1. John Blodgett OSEDA, UMC September 26, 2011 7 th Annual Missouri Senior Tax Levy Board Conference

2.  2010 Decennial Census  American Community Survey, “vintage” 2009, (Census Bureau)  Official Missouri population projections by county thru 2030.  Ongoing inter-censal population estimates.

3. mcdc.missouri.edu -via- oseda.missouri.edu

4. mcdc.missouri.edu

7.  Select up to 4 geographic areas for which you would like to see data.  You typically choose a state (Missouri is default), an Area Type (state, county, city, etc). A dynamically-generated select menu appears.  Select one or more areas from that select menu. E.g. choose 3 counties in Mo.  Repeat if necessary. Then use “Generate Report” button to see results.

10.  In 2000 there was a long form with questions about things like income, education, occupation, disability, home value, etc. The resulting data products were rich with all this content.  In 2010 there was only a short form with 7 questions. So all we get are basic demographics.  To get the “good stuff” you have to use the American Community Survey data.

11.  Access the “MO County Data Map” (from Quick Links box on mcdc pages)  http://mcdc.missouri.edu/pub/webrepts/mo cntymap.html http://mcdc.missouri.edu/pub/webrepts/mo cntymap.html  Provides an easy way to get access to a wide array of applications for a selected geographic area (such as a Missouri county).

14.  Geographic areas with 65k+ population get 1-year, 3-year and 5-year reports.  Areas with 20K pop but less than 65K get 3- year and 5-year reports.  Areas with < 20K just get 5-year reports.  Smaller areas require more years of data to increase the sample size.  Sampling error can be a major concern when using ACS data, esp for small areas.  Applinks takes care of taking you to latest available report(s).

15.  We are just now (9/11) starting to get “vintage 2010” ACS data. The single-year data were partially released 9-22-11.  3-year period estimates based on 2008-2010 data due in October. 5-year data (2006-2010) around Christmas.  Applinks currently provides links to the “vintage 2009” data. As newer data becomes available, applinks will be updated to reflect it.

16.  Until now, available only for areas with 65k population.  Starting later this year we’ll have 2005-2007 and 2008-2010 data for the medium-sized areas and will be able to do trend reports for them using these non-overlapping period estimates.  Links to the ACS trend reports are provided at the top of the ACS Profile reports.

19.  Trying to forecast the future, population- wise.  Done by the Missouri State Demographer’s Office in 2007.  Based on 2000 census data and 2005 post- censal estimates.  These will be revised to use the latest census data and estimates, “probably in 2014”.

20.  At http://mcdc.missouri.edu/trends/projections.shtml (just type “population projections” in “Search this site” box).http://mcdc.missouri.edu/trends/projections.shtml  This page contains links to data sets (accessible using uexplore/dexter) and to the Excel files, 1 per county, containing detailed data and pop pyramids.  Follow the link to the data sets to see …

24.  You can follow the link to the Charts directory from the moprojs uexplore page.  Takes you to a set of 115 Excel files, Adair.xls thru Wright.xls.  Each xls file contains 6 worksheets corresponding to years 2005, 2010,…,2030  Pop pyramids display above the data.

26.  The maps subdirectory of moprojs contains a series of data maps as.gif files.  They depict dot density and choropleth maps of selected data items taken from the elderdata911 data set.

28. John Blodgett OSEDA, U. of Missouri Missouri Census Data Center blodgettj@missouri.edu