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ECON 1211 Lecturer: Dr B. Nowbutsing Topic 1: Introduction to Macroeconomics and National Income Accounting
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20.1 1.Macroeconomics n the study of the economy as a whole n it deals with broad aggregates n but uses the same style of thinking about economic issues as in microeconomics.
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20.2 2.Some key issues in macroeconomics n Inflation – the rate of change of the general price level n Unemployment – a measure of the number of people looking for work, but who are without jobs n Output – real gross national product (GNP) measures total income of an economy n it is closely related to the economy's total output
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20.3 3.More key issues in macroeconomics n Economic growth – increases in real GNP, an indication of the expansion of the economy’s total output n Macroeconomic policy – a variety of policy measures used by the government to affect the overall performance of the economy
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20.4 4.Inflation in the UK, 1950-99 Source: Economic Trends Annual Supplement, Labour Market Trends
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20.5 5.Inflation in selected European countries
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20.6 6.Inflation in UK, USA and Germany
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20.7 7.Unemployment in the UK, 1950-99 Source: Economic Trends Annual Supplement, Labour Market Trends
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20.8 8.Unemployment in selected European countries
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20.9 9.Unemployment in UK, USA and Germany
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20.10 10.Economic growth in UK, USA and Germany
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20.11 11.Inflation Rate in Mauritius
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20.12 12.Employment Rate in Mauritius
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20.13 13.Economic Growth Rate in Mauritius
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20.14 14.An Overview of Circular Flow n The circular flow shows how real resources and financial payments flow between firms and households n Households: supply factor services to firms, receive factor incomes from firms, buy output from firms n Firms: use factors to make output, rent factor services from households, sell output to households
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20.15 15.The circular flow of income, expenditure and output (closed economy) HouseholdsFirms Y C
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20.16 16.National Income Accounting n Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – measures the output made in the domestic economy, regardless of who owns the production inputs. n Transactions do not take place between a single firm and a single household n Firms hire labour from households but buy raw materials from other firms n To avoid double counting, we have to use value added
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20.17 16.National Income Accounting n Value added: firm’s output – firm’s input goods used to make that output n Intermediate vs. final goods n Final goods are purchased by the ultimate user. n Intermediate goods are partly-finished goods that form inputs to a subsequent production process that then uses them up
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20.18 17.Investment and Saving n In the initial flow, there was no saving and investment n A leakage from the circular flow is money no longer recycled from households to firm (saving) n An injection is money that flows to firms without being cycled through households (investment)
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20.19 17.Investment and Saving n Three measures of GDP (income, expenditure, output) n Y = C + S Y: GDP; C: Consumption; S: Saving n Y = C + I I: Investment Thus, S = I
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20.20 18.The circular flow of income, expenditure and output Y HouseholdsFirms C + I IC S
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20.21 19.Government in the Circular flow n Government raises revenue both through direct taxes (Td) and indirect taxes (Te) n Government finance two kinds of expenditures: (1)spending on goods and services, G, is purchase by the government of physical ` goods and services including wages (2) Transfer payment, B, pensions and other benefits
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20.22 19.Government in the Circular flow n Given B and T e, we must make a distinction between Y and Y d such that Y d = Y+ B – T d, n Y = C + I + G n The above measures GDP at market prices n It we exclude indirect taxes, we get GDP at basic prices, i.e. n Y = [C + I + G] – T e n S = (Y + B- T d ) – C or Y = S + C + T d - B
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20.23 19.Government in the Circular flow Given Y = [C + I + G] – T e and Y = S + C + T d - B We get [C + I + G] – T e = Y = S + C + T d – B n This implies S + T d – T e = I + G + B Left hand side is leakages from the circular flow Right hand side is injections to the circular flow n The equation can be written as S – I = G + B - T d – T e n Financial surplus in private sector can be offset by a government deficit
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20.24 19.Government in the circular flow Y C + I + G I C S HouseholdsFirmsGovernment C + I + G - T e TeTe G B - T d Y + B - T d
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20.25 20.Adding the foreign sector n To incorporate the foreign sector into the circular flow n we must recognize that residents of a country will buy imports from abroad n and that domestic firms will sell (export) goods and services abroad. n Y = C + I + G + (X – Z) - T e
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20.26 21.GDP and GNP n Gross domestic product (GDP) – measures the output produced by factors of production located in the domestic economy n Gross national product (GNP) – measures the total income earned by domestic citizens n GNP = GDP + net income from abroad
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20.27 22.Three measures of national output n Expenditure – the sum of expenditures in the economy – Y = C + I + G + X - Z n Income – the sum of incomes paid for factor services – wages, profits, etc. n Output – the sum of output (value added) produced in the economy
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20.28 23.National income accounting: a summary GNP (and GNI) at market prices GDP at market prices NYA C X - Z I NYA G NNP at market prices Deprec'n National income Indirect taxes Wages and salaries Self- employment Profits, rents
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20.29 24.What GNP does and does not measure n GNP is an aggregate measure (does not consider distribution of income- Lorenz Curve) n GNP is a combination of price and quantity (inflation inflate GDP - distinguish between real and nominal measurements) n GNP is not a comprehensive measure of everything that contributes to economic welfare n Population change should be considered
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