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Agricultural Economics 330 Instructor: David J. Leatham
Study Guide Chapter Agricultural Economics 330 Instructor: David J. Leatham
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Question 1 Answer: Financing Gap in the 5th year is about $10 per acre
The following graph shows the financing gaps and surpluses per acre of land. Based on this graph, what is the approximate financing gap in the 5th year? Answer: Financing Gap in the 5th year is about $10 per acre
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Question 2 When choosing a discount rate, what is the lower bound (the lowest acceptable discount rate)? The discount rate must be at least as high as the cost of capital. Thus the cost of capital forms a lower bound. If the discount rate was set any lower, investments would be taken that would not recover the cost of capital.
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Question 3 The lowest marginal tax rate for most farm and ranch firms is at least 30.3%. Explain why. There are two primary taxes: Federal Income Tax and Self-employment tax. The lowest marginal tax rate for federal income taxes is 15% and the lowest marginal tax for self-employment taxes is 15.3%. Combined, the marginal tax rate is 30.3%
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Question 4 Give an example of a mutually exclusive investment.
A farmer has decided on putting in an irrigation system. The farmer can use hand set, wheel line, flood, or center pivot irrigation. The choice of the irrigation system is mutually exclusive because the farmer can only choose one system out of the four alternatives.
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Question 5 Calculate the present value of the after-tax net returns to land in the 7th year if the real pre-tax net returns to land today are $100, real net returns to land are assumed to increase by 4% each year, the inflation rate is 5%, the marginal tax rate is 30%, and the pretax risk adjusted discount rate is 10%. Show all your work.
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Question 5 Answer F*n = F*0 (1+g)n g=real growth rate = 4%
Continued
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Question 5 Answer Continued
After-tax, risk adjusted discount rate = .1(1-.3) = 0.07 ot 7% PV(after-tax net return in 7th year = (1+.07)-7 = 80.72
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Investment Description
Aggieland Farms is located in the Texas Blacklands between near Canton, Texas. The owner, Mr. Agirich has an opportunity to purchase a 100 acre tract of land nearby that can be managed as hay meadow. The price of the meadow land is $800 per acre. Coastal Bermuda and Crimson Clover grass has already been established on the land. The grass can be cut three times a year, May, June and August. Each March the meadow will be aerated, sprayed for weeds, and fertilized with 100 pounds of fertilizer. After the first and second cutting, the meadow will be aerated and fertilized again. After the last cutting, the meadow will just be fertilized. The meadow is expected to produce four tons of hay (27 square bales/ton) per acre per year. A neighbor has agreed to buy each bale produced for three dollars a bale. Aggieland Farms has equipment for spraying, cutting and stacking the hay. The farm needs another baler. Operating receipts are projected to be $324 per acre and the operating expenses are expected to be $236 per acre. Mr. Agirich plans to sell the land in three years for $840. Mr. Agririch requires at least a 8% pre-tax, risk-free return on capital and a 4% risk premium on land investments. Without the land purchase, Aggieland Farms’ net income is projected to be $55,000 and would pay $4,400 in income and self-employment taxes. However, Aggieland Farms would have to pay $0.30 in taxes per $1 of additional taxable income.
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Investment Description
Mr. Agirich has calculated the after-tax cash flows as follows:
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Question 6 Calculate the average tax rate for Aggieland Farms if the meadow land is not purchased. Answer Average tax rate = (4,400/55,000) 8%
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Question 7 What is the marginal tax rate for Aggieland Farms. Answer
30%
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Question 8 Calculate the Net Present Value for the meadow land investment.
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Discount Rate: After-tax risk-adjusted rate
r = [ rbt + PREM ] (1-m) r = after-tax, risk-adjusted discount rate rbt = before-tax, risk-free discount rate PREM = risk premium -- adjustment for risk m = marginal tax rate r = [ ] (1-.30) r = 0.12 (1-.30) r = .084 or 8.4% 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Calculate NPV NPV = -C0 +NR(1-m)[USPVr,N] +mD [USPVr,N] + TVat (1+r)-N
NPV = [USPV8.4%,3] ( )-3 NPV = = 7.65 NPV = $ 7.65 per acre NPV = $765 for the 100 acres
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Question 9 Calculate the maximum bid price per acre of meadow land.
