1. CSES Vision & Strategies by Edward L. Miles Bloedel Professor of Marine Studies and Public Affairs Adjunct Professor of Fisheries Senior Fellow & Co-Director CSES/JISAO University of Washington Seattle, Washington CSES Review, 2004

2. The Principals Group Edward L. Miles, Director of CIG UW Schools of Marine Affairs, Public Affairs, Fisheries; JISAO Policy, Human Dimensions, Integration & Synthesis Ed Sarachik, Director of CDG UW Dept of Atmospheric Sciences; JISAO Climate Dynamics Douglas Canning WA Dept of Ecology Coastal Zone Robert C. Francis UW School of Fisheries Marine Ecosystems Richard Hoskins WA Dept of Health; UW School of Public Health Human Health Adrienne Karpov JISAO Manager, Program Ops. Ann Marie Kimball UW School of Public Health Human Health Dennis P. Lettenmaier UW Dept of Civil Engineering; JISAO Hydrology Nathan Mantua, Asst. Director CSES UW School of Marine Affairs, Dept of Atmospheric Sciences Climate Dynamics, Marine Ecosystems Philip Mote WA State Climatologist; UW Dept of Atmospheric Sciences Regional Climate, Outreach Richard Palmer UW Dept of Civil Engineering Hydrology David Peterson US Forest Service; UW College of Forest Resources Forest Ecosystems Amy K. Snover JISAO Integration & Synthesis

3. Areas of study: Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group Motivation: An understanding of the patterns and consequences of past climate variability, policy responses and their impacts is essential for preparing for future changes in climate. Increase regional resilience to climate variability and change Produce science useful to (and used by!) the decision making community; requires close and sustained stakeholder interactions

4. Climate Impacts Science: Design Concept 1 The study of how climate, natural resources, and human socio-economic systems affect each other  Requires integration of physical and social science research (UW+) and incorporation of stakeholders’ perspective (federal, tribal, state, local)

5. Climate dynamics Impacts on natural systems Impacts on human systems Human response capabilities VERTICALVERTICAL ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENTVERTICALVERTICAL ASSESSMENT ASSESSMENT

7. Climate Impacts Group nature humans climate CLIMATE IMPACTS SCIENCE External Stresses Managed Natural Resource Systems Climate Research Community - Seasonal/interannual climate forecasting - Anthropogenic climate change projections - Diagnostic analysis and interpretation Climate Impacts Research is retrospective, contextual, interdisciplinary & integrated Regional Climate Impacts Assessment Institutional Barriers Nature Institutions - Resource Managers - Policymakers - User Communities Adaptation & Change

8. Human activities (fishing) Freshwater habitat (water quality, quantity & timing) Estuarine habitat (water quality, mixing processes) Ocean habitat Climate change (altered water cycle) Human activities (resource & land use) Human activities (aquaculture, development) Climate change (sea level rise & ocean mixing) Health & Viability of PNW salmon Design Concept 2: Integrated Watershed Analysis Climate change