1. FTD-GPPT0063 - 1 Weather Product Development A Northwest Airlines Perspective Tom Fahey Manager - Meteorology Northwest Airlines

2. FTD-GPPT0063 - 2 Shared Goals Improved Safety Increased Efficiency Reduced Costs The Challenge: No two Airlines Define them the same Wx Product Development

3. FTD-GPPT0063 - 3 Turbulence Encounter Costs Costs * Minor Injury - $38 K Serious Injury - $518 K Death - $2.7 Million * Source: U.S. Federal Government Office of Management and Budget (OMB)

4. FTD-GPPT0063 - 4 NWA’s Implemented Initiatives Turbulence Plot System (TPS) –Convective Wind Shear Alerts Strategic Planning Team (SPT) –Collaborative Convective Fcst Prod (CCFP) Wx Product Development

5. FTD-GPPT0063 - 5 Convective Wind Shear Alerts Source –FAA TWIP System Distribution Methods –Pilot Request –Unsolicited Uplink (Send/Cancel Msgs) Pt: Addressed Varied Operating Philosophies

6. FTD-GPPT0063 - 6 TWIP Airports

7. FTD-GPPT0063 - 7 Bogus Alerts NWA Study Jan-May 2000 –72 Bogus Alerts - No Storms within 15nm (25 ranged 50-95kts) (22 ranged 30-50 kts due gusty winds) –100’s Bogus Alerts - No Storms within 15nm (100’s ranged 20-25kts due gusty winds) Convective Wind Shear Alerts

8. FTD-GPPT0063 - 8 Support, Resources and Gaps Real time Quality Control Conceptual Models –Convection Induced Shear –“No Storms within 15nm” Induced Shear Training Convective Wind Shear Alerts

9. FTD-GPPT0063 - 9 CCFP Excellent Example –“Rapid Development” –“User Driven” Wx Product Development

10. FTD-GPPT0063 - 10 CCFP Rapid Development 1997 1998 1999 2000

11. FTD-GPPT0063 - 11 CCFP Support, Resources and Gaps NWA Role –Industry Perception –AWC Issues Meteorologist Role –CWSU’s –Airline Meteorology Offices FAA and SPT Role

12. FTD-GPPT0063 - 12 Summary Design Requirement –Adaptable to varied users Recipe for Success –User Driven Specs Potential for Failure –Lack of on going quality control –No Conceptual Model Updating –No Recurrent Training Wx Product Development