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Maximum Bid Price NPV = 0 = -C + PV (after-tax net returns)
+[TV-(TV-C)m] (1+r)-N NPV = 0 = -C +[840-(840-C).30] (1+.084)-3 C = $810 Maximum Bid Price of land is $810 per acre
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Question 10 Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $700 per acre and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to purchase the 100 acres. The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year equal principal loan (15 uniform principal payments) at 10.5% with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. A. Suppose Mr. Agirich decides to borrow the money from AGROCASH. Calculate the net cash flows after debt for this meadow land investment.
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Annual Principal Payment = 700/15 = 46.67
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Financial Feasibility
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Question 10 Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $700 per acre and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to purchase the 100 acres. The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year equal principal loan (15 uniform principal payments) at 10.5% with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. B. How much is the financing gap (or surplus) in the second year? Answer: $33.09
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Question 10 Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $700 per acre and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to purchase the 100 acres. The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year equal principal loan (15 uniform principal payments) at 10.5% with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. C. Suppose Mr. Agirich plans to keep the land for over 15 years. Suppose also that the AGROCASH Bank will provide the loan described above but the payments must be paid quarterly. Calculate the annual percentage rate (APR) and the effective interest rate.
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APR and Effective Rate If there are no noninterest costs, and the remaining balance method of computing interest is used, the contractual rate equal to the APR. APR = 10.5% Effective Interest Rate ie = [1+(0.105/4)]4 -1 =10.92%
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Question 11 Suppose that Mr. Agirich made a mistake when calculating the after-tax net returns. Suppose that the real operating receipts of $324 per acre and the real operating expenses of $236 per acre are projected to increase by 2% each year. Moreover, inflation is expected to be 3%. Calculate the present value of the after-tax net returns over the three year life of the land investment.
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Calculate CashFlows First, calculate real net returns
Second, calculate nominal net returns
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Calculate Real Net Returns
F*n = F*0 (1+g)n g=real growth rate n=1 F*1 = 88 (1+.02)1 = 89.76 n=2 F*2 = 88 (1+.02)2 = 91.56 n=3 F*3 = 88 (1+.02)3 = 93.39 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Calculate Nominal Net Returns
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PV(After-tax Net Returns) = 64.72(1+.084)-1 +67.0(1+.084)-2
+71.43(1+.084)-3 PV = = 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 12 Aggieland Farms needs another baler for 3 years. Mr. Agirich can buy a John Deere standard square baler for $20,000 and has calculated the net present value to be $-6,282. Mr. Agirich can also lease the baler. The financial lease is a 3 year lease with annual lease payments of $3,300 paid at the beginning of each year. The lease payment is tax deductible but is claimed at the end of the year instead of at the beginning of the year when the lease payment is made. The leased baler is the same as the baler that would be purchased and must be operated and maintained the same. Assume that the discount rate is the same as the discount rate used in evaluating the land investment. Also assume that Mr. Agirich expects inflation to be 3%.
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Question 12.A Calculate the real after-tax, risk-adjusted discount rate. Answer r* = 5.24%
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Question 12.B Calculate the real annuity equivalent for the purchased baler -6,282 = A* e [USPV5.24,3] A* e = $-2,317
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Question 12.C Calculate the real annuity equivalent for the leased baler.
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Lease Payments Before Tax Payments Tax Savings
$3,300 Tax Savings 3,300 * .3 = 990 Lease Payments after-tax 3, =2,310 or 3,300(1-.3) = 2,310
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Calculate Net Present Value
NPV = -3, [USPV8.4%,2] ( )-3 NPV = -3, , = -6,619.7 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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-6,619.7= Ae [USPV5.24%, 3] Annuity Equivalent for Leasing New Tractor
1 2 3 r = 5.24 % A A A -6,619.7 V0 = A [USPVr,N] Present Value of an Uniform Annuity -6,619.7= Ae [USPV5.24%, 3] 3 5.24 -6,619.7 Ae Ae = -2,441.7 N i% PV PMT FV 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 12.D Should Mr. Agirich buy or lease the baler? Answer Buy
Ae(buy) = -2,317 Ae(lease = -2,441
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Question 12.E The local Production Credit Association (PCA) has agreed to lend Mr. Agirich $15,000 if he buys the baler. The PCA will make a 5-year loan fully amortized at 10% with annual payments. A $150 loan fee and stock purchase is required. The borrower stock requirement is the lesser of $1,000 or 2% of loan principal. Money will be borrowed to cover the loan fee and stock requirement. Calculate the actuarial, annual percentage (APR) and effective interest rates.
