1. Glasgow, MT Forecast October 11, 2010

2. Where is Glasgow? http://maps.google.com/maps?client=firefox- a&rls=org.mozilla:en- US:official&channel=s&hl=en&q=glasgow,+mt& um=1&ie=UTF- 8&hq=&hnear=Glasgow,+Mt&gl=us&ei=w26zTL rjNYuosQPIqbGtDA&sa=X&oi=geocode_result& ct=image&resnum=1&ved=0CCEQ8gEwAA

3. Things to look at Forecast Discussion Satellite Analysis NCEP Models NAM GFS Bufkit MOS USL

4. Text forecast links Forecast Discussion: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=N WS&issuedby=GGW&product=AFD&format=CI &version=1&glossary=1 http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=N WS&issuedby=GGW&product=AFD&format=CI &version=1&glossary=1 MOS – http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi- bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KGGW http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi- bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KGGW USL http://www.microclimates.org/forecast/KGGW/2 0101011_12.html http://www.microclimates.org/forecast/KGGW/2 0101011_12.html How to read MOS: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/synop/redmav.htm

5. Links http://www.weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=ir&h ours=12 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_500_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_700_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/namer/nam/12/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analys is/

6. NAM

7. GFS

8. Ensembles Storm Prediction Center Short Range Ensemble Forecast (SPC SREF) http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/ EMC NCEP SREF http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/S REF.html http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/S REF.html

10. http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/FCST/COM_US/web_js/html/mean_t2m.html

11. Comparisons GFS 57 41 14kts 0.01 GFS MOS 60 36 12kts 0 NAM 60 40 14kts 0.00 NAM MOS 38 58 11kts 0 USL 60 39 20kts 0.01

12. Forecast Low – 38 – Light winds over night – High Humidity -> fog High – 60 – Drier air behind cold front – Winds shifting to westerly so less cold advection

13. Forecast Continued Wind – 17 Strong winds during the day Models agree on winds picking up Precip – 0 Any precipitation will be at or before the forecast time

15. Forecast Day 1 60 38 17kts 0 NWS 60 39 14kts 0 ter@hawaii.eduter@hawaii.edu HIG 370