1. 1 Long Range Planning for Sustainable Growth Petra Todorovich Director, America 2050 Regional Plan Association Greater Vancouver Livability Forum June 1, 2009 Vancouver, BC

2. 2 Strategies at Every Scale 1.Global Trends 2.National Policy 3.Megaregion-scale coordination 4.Regional investments 5.City planning & urban design

3. 3 Global climate change and foreign oil dependence Rapid population growth and demographic change Threats to our global competitiveness Economic disparities and loss of opportunity

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5. 5 Megaregion Priorities: Building Blocks of a National Plan High-speed rail Seaports, airports, and goods movement Energy transmission and generation Water infrastructure and protection

6. 6 A Tradition of National Planning Gallatin Plan 1808 Theodore Roosevelt and Gifford Pinchot 1908

7. 7 National Resources Planning Board and the Interstate System National System of Interstate Highways, Public Roads Administration, 1947 Early interstate plan, from “Toll Roads and Free Roads,” National Resources Planning Board and Bureau of Public Roads, 1939

8. 8 “This is an opportunity not only to deal with the immediate crisis, but also to lay the foundations for long-term growth and prosperity in this country.” – President Barack Obama The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act

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12. 12 Boston New York Philadelphia Baltimore Washington The Northeast Megaregion 49 million inhabitants 17% of U.S. population on 2% of the land area 20% of U.S. GDP Will add 19 million additional people by 2050

13. 13 Rapid Urbanization Source: RPA GIS Model, Woods & Poole County Population projections Sprawl is causing the megaregion to grow together – but with trade offs to the environment and quality of life.

14. 14 Large Landscapes and Estuaries Source: RPA, adapted from the Appalachian Mountain Club

15. 15 Vision : Dense Hubs connected by high-speed transport

16. 16 The Cascadia Megaregion 1.Lead N. America in sustainable urban development 2.Enhance Cascadia “brand” – agricultural products, tourism, and more 3.Increase connections across international border

17. 17 Greensward A 3-million acre network of protected natural resource systems Mobility A seamless 21st century mass transit system Centers Maintaining half the region’s employment in urban centers Workforce Assisting minority and immigrant communities to fully participate in the economic mainstream Governance Restructuring institutions and fiscal incentives The Third Regional Plan

18. 18 The region is running out of the developable land and infrastructure capacity necessary to sustain growth into the 21 st Century. Implications Economy: Sprawling development patterns limiting economic growth. Equity: Further Isolation of low- income communities. Environment: Degrading our remaining open spaces. Data Source: 1930-1990 provided by RPA, USGS, and Cornell & 2020 by Hunter College The Implications of Sprawl CT NY NJ

19. 19 Transit Oriented Development in the NY Region Brownfield redevelopment Retrofitting sprawl Intensifying centers ExistingTrend Growth TOD Growth

20. 20 Pre-1960 1960-90 Increasing Land Consumption per Capita: Pre-1960= 0.10 acres/person 1960 to 1990=1.2acres/person Growth will consume over 2 million acres in 25 years. Loss of Open Space Photo taken by Alex Maclean: Landslides What’s at Stake

21. 21 Decline of urban centers What’s at Stake

22. 22 Photo taken by Alex Maclean: Landslides Segregation of land uses What’s at Stake

23. 23 Photo taken by Alex Maclean: Landslides Traffic and congestion What’s at Stake

24. 24 Strategies for Older Cities Inner Connections and Outer Connections

25. 25 Newark Vision Plan Summaries

26. 26 Recommendations Develop a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system for key Newark corridors Make the road network work Encourage dense new development around transit nodes and along transit corridors

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31. 31 Final Thoughts Implementation is required at every scale. Things take time! Dare to make grand plans. A Crisis is a terrible thing to waste.

32. 32 www.America2050.org www.rpa.org