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BA 187 – International Trade

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1 BA 187 – International Trade
Krugman & Obstfeld, Chapter 7 International Factor Movements

2 International Capital Flows
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

3 International Capital Mobility
Two Types of Capital Movements possible Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): Movement of capital that involves ownership and control. Generally involves foreign subsidiary of Multi-National corporation (MNC) Flow of “real capital” primarily affects nation’s production or income. Foreign Portfolio Investment: Capital flows that do not involve ownership or control. Flow of “financial” capital primarily affects nation’s Balance of payments or exchange rate.

4 FDI Positions By Industry, Dec 31, 1995
U.S. Direct Investment Abroad Foreign Direct Invest. in U.S. By Industry Value $ bill Share Manufacturing $257.6 36.2% $210.3 37.5% Finance except banking 212.1 29.8 47.9 8.6 Wholesale trade 71.4 10.0 71.7 12.8 Petroleum 69.7 9.8 35.6 6.4 Banking 30.4 4.3 41.8 7.5 Services 27.8 3.9 37.9 6.8 Other 42.7 6.0 114.9 20.5 Total $711.6 100% 560.1 Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Survey of Current Business, 1996

5 FDI Positions By Region, Dec 31, 1995
U.S. Direct Investment Abroad Foreign Direct Invest. in U.S. By Country or Region Value $ bill Share Europe $363.5 51.1% $360.8 64.4% Asia and Pacific 126.0 17.7 124.6 22.2 Latin & South America 122.8 17.3 22.7 4.1 Canada 81.4 11.4 46.0 8.2 Middle East 8.0 1.1 5.1 0.9 Africa 6.5 0.2 Int’l Organizations 3.5 0.5 Total $711.6 100% 560.1 Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Survey of Current Business, 1996

6 Reasons for International Capital Flows
Considerable international capital mobility today. Capital should flow to areas where expectation of higher return. Specific rationales for International Capital Flows Firms invest as response to large and growing international demand for their products. Developed country firms invest in countries with similar per-capita incomes, and so similar demands for products. Firms invest to secure access to mineral or raw material supplies. Firms invest abroad to access markets with high tariff or non-tariff barriers. EU “Tariff factories” to “get behind the tariff wall”. Firms invest in countries with low relative wages. Firms invest abroad as defensive measure to protect market share. Firms invest abroad as means of risk diversification against economic or exchange rate fluctuations.

7 International Capital Mobility
World Capital Market Equilibrium

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9 International Capital Mobility
MPK* Initial Foreign Capital Home MPK Foreign MPK* MPK Initial Home Capital Capital Flows from Home to Foreign r0 r*0 req Final Home Capital Final Foreign Capital O* O Total World Capital Stock

10 Potential Benefits of FDI to Host
Increased output. Increased wages. Increased employment. Increased exports. Assumes foreign capital produces goods with export potential. Increased tax revenues. Realization of Scale economies. Transfer of technical & managerial skills to host nation. Often scarcest resources in LDC’s, hence large potential benefit. Potential to weaken existing domestic monopolies.

11 Potential Disadvantages of FDI
Adverse impact of host’s Terms of Trade. Either through export promotion or transfer pricing effects. Decreased domestic saving or domestic investment. If FDI partly financed in host capital market, crowds out domestic investment. If not, allows for less domestic saving (public or private). Instability in Balance of Payments or Exchange rate. Loss of control over domestic gov’t policies. Increased unemployment. If FDI in capital-intensive industries, then possible fall in employment. Inadequate attention to development of local skills. MNC’s may reserve skill positions for home country head office.

12 International Labor Mobility
Wages and Migration of Labor

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14 Marginal Product of Labor
MPL Rents Real Wage Wages MPL Labor, L

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16 International Labor Mobility
MPL* Initial Foreign Labor Home MPL Foreign MPL* MPL Initial Home Labor Migration from Home to Foreign w0 w*0 weq Final Home Labor Final Foreign Labor O* O Total World Labor Force

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18 Home Unemployment & Labor Mobility
Home MPL Foreign MPL* MPL* MPL Migration from Home to Foreign w0 w*0 weq Final Home Labor Final Foreign Labor Initial Home Employed U0H O* O Initial Foreign Labor Total Home Labor Force

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