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Aqua America Since 1888 Jordan Nicholas and Matt Conley.

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Presentation on theme: "Aqua America Since 1888 Jordan Nicholas and Matt Conley."— Presentation transcript:

1 Aqua America Since 1888 Jordan Nicholas and Matt Conley

2 Background Information  Symbol: WTR  Exchange: NYSE  Industry: Water Utilities  Sector: Utilities  High: $29.79 Low: $20.13 Current: $22.89  Beta:.16  Market Cap: $3.01 B  Dividend Yield: 2.04%  P/E Ratio: 33.39%  Symbol: WTR  Exchange: NYSE  Industry: Water Utilities  Sector: Utilities  High: $29.79 Low: $20.13 Current: $22.89  Beta:.16  Market Cap: $3.01 B  Dividend Yield: 2.04%  P/E Ratio: 33.39%

3 Financial Ratios

4 Conference Call  Increased Revenue, EPS, and Net Income for 4Q compared to 4Q2005  Previous 3 quarters affected by weather, regulatory lag, and inflationary impact on production costs  Year- end revenue and net income up from 2005  Diluted EPS down slightly  Rate Relief  Customer Growth up 7%  Increased Revenue, EPS, and Net Income for 4Q compared to 4Q2005  Previous 3 quarters affected by weather, regulatory lag, and inflationary impact on production costs  Year- end revenue and net income up from 2005  Diluted EPS down slightly  Rate Relief  Customer Growth up 7%

5 Conference Call Cont. Analyst Questions  Most analysts are basing the firm’s EPS growth, 12-15%, on positive outlook for the weather -CEO: Conservative outlook of 10% in 2007  Inflationary and Interest Rate Impact  Will there be equity issuance? -No,should be able to use retained earnings to finance future capital expenditures (No need to take out substantial debt or equity)  Most analysts are basing the firm’s EPS growth, 12-15%, on positive outlook for the weather -CEO: Conservative outlook of 10% in 2007  Inflationary and Interest Rate Impact  Will there be equity issuance? -No,should be able to use retained earnings to finance future capital expenditures (No need to take out substantial debt or equity)

6 Model By Comparables 2005 Numbers

7 Model By Comparables 2006 Numbers

8 Analyst Recommendations Yahoo Finance: Reuters:

9 Risks  Requires significant capital expenditures  Operating costs could increase due to new or stricter regulatory standards  Subject to seasonal fluctuations  Drought conditions  Future acquisitions could involve risk  Contamination of water supply  Requires significant capital expenditures  Operating costs could increase due to new or stricter regulatory standards  Subject to seasonal fluctuations  Drought conditions  Future acquisitions could involve risk  Contamination of water supply

10 Investment Thesis  Pro’s:  Socially responsible and sustainable company.  Promising future outlook for the need that Aqua America fulfills.  Good Corporate Governance Ratings  Low Beta: WTR -.16, Industry -.42  Promising Institutional Ownership  Clean 10-k (no red flags)  Con’s:  Significant risks with no clear explanation of how they are managed  Very High PE, very low quick and current ratios, low interest coverage, and a down EPS by.1 from 2005  Strict Industry Regulations  Negative Insider Trading  Poor Eval and Comparables Model implied stock price  Pro’s:  Socially responsible and sustainable company.  Promising future outlook for the need that Aqua America fulfills.  Good Corporate Governance Ratings  Low Beta: WTR -.16, Industry -.42  Promising Institutional Ownership  Clean 10-k (no red flags)  Con’s:  Significant risks with no clear explanation of how they are managed  Very High PE, very low quick and current ratios, low interest coverage, and a down EPS by.1 from 2005  Strict Industry Regulations  Negative Insider Trading  Poor Eval and Comparables Model implied stock price Moderate Buy


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