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P = L + F = 15, = 15,459.18 (1-s) (1-.02) S = .02(15,459.18) = L = 15,459, =15,000 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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PCA Loan Payment (A) 15,459.18=A[USPV10%,3] A=-6,216.37 4/17/2017
Agricultural Finance
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Calculate Actuarial Rate (Yield)
Use Calculator 3 1 2 r = ? % -6,216.37 - 6,216.37 - 6,216.37 15,000 309.18 15,000 = 6, [USPVr,3] (1+r)-3 r = 10.86% i% PV PMT FV ? 15,000 -6,216.37 3 309.18 N 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Calculate APR & Effective Rate
APR = * 1 = or 10.86% Calculate Effective Rate ie = [ ] -1 = or 10.86% 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 13 Suppose Mr. Agirich is interested in buying a tract of farm land and wants to know how much he can pay for it and still be a good investment. Assume that Mr. Agirich requires at least a 10% pre-tax, risk-free return on capital, assigns a 3% risk premium on land investments, has a 30% marginal tax rate and expects inflation to be 5%. Calculate the maximum bid price per acre of land if Mr. Agirich plans on selling the land for $3,000 (nominal dollars) in 10 years, and the present value of the after-tax net returns is Show all your work.
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Question 10 Answer After-tax risk adjusted discount
rate = [ ](1-.3) = or 9.1% NPV = 0 = -C + PV (after-tax net returns) +[TV-(TV-C)m] (1+r)-N NPV = 0 = -C +[3,000-(3,000-C).30] (1+.091)-10 C = 1,918.5 Maximum Bid Price of land is $1,918.5 per acre
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Question 14 Calculate the real annuity equivalent on an investment given that the net present value is $20,000, the life of the investment is 15 years, the pre-tax, risk adjusted required rate of return is 12%, the marginal tax rate is 40%, the expected inflation rate is 5%, and the loan is fully amortized at 8% over 10 years. Show all your work.
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Question 14 Answer Real Discount Rate (r*)
Discount rate = 0.12(1-.4) = or 7.2% Real Discount Rate (r*) 20,000 = Ae* [USPV2.095%, 15] Real Annuity Equivalent = Ae* = 1,576.6
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Question 15 A manager has decided to buy a farm widget. Two alternative financing methods are available: (A) use a financial lease or (B) purchase the widget using owner financing and borrowed capital. The financial lease is a 3 year lease with annual lease payments of $6,000 paid at the beginning of each year (a lease payment is tax deductible; assume it can be claimed at the beginning of each year). The manager can buy the widget for $20,000 and sell it again in 4 years for $4,000. The IRS will allow the widget to be depreciated over 10 years. The marginal tax rate is 30%. The manager requires at least a 14% pre-tax return on capital. Assume the inflation rate is 0%, and the annual operating returns and costs are the same for leasing and buying. Should the manager buy or lease?
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Lease Widget
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NR(1-m)= -6,000(1-.30) = -4,200 D=0 mD=0 TVat = 0
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r = 0.14(1-.3) = or 9.8% NPV = -4, ,200 [USPV9.8%,2] NPV = - 4, ,309 = -11,508
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Annuity Equivalent for Leasing Widget
1 2 3 r = 9.8 % A A A -11,508 V0 = A [USPVr,N] Present Value of an Uniform Annuity -11,508= Ae [USPV9.8%, 3] i N PV PMT FV 3 9.8 -11,508 Ae Ae = -4,612
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Buy Widget
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NR(1-m)= 0 D=20,000/10 = 2,000 mD=2,000(.3) = 600 TVat = 4,000 - [4,000 -(20, ,000)].3 = 6,400
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NPV = -20,000 + 600 [USPV9.8%,4] +6,400(1+.098)-4 NPV = -20, , ,403= -13,687
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... Annuity Equivalent for the Used Tractor 1 2 4 r = 9.8 % A A A
1 2 4 ... r = 9.8 % A A A -13,687 V0 = A [USPVr,N] Present Value of an Uniform Annuity -13,687 = Ae [USPV9.8%, 4] i N PV PMT FV 4 9.8 -13,687 Ae Ae = -4,299
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Widget NPV Annuity Equivalent
Buy -13, ,299 Lease -11, ,611 Choose to buy the Widget
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Investment Description
Aggieland Farms is located in the between Plantersville and Magnolia, Texas. The owner, Mr. Agirich has an opportunity to purchase an additional 114 acres, with 38 acres planted in fruit trees, 10 acres cleared for camping and parking, and 66 acres that can be cleared for ranching or orchards. His son Bubba has just graduated from A&M and would like to purchase the land and start a pick-your-own fruit operation. He plans to call the business “PICK-EM FRESH.” The orchard (broadly defined) includes strawberries, blackberries, nectarines, plums, Asian pears and figs. Bubba believes that he should be able to sell most of the fruit produced because there are many people who prefer picking their own fruit rather than buying it at a store. Mr. Agirich can buy the 114 acres for $300,000. Workers are needed for planting, pruning, thinning and spraying. The only machinery needed is a tractor and sprayer. Operating receipts from the sell of fruit are projected to be $70,000 per year and the operating expenses from the production and marketing of fruit are expected to be $30,000 per year. Mr. Agirich plans to sell the land in three years for $360,000. Mr. Agririch can buy the tractor and sprayer for $45,000 and sell it for $$40,000 in three years. The tractor and sprayer can be depreciated for tax purposes over seven years. Mr. Agrich expects the operating cost of running the tractor and sprayer to be $2,000 per year. Mr. Agririch requires at least a 8% pre-tax, risk-free return on capital and a 7% risk premium on this type of investments. Without the land purchase, Aggieland Farms’ net income is projected to be $75,000 and would pay $5,000 in income and self-employment taxes. However, Aggieland Farms will have to pay $0.30 in taxes per $1 of additional taxable income.
