1. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC Barry Boehm, USC Vic Basili, UMD USC-CSE Annual Research Review March 11, 2002 Applying the CeBASE Method to the Army/DARPA Future Combat System (FCS)

2. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE2 Outline Affiliates’ Update FCS as Trend-Setter System of Systems FCS Software Challenges CeBASE and SEI Support of FCS Software Risk Management

3. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE3 Commercial Industry (15) –Daimler Chrysler, Freshwater Partners, Galorath, Group Systems.Com, Hughes, IBM, Cost Xpert Group, Microsoft, Motorola, Price Systems, Rational, Reuters Consulting, Sun, Telcordia, Xerox Aerospace Industry (6) –Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, SAIC, TRW Government (8) –DARPA, DISA, FAA, NASA-Ames, NSF, OSD/ARA/SIS, US Army Research Labs, US Army TACOM FFRDC’s and Consortia (4) –Aerospace, JPL, SEI, SPC International (1) –Chung-Ang U. (Korea) USC-CSE Affiliates (34)

4. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE4 USC-CSE 2001 Highlights New Affiliates: Daimler Chrysler, DISA, Freshwater Partners, OSD/SIS, Reuters Consulting New Research and Applications Contracts: DARPA/Army FCS; FAA; NASA/CMU High Dependability Computing Tools and Methods Collaborations: Freshwater Partners; GroupSystems.com; Rational; COSYSMO (many) CrossTalk Series of Articles (www.stsc.hill.af.mil/crosstalk) – 5/01: Spiral Development and Evolutionary Acquisition –12/01: MBASE Approach and Usage – 1/02: Schedule/Cost/Quality as Independent Variable – 5/02: CeBASE Method and CMMI Software Engineering Certificate Program

5. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE5 Certificate Program Courses - 3 units each; 6 course offerings/year CS 510 – Software Management and Economics (Fall) CS 578 – Software Architectures; Object Oriented Design (Spring) CS 591ab – Software Engineering (Fall-Spring) - 3 unit version of CS 577ab - Project verification & validation vs. development CS 592 – Emerging Best Practices in Software Engineering (Spring & Summer)

6. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE6 USC SWE Certificate Program Provides Key Software Talent Strategy Enablers Infusion of latest SWE knowledge and trends Tailorable framework of best practices Continuing education for existing staff - Including education on doing their own lifelong learning Package of career-enhancing perks for new recruits - Career reward for earning Certificate - Option to continue for MS degree - Many CS BA grads want both income and advanced degree

7. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE7 USC-CSE 2002 Calendar Feb. 4-6.COTS Based Systems Conference (with SEI, NRC Canada) Mar. 11-14.Annual Research Review, Agile Methods Workshop Mar. 13-15.Ground Systems Architectures Workshop (with Aerospace, USAF, SEI) May.Affiliates membership renewal May-Aug.Students available for employment, internships August.Certificate Program begins Oct. 22-25.COCOMO/Cost Modeling Forum and Workshop

8. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE8 Outline Affiliates’ Update FCS as Trend-Setter System of Systems FCS Software Challenges CeBASE and SEI Support of FCS Software Risk Management

9. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE9 From This... Small Unit UAV Other Layered Sensors Network Centric Force Distributed Fire Mechanisms Robotic Direct Fire Robotic NLOS Fire Robotic Sensor Manned C2/Infantry Squad To This... Exploit Battlefield Non-Linearities using Technology to Reduce the Size of Platforms and the Force Network Centric Distributed Platforms Future Combat Systems: A Network-Centric Example

10. Total Collaborative Effort to Support FCS

11. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE11 FCS Product/Process Interoperability Challenge

12. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©CeBASE12 Frequent Major SIS Problems Likely to Confront FCS Rapid change COTS Distribution, mobility Scalability Semiautonomy, HCI Architectural evolution Technology readiness Compound risks Legacy transition Acquisition practices Systems of systems Process synchronizing Interoperability Emergent requirements Budget and schedule In-house expertise Culture change A software system this large has never been built before

13. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE13 CeBASE and SEI Support of FCS Software Risk Management FCS is trading 70 tons of armor for software protection –by sensing, anticipating, and negating threats FCS PM Office –recognizes software challenges for FCS based on PM-initiated reviews –is actively addressing the software risks –has formed an SEI/CeBASE team to assist the PM in managing SW risk OSD co-funding CeBASE participation ($500K from ARA/SIS) –Building acquisition experience factory for next-gen systems-of- systems Current SEI/CeBASE approach –Risk-driven spiral (biggest risks first) –Use USC, SEI risk management techniques –Use UMD/CeBASE Experience Factory approach

14. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©USC-CSE14 Spiral Approach to Risk Management SEI/CeBASE review of selected FCS approach –Initial top-criticality risk assessments iterated with contractor Top-level risk management plans – Including next-level risk assessments – Identification of success-critical software IPT members Preparation, monitoring of detailed risk management plans – Contractor initiatives – Software IPT initiatives based on win-win – Coordination with DARPA IT programs – Risk tracking, experience-base building

15. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©CeBASE15 Org. Improvement Goals –Goal-related questions, metrics Org. Improvement Strategies –Goal achievement models Org. Shared Vision & Improvement Strategy Experience Factory Framework - I

16. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©CeBASE16 Initiatives Planning context Progress/Plan/ Goal Mismatches Experience Base Analyzed experience, Updated models Achievables, Opportunities Org. Improvement Goals –Goal-related questions, metrics Org. Improvement Strategies –Goal achievement models Org. Improvement Initiative Planning & Control Initiative Plans –Initiative-related questions, metrics Initiative Monitoring and Control –Experience-Base Analysis Org. Shared Vision & Improvement Strategy Experience Factory Framework - II

17. University of Southern California Center for Software Engineering C S E USC 03/11/2002©CeBASE17 Initiatives Planning context Progress/Plan/ Goal Mismatches Experience Base Analyzed experience, Updated models Achievables, Opportunities SW Improvement Goals –Goal-related questions, metrics SW Improvement Strategies –Goal achievement models FCS SW Improvement Initiative Planning & Control Initiative Plans –Initiative-related questions, metrics Initiative Monitoring and Control –Experience-Base Analysis FCS SW Shared Vision & Improvement Strategy Experience Factory Framework - FCS Project Shared Vision and Strategy Planning Context Selective Models and data Project experience Org. Goals Project Planning and Control Selective Models and data Progress/Plan/Goal Mismatches