1. Climate Change Initiative Beijing: Asian G-WADI meeting 17 July 2010
Dr. Sedigheh Torabi
Ministry of Energy
“Head of Policy Making and Water Allocation Sector”
Khajou Bridge – Isfahan (Constructed 17th Century)

2. Table of Content General Overview Water Governance in Iran
MOE Organizational Chart
Climate Change in Iran
Climate Change Initiative
General Four Years Plan
Next G-WADI Meeting

3. I.R. of IRAN Area: 1.648 million km2 Population: 70 million
No of provinces: 30
Average Rainfall: 271 mm
Neighboring Countries:
Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkey Arab States in Persian Gulf
Language: Farsi, Azerbaijani, Kurdish, …

4. What happened in the past?
First Book: “the Excavation of Hidden Water” Karadji – about 1000 years ago
50 dams more than 200 yrs old
Quanat: the famous underground water system Which backs to at least
2500 years ago

5. Population growth
2021
100
2001
66.0
1961
24.3
Unit: Million people

6. Iran Climatological Condition
Very humid region
5.3%
Semi-Arid area
%20
Sum: 15.5%
Dry desert region
29%
Humid region
6.3%
Over dry region
5.35 %
Sum: 84.5%
Mediterranean region 5%
Semi- humid region
4.3%
Renewable water resources of Iran are around 25% of the world mean value.

7. Water Resources

8. Water Cycle in Iran BCM Total 159 Internal Surface Water Resources 92
Transboundary Resources 13
Total Water Resources
105
Infiltration from Surface Water 13
Total of Available Surface Water 92
Direct Infiltration from Rainfall 25
Total Infiltration (including direct infiltration from rainfall) 38
Available Fresh Water Resources
130
Return Water from Consumption 29
Total 159

9. Annual Renewable Water availability
Renewable Fresh Water
Year
Annual Renewable Water availability
(cubic meter/capita)
1956
7000
2001
2000
2021
1300

10. Water Consumption at a Glance

11. A Glance to Water Consumption
85 BCM
Surface Water
42 BCM
Ground Water
50 BCM
6 BCM
1.1 BCM

12. Water Consumption Vision
100 million
Population
Consumption increase due to urbanization and improved welfare
Water Demand

13. Water Consumption Vision
We need BCM more
In the Normal Situation
Water Supply
Water Demand
123 BCM

14. Challenges: 1- Excess withdrawal of ground water resources.
2- Shortage of environmental water supply of aquatic bodies.
3- Not considering the effects of new water resources development projects on downstream operational and under construction projects.
4- Lack of equality between economical development of upstream and downstream regions of basins.

15. Excess withdrawal of ground water resources.
Number of Plains = 609
Population
Forbidden Plains
2007 70
246
1961
24.3
Unit: Million people
Unit: Number

16. Groundwater Depletion50
100
150
groundwater Level (m)
200 m
200
250
300 ?
350
Year
400
450
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010

17. Land Subsidence as a result of ground water overdraft

18. Restricted plains

19. Water Governance in IRAN
Ministry Of Energy: Water Supply and Allocation; Wastewater Affairs
Ministry Of Jihad-Agriculture: as most important water user (92%)
Ministry Of Health: Control of drinking water
Department Of Environment: Protection of water bodies

20. MOE Organizational Chart
Ministry of Energy
Regional Water authorities
Central selection board
Security office
Bureau of operation assessment
Bureau of public awareness & international objects
Ministry officials
Deputy of Conservation& Parliament relations
Deputy of Electric energy
Deputy of Water & Wastewater
Deputy of Research & Human resources
Deputy of Planning & Economic objects
Water Allocation Sector
Water & Wastewater macro planning Bureau
Planning Sector
Engineering & Enviormental standards Bureau
Budget Sector
Water &Wastewater Operation & Conservation Bureau
Water Economy & Operation Optimization Bureau

21. Vulnerability and Adaptation (Objectives)
Climate Change in IRAN
Vulnerability and Adaptation (Objectives)
Identification of vulnerable sectors
Finding answers for questions regarding climate change impacts.
Providing the necessary information for making country’s development programs …
National Climate Change Office, december 2009

22. Vulnerability and Adaptation: Climate modeling and change study
LARS-WG
MGGICC- SCENGEN
PRECIS
This study was conducted by the National Center for Climatology of IRMO.
National Climate Change Office

23. National Climate Change Office
LARS WG Results
Temperature
Increasing 0.5 degrees of Centigrade in mean annual temperature
National Climate Change Office

24. Spatial Distribution of Temperature (2010-2039)
National Climate Change Office

25. Spatial Change in Average Rainfall 2020
National Climate Change Office

26. Summary of LARS WG Results
9% reduction in average rainfall
Average temperature will increase by 0.5 C
Threshold of heavy rainfall will be increased, therefore the flood index will be increased
Drought and number of dry days will be increased
National Climate Change Office

27. National Climate Change Office
MAGICC-SCENGEN Results
Change in Temperature
National Climate Change Office

28. National Climate Change Office
MAGICC-SCENGEN Results
Change in Rainfall %
National Climate Change Office

29. National Climate Change Office
Summary of Climate Change Models:
9% reduction in average rainfall
Average temperature will increase by 0.5 C
36% reduction in average runoff of Karun and Karkhe Basins
Reduction in average runoff in 25 basins
Increase in average runoff in 5 basins (max 12%)
National Climate Change Office

30. Understand impacts of climate change to plan for adaptation/mitigation
Ultimate goal:
Understand impacts of climate change to plan for adaptation/mitigation
Step 1:
Define a baseline for the study + appropriate criteria for CC including shift in changing climate phases
Step 2:
Observe carefully signs of CC impacts
Step 3:
Identify the root causes of changes
Step 5:
Devise of an adaptation plan for each of the G-WADI basins
Identify immediate measures for CC adaptation
Costs associated with climate change and its adaptation
Step 4:
Modeling , climate projection, risk assessment
Climate Change
initiative

31. General 4 years Plan:
Year 1: Getting started and review of available sources
Engage with partners
Identify resources
Review existing strategies
 Collection of available data

32. General 4 years Plan: Year 2: Baseline Definition
Collection of field data
Defining a baseline for climate comparison and devising climate change criteria
Developing a comprehensive report on observed changes at the basin level

33. General 4 years Plan: Year 3: Modeling Phase
Identifying root causes of observed changes
Scenario development and future climate modeling
Cost analysis to estimate costs associated with the predicted climate change

34. General 4 years Plan: Year 4: Devising an Adaptation Plan
Devise of a CC adaptation plan for each G-WADI Basin
Recommending immediate, mid-term and long-term measures for adaptation to the CC in each basin
Recommendations for formulation of the national CC adaptation plan
A workshop shall be held at the end of each year to discuss achieved results and for coordination among different units.

35. Hosting a G-WADI event in Iran in 2011
Next G-WADI Meeting:
Hosting a G-WADI event in Iran in 2011

36. Thanks for Your Kind Attention1