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Investment Description
Mr. Agirich has calculated the nominal after-tax cash flows as follows:
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Question 16 Calculate the average tax rate for Aggieland Farms if the PICK-EM FRESH investment is not purchased. Answer Average tax rate = (5,000/75,000) 6.67%
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Question 17 What is the marginal tax rate for Aggieland Farms. Answer
30%
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Question 18 Calculate the Net Present Value for the PICK-EM FRESH investment.
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Discount Rate: After-tax risk-adjusted rate
r = [ rbt + PREM ] (1-m) r = after-tax, risk-adjusted discount rate rbt = before-tax, risk-free discount rate PREM = risk premium -- adjustment for risk m = marginal tax rate r = [ ] (1-.30) r = 0.15 (1-.30) r = or 10.5% 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Calculate NPV NPV = -C0 +NR(1-m)[USPVr,N] +mD [USPVr,N] + TVat (1+r)-N
NPV = -300k + 28k[USPV10.5%,3] k ( )-3 -45k - 1.4k[USPV10.5%,3] + 1,929[USPV10.5%,3] + 35,714 ( )-3 NPV = -300k+69, ,477.42 -45k -3, ,470.07 = 5,273.94
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Question 19 Calculate the maximum bid price for the 114-acres of land.
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Maximum Bid Price NPV = 0 = -CL + PV (after-tax net returns to land)
+[TVL-(TVL-CL)m] (1+r)-N -CM + PV (after-tax net returns to Machinery) +PV (Tax Savings: Depreciation) +[TVM-(TVM-CM)m] (1+r)-N NPV = 0 = -CL + 69,023 +[360k-(360k-CL).30] (1+.105)-3 -45k-3,451+4,754+26,470 Maximum Bid Price of land is $306,762
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Question 20.A Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $280,000 and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to invest in the PICK-EM FRESH business opportunity The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year fully amortized loan at 12% (annual payments) with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. Inflation is expected to be 3%. A. Suppose Mr. Agirich decides to borrow the money from AGROCASH. Calculate the net cash flows after debt for this PICK-EM FRESH investment.
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280k=A[USPV12%,15] A=41,110.79
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Financial Feasibility
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Question 20.B Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $280,000 and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to invest in the PICK-EM FRESH business opportunity The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year fully amortized loan at 12% (annual payments) with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. Inflation is expected to be 3%. B. How much is the financing gap in the second year? Answer: $2,772.18
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Question 20.C Suppose Aggieland Farms wants to borrow $280,000 and the local AGROCASH Bank will lend him the money to invest in the PICK-EM FRESH business opportunity The AGROCASH Bank will make a 15-year fully amortized loan at 12% (annual payments) with interest calculated using the remaining balance method. Inflation is expected to be 3%. C. Suppose Mr. Agirich plans to keep the PICK-EM FRESH business indefinitely. Suppose also that the AGROCASH Bank will provide the loan described above. Also suppose PEACHTREE Bank will lend Mr. Agirich $270,000 at 11.25% but the payments must be paid monthly.
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Problem 20.C.1 5.C.1 Determine which bank offers the least cost loan.
