1. Eugene Climate Events Since 2000 Not very many real anomalies

2. Team Results AUG 02 12d < 45 Feb

3. El Nino/La Nina Expectations Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly Do we see wet/dry hot/cold anomalies that line up with this pattern – not convincingly

4. ‘heat waves”

5. Cold Spells These are subtle but statistically valid: These are subtle but statistically valid:

6. Excessive La Nina Rain January 2006: 12.71 inches January 2006: 12.71 inches November 2006: 14.51 inches November 2006: 14.51 inches January 2008: 8.54 inches January 2008: 8.54 inches And that’s about it And that’s about it

7. February Drought! 2001: 1.77 2001: 1.77 2002:2.43 2002:2.43 2003:2.47 2003:2.47 2005:1.31 2005:1.31 2008:1.74 2008:1.74 5 “10 % events” in the 8 years 5 “10 % events” in the 8 years P(x) = 1 chance in 815

8. Water Year Drought 2000-2001: November 2000 1.64 inches November 2000 1.64 inches December 20004.15 inches December 20004.15 inches January 20011.54 inches January 20011.54 inches February 20011.77 inches February 20011.77 inches Total9.46 inches Total9.46 inches Expected Total30.73 inches!! Expected Total30.73 inches!!