1. Bayesian Network Theory Arthur Edge III Kathryn Meintel

2. AvogadroReynolds

3. AvogadroReynolds

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6. Construct a Direct Acyclic Graph and develop the Node Probability Tables for this situation.

7. Buses Late Parent Node

8. Buses Late Avogadro Late Reynolds Late Parent Node Arc Child Node

9. Probability Table for Bus Punctuality Bus is Late Probability T0.1 F0.9

10. Probability for Avogadro’s Punctuality A is LateBus is Late TF T F Column sums to 1

11. Probability for Avogadro’s Punctuality A is LateBus is Late TF T0.80.1 F0.20.9 Column sums to 1

12. Probability for Reynolds’s Punctuality R is LateBus is Late TF T0.70.6 F0.30.4 Column sums to 1

13. Buses Late Avogadro Late Reynolds Late Bus LateProbability T0.1 F0.9 A is LateBus is Late TF T0.80.1 F0.20.9 Column sums to 1 R is LateBus is Late TF T0.70.6 F0.30.4 Column sums to 1 Direct Acyclic Graph Nodal Probability Tables