry of the Environment,
The potential for further reductions of PM emissions in Europe M. Amann, J. Cofala, Z. Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

The potential for further reductions of PM emissions in Europe M. Amann, J. Cofala, Z. Klimont International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)
Agenda Markus Amann Methodology Fabian Wagner Initial results for emissions from energy use and industrial activities Ian McCallum Estimates of mitigation.

Agenda Markus Amann Methodology Fabian Wagner Initial results for emissions from energy use and industrial activities Ian McCallum Estimates of mitigation.
European Environment Agency 11 th Joint EIONET/TFEIP meeting, 10-11 May 2010, Larnaca Recent WGSR discussions concerning baseline scenarios for the Gothenburg.

European Environment Agency 11 th Joint EIONET/TFEIP meeting, May 2010, Larnaca Recent WGSR discussions concerning baseline scenarios for the Gothenburg.
M. Amann, W. Schöpp, J. Cofala, G. Klaassen The RAINS-GHG Model Approach Work in progress.

M. Amann, W. Schöpp, J. Cofala, G. Klaassen The RAINS-GHG Model Approach Work in progress.
1 Introduction, reporting requirements, workshop objectives Workshop on greenhouse gas and ammonia emission inventories and projections from agriculture.

1 Introduction, reporting requirements, workshop objectives Workshop on greenhouse gas and ammonia emission inventories and projections from agriculture.
Brussels, 1-2 September 2004 Improving Air Quality in the enlarged EU: Workshop on Plans and Programmes of Air Quality and National Emission Ceilings Directives.

Brussels, 1-2 September 2004 Improving Air Quality in the enlarged EU: Workshop on Plans and Programmes of Air Quality and National Emission Ceilings Directives.
European Commission: DG Environment Overview of projections data use in the European policy-making process TFEIP Workshop on Emission Projections, 30 October.

European Commission: DG Environment Overview of projections data use in the European policy-making process TFEIP Workshop on Emission Projections, 30 October.
European Scenarios of Air Pollution and Greenhouse Gases Mitigation: Focus on Poland J. Cofala, M. Amann, W. Asman, I. Bertok, C. Heyes, Z. Klimont, L.

European Scenarios of Air Pollution and Greenhouse Gases Mitigation: Focus on Poland J. Cofala, M. Amann, W. Asman, I. Bertok, C. Heyes, Z. Klimont, L.
Baseline emission projections for the EU-27 Results from the EC4MACS project and work plan for the TSAP revision Markus Amann International Institute for.

Baseline emission projections for the EU-27 Results from the EC4MACS project and work plan for the TSAP revision Markus Amann International Institute for.
Baseline emission projections for the revision of the Gothenburg protocol All calculations refer to Parties in the EMEP modelling domain Markus Amann Centre.

Baseline emission projections for the revision of the Gothenburg protocol All calculations refer to Parties in the EMEP modelling domain Markus Amann Centre.

Similar presentations

Ads by Google