1. Undergraduate Persistence & 6yr Graduation Rates: Fall 2003 through Fall 2010/Spring 2011

2. Persistence of All 1 st Time Freshmen 1 st Fall to Spring, and 1 st Fall to 2 nd Persistence of First Time Freshmen CampusFTF CohortFTF_IROCountFTF1st SpringFA-->SprFA->Spr%Fall 1-->Fall 2FA to FA % HILFall 2003Y443Sp 200439589.2%27862.8% HILFall 2004Y440Sp 200538888.2%30569.3% HILFall 2005Y444Sp 200638686.9%28764.6% HILFall 2006Y471Sp 200741788.5%30665.0% HILFall 2007Y512Sp 200846490.6%34968.2% HILFall 2008Y552Sp 200949790.0%37868.5% HILFall 2009Y471Sp 201043893.0%33370.7% HILFall 2010Y403Sp 201036891.3% Source: UHAPPS_IROFZ_IRO_BASE

3. Persistence of Classified Full-Time Freshmen 1 st Fall to Spring, and 1 st Fall to 2 nd Persistence of Classified Undergraduate Full-Time First Time Freshman Campus FT FTF CohortFTF_IROCountFT1st SpringFA-->SprFA->Spr%Fall 1-->Fall 2FA to FA % HILFall 2003Y437Sp 200439289.7%27462.7% HILFall 2004Y428Sp 200538088.8%29769.4% HILFall 2005Y423Sp 200637488.4%28166.4% HILFall 2006Y451Sp 200740690.0%29966.3% HILFall 2007Y494Sp 200844890.7%33868.4% HILFall 2008Y535Sp 200948791.0%37069.2% HILFall 2009Y455Sp 201042593.4%32471.2% HILFall 2010Y393Sp 201035991.3% Source: UHAPPS_IROFZ_IRO_BASE

4. Persistence of All Classified Undergraduates Fall to Fall, Fall 2006 and Fall 2007 Fall Sem# Class UG AcYr Grad1stFRFRSOJRSR 20062,658490471391591731474 # Return Fall 2007 1,840 Overall returning306148435594357 % Return Fall 2007 69.22% Overall65.00%37.9%73.6%81.3%75.3% Fall Sem# Class UG AcYr Grad1stFRFRSOJRSR 20072,641503512291636714488 # Return Fall 2008 1,877 Overall returning349142457561368 % Return Fall 2008 71.07% Overall68.20%48.8%71.9%78.6%75.4%

5. Persistence of All Classified Undergraduates Fall to Fall, Fall 2008 and Fall 2009 Fall Sem# Class UG AcYr Grad1stFRFRSOJRSR 20082,710498552260647753498 # Return Fall 2009 1,956 Overall returning378140492607339 % Return Fall 2009 72.17% Overall68.50%53.8%76.0%80.6%68.1% Fall Sem# Class UG AcYr Grad1stFRFRSOJRSR 20092,857460471282683857564 # Return Fall 2010 2,069 Overall returning333142509685400 % Return Fall 2010 72.41% Overall70.70%50.4%74.5%79.9%70.9%

6. Persistence of All Classified Undergraduates Fall to Fall, Fall 2010 ? Fall Sem# Class UG AcYr Grad1stFRFRSOJRSR 20102,858 493403 265 660907623 # Return Fall 2011 ????? % Return Fall 2011 ?????

7. The Flow of Classified Undergraduates Overall Fall 2006 Fall 2007 Fall 2008 Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Class UG3,148 Class UG3,144 Class UG3,208 Class UG3,317 Class UG3,351 Graduate 490 Graduate 503 Graduate 498 Graduate 460 Graduate 493 Return1,840 Return1,877 Return1,956 Return2,069 Return Add New1,304 Add New1,331 Add New1,361 Add New1,282 Add New

8. Freshman 1 st year Departers Last Semester and Cumulative GPA Academic Standing

9. Six Year Graduation Rates of 1 st Time Full Time Freshman 1995 by 2001 1996 by 2002 1997 by 2003 1998 by 2004 1999 by 2005 2000 by 2006 2001 by 2007 2002 by 2008 2003 by 2009 2004 by 2010 30.1%31.5%34.6%30.2%30.6%31.5%36.3%32.4%30.9%33.3%

10. Leading Indicators Project Review & Discussion: Looking at Milestone Attainment and Degree Completion among the Freshman Cohorts 2003, 2004, 2005

11. Educational Trust “Leading Indicators” Provides framework for investigating and understanding variable student graduation rate outcomes specifically with respect to those student’s attainment of specified milestones within the 1 st academic year. The basic framework includes demographic breakouts by ethnicity, low- income status, and FT/PT status. 1 st Academic Year Milestones include: 1.Completion of 80% or more attempted credit hrs with C or better. 2.Completion of minimum 24 credit hrs 3.Attempt College Level Math 4.Complete College Level Math C or better 5.Attempt English Composition 6.Complete English Composition

