1. The President IV 10/3/2011

2. Clearly Communicated Learning Objectives in Written Form Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: – understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present – assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. – identify and explain the role of formal (bureaucratic) institutions and their effect on policy. – students will have a better understanding of why our national government works and why the American system of government is unique.

3. Office Hours and Readings Readings- Chapter 9 on the President, pp. 211- 218 Chapter 10 on the Bureaucracy Office Hours – Tomorrow 8-12 – Wednesday 8-10:30

4. Frontloading The Republicans wanted a longer season- it is not going to happen Florida is moving its primary to Jan 31 Iowa (Feb 6), NH, Nevada and SC are all going to move up before that

5. Why the move? Florida may lose ½ of its delegates? But..... It increases its importance in selecting the nominee

6. USING OTHER POWERS Presidential Success

7. The President Constitutional powers are – Vague – Limited The Demands of the Office are Great Presidents must then use all the tools at their disposal

8. The Vice President Picked for different purposes Limited Constitutional Power At the discretion of the President Can be a liability http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hZtW_q_6Ug&feat ure=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3hZtW_q_6Ug&feat ure=related

9. Why did McCain Choose Palin? Get space between himself and Bush Get someone who was not an old man Get someone to appeal to the conservative base McCain loses no matter who he picks

10. Executive Stuff Executive Orders Carry the weight of law Must be on a single issue Cannot require new revenues Die when the president leaves Executive Agreements Bilateral agreements with other nations Carry the weight of a treaty Not that great of a power The Senate hates these

11. The Veto The “Smart Bomb” in the legislative process Most vetoes are sustained Can be overused Threats work better

12. INFORMAL POWERS Politics by other Means

13. The Power to Persuade Richard Neustadt Presidential Power is the Power To Persuade

14. Persuasion What is Persuasion You have to convince them by what ever means necessary Getting Decision makers to do what you want – The Johnson Treatment

15. Getting things Done: Trading Favors Prestige of the office Granting New Favors Calling in Past Favors

16. Getting Things Done: Reprisals Monetary Threats Campaign Threats Policy Threats

17. Why Persuasion Fails Threats are Not Credible Favors are not worth it Electoral Security and temporal forces

18. Why President Obama is Currently having difficulty persuading Republicans do not want to compromise Democrats are already on board The Election is getting close

19. Everything is inside

20. GOING PUBLIC Samuel Kernell

21. Going Public Using presidential popularity to by-pass Congress and take the message to the people. A Two Step Model

22. Requirements High reliance on the media Use the same tools as the campaign

23. Who is good at “Going Public” Political Outsiders Popular Presidents Presidents who are good communicators Presidents facing divided government

24. How it Can fail: No Coverage

25. How it Can Fail: Missteps http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2HOBTUCv4o0

26. How it can Fail: Disinterest

27. How it Can Fail: Getting off Message

28. How it can fail: A guy throws a shoe at you http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM3Z_Kskl_U

29. Going Public is Risky You must have public support on the issue You cannot do it too much Unpopular presidents will not be able to do it

30. WHY DOES EVERYONE HATE THE PRESIDENT?

31. The Media hate the President They punish failure They do not reward success Bad news is better for ratings

32. Congress hates the president Different Goals Different Time frames Divided Government

33. The People Turn on the President Term Limits We Grow tired of the president The realities of the office

34. IS THE PRESIDENT DOOMED TO FAIL? Keeping your head above water

35. Presidential Approval

36. The Key’s To Presidential Popularity Strong Economy Staying away from Scandal Rally around the Flag events http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t7TTBL6WXAY

37. How to Lose it

38. President Obama: On the Ledge