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1 Credit Constraints A first approach to the “microfinance solution”
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2 1) Characteristics of credit markets in poor countries Demand side: fixed capital, working capital, consumption ….. (not very different from those in developed countries) Supply side: -Institutional lenders -Informal lenders in response to informational asymmetries In turn has led to: Segmentation, Interlinkage, Interest Rate Variation, Rationing, Exclusivity which in turn led to various “theories” of informal credit markets But let us see the “big picture” first….
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3 2) Why credit does not flow from rich to poor After all, Neoclassical theory would suggest….
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4 At least two reasons why this may not be so: First
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5 Second
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6 In either scenario the poor cannot pay high interest rates Moreover: And interest rates faced by the poor would be exceedingly anyway for 2 Main Reasons: a)High Risk b)Huge Transaction Costs
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7 3) Can’t the poor borrow? In principle, the answer is yes. As mentioned earlier, from institutional sources, and from informal sources Institutional sources, mostly development banks, where credit was subsidized. Concerns: Politics, corruption… Pushed out informal credit suppliers No incentives to collect poor individuals’ savings
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8 Informal sources. Problems: Astronomically high interest rates Not enough savings to mobilize And subsidizing interest with outside sources of credit via institutional sources was inefficient In the mid – 1970s, in Bangladesh….
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9 Microfinance Building on informal credit institutions → Transaction costs ↓ → Interest rates were ↓ → Repayment Rates ↑ In turn, a demonstration to donor agencies that lending to the poor could be efficient, and potentially profitable too!! → Next class: A-M (2005), Chapter 2
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