1. Mobility and the City Group 4 Yasmine El Alj Martin Lehner Daniel Schmidbaur Emily Sterzin Ryan Tam Alexander Weis Ryan Welsh Shiro Yamanaka

2. The Task Develop different scenarios of mobility for the future (2050) – City planning – Mobility networks

3. Criteria of Good Mobility Assumptions – Focus on developed countries – Mobility (freedom to travel) is a good thing – Criteria of Good Mobility Connectivity Affordability Accessibility Sustainability

4. Current Issues Congestion Capacity limits – infrastructure Individual vs community planning Ageing population Environmental degradation Lack of connectivity

5. Scenarios Base case – Extrapolation of current trends with incremental changes Energy revolution – Find a new source of clean, affordable energy Dawn of a dark age – Energy crisis, oil supply exhausted

6. Scenarios

7. Base Case Cities organized in self-sufficient communities / decentralization City infrastructure based on underground highways and more space for pedestrian areas, bike lanes Intracity transportation – Car sharing – Small, fuel efficient cars – Services aimed at aging population Intercity passenger transportation based on high speed rail and air travel but capacity has to be increased Increase of efficiency of cargo shipping Flexible, personalized travelling by IT solutions

8. Energy Revolution New form of energy replaces the internal combustion engine Urban form – Sprawl increases – Outer city centers grow Transportation – Short term: more individual travel Automated highways may increase capacity – Long term: congestion increases; use of mass transport increases Lifestyle – People continue to travel more – Congestion pricing used to reduce trips (polarization of society)

9. Dawn of a New Dark Age Assumption: Oil supplies exhausted Urban form – Development of more compact cities – Aggregation around mass transit – Parking, highway space available for other uses – Geographical and social segregation Transportation – Shift to forms of mass transit – Fewer and shorter trips (less VMT) – Less individual travel Lifestyle – Reduction in car ownership – Staggered work hours; Leisure travel drops

10. Outlook New modes of mass transportation could emerge – Flying cars – Teleportation Problems – Car accidents become more fatal – Buffer congestion / overrun problems Congestion will still affect mobility