12. Customizing the Leading Indicators Framework Localized ethnicity sub populations. Ascertained pell status from any enrolled term, not just 1 st Fall. Ascertained student milestone attainment looking across all system campuses and inclusive of summer semesters immediately prior and subsequent 1 st Fall. Ascertained 6 yr degree completion looking separately for 4 yr degrees earned from Hilo campus, UH system, & outside UH system. Based on existing research/insights…Worked with 5 additional variables within the cohort: gender, residency, any summer enrollment behaviors, any change of major behaviors (by change type direction & magnitude)

13. Key Findings: of 1,327 Freshmen, the percentage satisfying milestones within their 1 st academic year enrolled

14. Key Findings: Of those satisfying each milestone, the percent graduating within 6 years

15. Key Findings: Of those NOT satisfying each milestone, the percent graduating within 6 years

16. Key Findings: Of those satisfying all milestones in the 1 st year, the percent graduating within 6 years

17. Key Findings: Of those satisfying NO milestones in the 1 st year, the percent graduating within 6 years

18. Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment Sub Population Number%80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Under-represented Minority 40030%68%59%70%58%49%42% Non-”URM” 65850%81%69%71%63%48%45% Nuetral/Unknown* 26920%66%60%62%52%40%36% Sub Population Number%80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Pell 49637%73%63%64%55%48%44% Non-Pell 83163%75%66%72%62%45%41%

19. More Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment Sub Population Number#80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Male 56242%70%61%69%57%45%40% Female 76558%77%66%69%61%47%43% Sub PopulationNumber%80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Major Change by Directions 38529%85%79%75%68%55%53% MJR No Change 94271%70%58%67%56%43%38% Sub PopulationNumber%80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Hawaii Resident 78459%73%64%71%61%52%47% Hawaii Non-Resident Regular 16012%74%60%66%55%34%29% Hawaii Non-Resident WUE 27921%83%69%66%59%51%48%

20. Yet More Detailed Variability in Milestone Attainment Sub PopulationNumber%80%24crMathAtt Math CompENGAtt ENG Comp Summer Enrolled Yes 53941%85%80%78%70%52%49% Summer Enrolled No 78859%67%54%63%52%43%38%

21. Overall Graduation Rates CohortTotal Graduated Elsewhere%Elsewhere Graduated Manoa%Manoa Graduated Hilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Overall 1327866.5%735.5%44733.7%60645.7%

22. Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates CohortTotal Else where%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Under-represented Minority 47781.7%132.7%13428.1%15532.5% Non-”URM” 5816911.9%345.9%23239.9%33557.7% Neutral/Unknown 26993.3%269.7%8130.1%11643.1% CohortTotal Else where%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Pell 496183.6%163.2%17635.5%21042.3% Non-Pell 831688.2%576.9%27132.6%39647.7%

23. More Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates CohortTotalElsewhere%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Male 562386.8%305.3%17130.4%23942.5% Female 765486.3%435.6%27636.1%36748.0% CohortTotalElsewhere%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Major Change by Directions 38551.3%82.1%26669.1%27972.5% MJR No Change 942818.6%656.9%18119.2%32734.7% CohortTotalElsewhere%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Hawaii Resident 784182.3%395.0%28236.0%33943.2% Hawaii Non-Resident Regular 1602113.1%63.8%4427.5%7144.4% Hawaii Non-Resident WUE 2794415.8%165.7%9132.6%15154.1% Non-Resident Alien 10432.9%1211.5%3028.8%4543.3%

24. Yet More Detailed Variability in Graduation Rates CohortTotalElsewhere%ElseManoa%ManoaHilo%Hilo Total Grads Overall Grad Rate Summer Enrolled Yes 539112.0%6612.2%28552.9%36267.2% Summer Enrolled No 788759.5%70.9%16220.6%24431.0%

25. Interventions:Interpretations Since Leading Indicators milestone attainment correlates favorably with graduation, And The Education Trust’s intention is to increase degree attainment among Low Income students and under-represented minorities… Action plan is that encouraging “good behaviors” through focused institutional interventions can improve milestone attainment and degree completion for Low Income and under-represented minorities specifically. Such interventions in turn, benefit overall institutional milestone attainment and graduation rates.

26. Charting Progress: What’s next? Freshman Cohort# FTF% Comp% Math 2003 44351.00%64.60% 2004 44044.80%69.50% 2005 44443.50%67.10% 2006 47145.60%59.90% 2007 51246.30%60.50% 2008 55254.70% 2009 47158.20% 2010 40360.50% *census registrations not satisfactory course completions

27. To Reframe the Challenge, How Might We: Reduce milestone attainment gaps between general (sub) population and Low Income and under-represented minority populations by half ? (A2S goal=Access to Success) Reduce degree attainment gaps between general (sub) population and Low Income and under-represented minority populations by half—institutional grad rates and/or overall ? (A2S goal=Access to Success) When… Low Income Hilo grad rate is 1.8% higher than general population & Overall grad rate is 3.4% lower. Also, their Hilo grad rate is 2.9% higher than Non Pell, & 5.4% lower overall. Under-represented minority Hilo grad rate is 5.6% lower than general population & Overall grad rate is 13.2% lower. Also, their Hilo grad rate is 11.8% lower than Non “URM”, & 25.2% lower overall.

28. Follow Through… Identify those sub population milestone and degree attainment gaps that most warrant direct attention Identify further institutional intervention strategies Identify further research questions needed for effective action