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Credit and Liquidity: Cause and Resolution of the 2008 Financial Crisis John Cappellucci, John Piirainen, Rodolfo Rosas Ben Ashton
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Conditions Before the Crisis: Interest Rates 2000-2003: Federal Reserve lowers federal funds rate from 6.5% to 1.0% Further downward pressure on interest rates due to U.S. rising deficit
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Conditions Before the Crisis: Lending Sub-prime loans rise to $1.3 trillion in 2007 Predatory lending involving mortgages
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Housing and Credit Bubbles Substantial inflow of foreign funds Already low interest rates Consumers face easy credit conditions and are able to take on significant debt
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Road to Financial Collapse Housing Bubble Bursts (housing prices decline) Inability to Refinance Mortgage Banks Collapse (debt from mortgages) Loss of Solvency and Liquidity Financial Crisis!
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Spread to the EU Loss in consumer confidence Similar housing bubbles lead to large public debt and further risk in financial markets
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Bailout, Stimulus, and Precautionary Regulations President Obama’s stimulus package Eurosystem/ European Central Bank Response
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Bibliography Slide 1 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/26/business/economy/26inquiry.html?_r=2&scp=1&sq=financial%20crisis%20was%2 0avoidable,%20inquiry%20finds&st=cse Slide 2 http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20090414a.htm Slide 3 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119845906460548071.html?mod=googlenews_wsj Slide 4 http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119845906460548071.html?mod=googlenews_wsj Slide 5 http://www.matissecapitalmanagement.com/.a/6a00d83452bb8769e20147e0314980970b-550wi Slide 6 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/8144558/European-Central-Bank-tightens-screw-on- Ireland-Portugal-and-Spain.html The ECB's response to the crisis, Statement by Jean-Claude Trichet, President of the ECB at the European American Press Club Paris, 20 February 2009
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