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Investments: Background and issues CHAPTER 1
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Investments & Financial Assets Essential nature of investment Reduced current consumption Planned later consumption How to invest Real Assets: Assets used to produce goods and services produce income to economy Financial Assets Claims on real assets or income generated by them Allocation of income, real assets among investors, individuals in the economy
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Balance Sheet – U.S. Households
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Financial Assets Financial assets Fixed-income (Bonds) Equity (Stocks) Derivatives Money Market (Short-term) Common Stocks Preferred Stocks Options Futures Bond Market (Long-term)
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Role of Financial asset and financial markets in the Economy Consumption Timing Allocation of Risk Separation of Ownership and Management
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Consumption Timing Savers (earn more than spend) Borrowers (spend more than earn) Financial assets: stocks, bonds, deposits, etc. How do you transfer money from when you do not need to when you need?
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Allocation of risk Example: GM wants to build a new auto plant, it raised money by issuing stocks and bonds GM Stock investors (high risk) Bond investors (low risk) Auto plant High risk and low risk Stock Bond
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Separation of ownership and management Example: GE, total asset is $640 bil Cannot be single owner, must have many owners Selling stocks to market Currently, GE has 500,000 owners These owners choose managers Can easily transfer ownership without any impact on management
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The Investment Process Asset allocation Security selection Risk-return trade-off Market efficiency Active vs. passive management
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Investment process Broad assets Stocks Bonds Real estate Commodity Small stock Big stock corporate bond T-bond, T-bill House Land coffee, tea gold, oil, etc (1) Asset allocation (2) Security analysis
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30s70%30% 40s6040 50s5050 60s4060 Common AgeStocksBonds Example of Asset Allocation
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Example of Security Selection Your Stock Portfolio AutoRetailFinancial Wal-Mart Nordstroms Sears Bank of America Berkshire Hathaway Citibank
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There is no free lunch!
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Market Efficiency Security prices accurately reflect all relevant information. The price in the market is the true price Earn return just enough to compensate for risk, no abnormal return
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Active vs. Passive Management Active Management Finding undervalued securities Timing the market Passive Management No attempt to find undervalued securities No attempt to time Holding an efficient portfolio
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Players in the Financial Markets Business Firms – net borrowers Households – net savers Governments – can be both borrowers and savers Investment Bankers
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Players in the Financial Markets borrowers Savers securities fund borrowers financial intermediaries savers securities lending rate securities borrowing rate borrowersinvestment bank savers securities fund securities fund get commission fees
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Recent Trends Globalization Securitization Financial Engineering Computer Networks
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Globalization In 1970, US equity market accounted for about 70 percent of equity in the world Currently, only 20-30 percent How to invest globally Purchase ADRs Invest directly into international market Buy mutual fund shares that invest in international market derivative securities with payoff depends on prices of foreign market
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Securitization Banks pool all loans Mortgage loans auto loans credit card student loans other loans securities loans are securitized Investors Benefits of securitization (1)more funds available to borrowers (2)Transfer risk of loans to corresponding investors in the market High risk loanHigh risk securitiesHigh risk investors Low risk loanlow risk securitieslow risk investors
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Figure 1.2 Asset-backed Securities Outstanding
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Financial engineering refer to creation of new securities Bundling: combine more than one security into a composite security Unbundling: breaking up and allocating the cash flows from one security to create several new securities
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Building a Complex Security
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Unbundling – Mortgage Security
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Computer network Online trading fee is only $20, compared with brokerage firm $100. Online information: cheap and available automated trade crossing example: if IBM price falls below $50, sell the stock automatically.
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Summary Financial assets Risk return tradeoff Next class: Financial Securities
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