If there are no noninterest costs, and the remaining balance method of computing interest is used, the contractual rate equal to the APR.
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Problem 20.C.1 continued PEACHTREE Bank AGROCASH Bank
APR = 11.25% Effective Interest Rate ie = [1+(0.1125/12)]12 -1 = 11.85% =11.85% AGROCASH Bank APR = 12% ie = [1+(0.12)] -1 = 12% PEACHTREE Bank has the Least Cost
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Problem 20.C.2 5.C.2 Also discuss other factors that Mr. Agirich should consider when deciding which loan he should take. Liquidity Downpayment is lower with AGROCASH Bank. Monthly payments are required with PEACHTREE Bank. More difficult to make payments in months of cash deficits which are inherent in orchard loans. Does Mr. Agirich have a long-term banking relationship with one of the banks he wants to maintain.
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Question 21 Suppose that Mr. Agirich made a mistake when calculating the after-tax net returns to the land. Suppose that the real operating receipts of $70,000 and the real operating expenses of $30,000 are projected to increase by 5% each year. Moreover, inflation is expected to be 3%.
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Question 21.A 6.A. Calculate the present value of the after-tax net returns to land over the three-year life of the investment. First, calculate real net returns Second, calculate nominal net returns
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Calculate Real Net Returns
F*n = F*0 (1+g)n g=real growth rate n=1 F*1 = 40k (1+.05)1 = 42k n=2 F*2 = 40 (1+.05)2 = 44.1k n=3 F*3 = 40 (1+.05)3 = 46.31k 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Calculate Nominal Net Returns
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PV(After-tax Net Returns) = 30.28(1+.105)-1 +32.75(1+. 105)-2
+35.42( )-3 PV = = k or $80,477 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 21.B B. By how much was the NPV understated before correcting for this mistake? Answer 80,477-69,023=11,454
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Question 22 Suppose that Mr. Agirich is considering leasing a tractor and sprayer instead of purchasing it. Mr. Agirich has talked with the local John Deere dealership and the dealership has agreed to lease Mr. Agirich a tractor and sprayer. The financial lease is a 3 year lease with annual lease payments of $10,000 paid at the beginning of each year. The lease payment is tax deductible but is claimed at the end of the year instead of at the beginning of the year when the lease payment is made. The leased tractor and sprayer are the same as the tractor and sprayer that would be purchased and must be operated and maintained the same. Cashflows common with the purchase and lease arrangement were omitted. Assume that the discount rate is the same as the discount rate used in evaluating the PICK-EM FRESH investment. Also assume that Mr. Agirich expects inflation to be 3%.
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Question 22.A Calculate the real after-tax, risk-adjusted discount rate. Answer r* = 7.28%
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Question 22.B 7.B Calculate the real annuity equivalent for the purchased tractor and sprayer. From question 3: NPV = -45,000-3, ,470 = -17,227 -17,227 = A* e [USPV7.28%,3] A* e = $-6,598
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Question 22.C 7.C Calculate the real annuity equivalent for the leased tractor and sprayer.
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Lease Payments Before Tax Payments Tax Savings
$10,000 Tax Savings 10,000 * .3 = 3,000 Lease Payment after tax deduction 10,000-3,000 = 7,000 or 10,000(1-.3) = 7,000
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Calculate Net Present Value
NPV = -10, ,000 [USPV10.5%,2] + 3,000 ( )-3 NPV = -10, , ,223 = -19,844 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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-19,844= Ae [USPV7.28%, 3] Annuity Equivalent for Leasing New Tractor
1 2 3 r = 7.28 % A A A -19,844 V0 = A [USPVr,N] Present Value of an Uniform Annuity -19,844= Ae [USPV7.28%, 3] 3 7.28 -19,844 Ae Ae = -7,600 N i% PV PMT FV 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 22.D Should Mr. Agirich buy or lease the tractor and sprayer?
Answer Buy Ae(buy) = -6,598 Ae(lease = -7,600
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Question 23 8. List and discuss the characteristics of farmland and the special factors affecting the value of land.
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Question 23 --Answer Characteristics of Farm Land Durable and Immobile
Legal Restriction on use Special taxation Low ownership turnover --2-3% a year 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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Question 23 continued Characteristics of Farm Land
Value influenced by special factors: Excess machinery capacity Close proximity to existing operations Nonmonetary factors: love of farming, rural lifestyle Proximity to urban growth Environmental Concerns Recreational Value Mineral, Oil, and Resource Rights 4/17/2017 Agricultural Finance
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