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Alternative/Traditional Investment Management Convergence Presentation to the Montreal Stock Exchange Canadian Annual Derivative Conference Yvan Fontaine, CFA Château Frontenac, Quebec August 18, 2005
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2 Alternative/Traditional Investment Definition of alternative/traditional investment Alternative investments related to fixed income Future trends in alternative/traditional investments in fixed income
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3 Investments with a low correlation to traditional asset classes Hedge Funds Investments without a specific line in an investment policy Definition of Alternative/Traditional Investment
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4 Typical U.S. Investment Policy Stocks Domestic International Emerging Markets Small Cap Bonds Domestic International High Yield Emerging Markets Real Estate Alternative Investments Hedge Funds Definition of Alternative/Traditional Investment
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5 Typical Canadian Investment Policy Variable Income Domestic Stocks U.S. Stocks International Stocks Fixed Income Short Term Domestic Bonds Mortgages Miscellaneous or others
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6 Alternative Investments Related to Fixed Income International Emerging Debt High Yield Distressed Bonds Mezzanine Bonds Private Placements Convertible Credit Derivatives (CDO, CLO,CDS)
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7 Alternative Investments Related to Fixed Income International Emerging Debt High Yield Distressed Bonds Mezzanine Bonds Private Placement Convertible Credit Derivatives (CDO, CLO,CDS) Overlay Hedge Funds Portable Alpha
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8 Future Trends in Alternative/Traditional Investments Excellent historical Canadian bond returns Important reduction in risk premiums Removal of the foreign content limit Recent Canadian dollar appreciation Low equity returns, low interest rates Pension funds matching problems
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9 Excellent Historical Canadian Bond Returns Source: JP Morgan
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10 Important Reduction in Risk Premium Source: Datastream
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11 Important Reduction in Risk Premium Source: Bloomberg
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12 Changes in the Foreign Content Limit & Recent Canadian Dollar Appreciation Source: Bloomberg
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13 Future Trends in Fixed Income Customized benchmarks, better matching Stable or increased fixed income portion of asset mix More tools given to the domestic manager Access to foreign securities, use of derivatives Problem of leverage More international allocation Portable Alpha Replicate views with derivatives Leverage of the T-bills portion of a beta stock portfolio
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