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Unique Pricing And Estimating Challenges Faced In Change Orders, Requests For Equitable Adjustments, And Claims Breakout Session # 408 Greg Bingham Date:

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Presentation on theme: "Unique Pricing And Estimating Challenges Faced In Change Orders, Requests For Equitable Adjustments, And Claims Breakout Session # 408 Greg Bingham Date:"— Presentation transcript:

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1 Unique Pricing And Estimating Challenges Faced In Change Orders, Requests For Equitable Adjustments, And Claims Breakout Session # 408 Greg Bingham Date: July 20, 2010 Time: 11:15 am - 12:30 pm 1

2 Recognized Claim And Damages Theory “Three Column Approach”
Actual Would Have Been Claim Less Equals

3 Reasons For Increased Costs
Scope Increases Unit Rate Changes Labor And Material Unit Rates Inefficiencies (Disruption) Delays Time Related Costs Inflation Cost Of Capital (e.g., Interest)

4 Time-Related Cost $1,000 Direct Labor $500 $0

5 Activity-Related Cost
$1,000 Direct Labor $500 $0

6 “Joint” Cost Direct Labor Activity- Related Time- Related $1,000 $500
$0

7 Claim Methods Actual Costs Change Orders Change Orders Change Orders
Total Cost Claim (Entire Overrun) Contractor Inefficiencies Not Claimed Modified Total Cost Claim Build Up Claims Change Orders Change Orders Change Orders Contractor Original Cost Estimate Contractor Original Cost Estimate Contractor Original Cost Estimate Contractor Original Cost Estimate

8 “Sanity Check” Overrun Claimed Claimed (Entire Overrun) Claimed
(More Than Entire Overrun) Not Claimed Contractor Cost Estimate (with Changes)

9 How Do The Methods Compare?
High Modified Total Cost Detailed Cost Build-Up Total Cost Low

10 Methods Compare? (continued)
How Do The Methods Compare? (continued) High Total Cost Detailed Cost Build-Up Modified Total Cost Low

11 Observations On The Detailed Cost Build-Up Method
Customers And Courts Strongly Prefer Detailed Cost Build-Up Method Significant Up Front Preparation Effort, But Often The Least Costly Method In The Long Run Faster Settlement (Less Customer Resistance) Generally Higher Recovery Percentage Than Total Cost Or Modified Total Cost Methods

12 Observations On The Modified Total Cost Method
Modified Total Cost Claims Can Be An Effective Tool For Getting A “Quick And Dirty” Claim On The Table For Customer Consideration Vulnerable To Customer “Slow Roll” Should Be Supported By Detailed Cost Build-Ups Or “Benchmark” Support Where And As Soon As Possible Properly Done, A Modified Total Cost Claim Requires Much More Effort Than Perceived

13 Improving Modified Total Cost Claims
Combine The Modified Total Cost Claim With Some Detailed Cost Build-Up Claims Example Constructive Changes Delay Impacts Labor Disruption Examples Contractors Can Present Both Types Of Claims And Argue In The Alternative Different Pricing For Different Legal Arguments Early Settlement Discussions Or ADR

14 Labor Claims

15 Reasons For Increased Costs – Labor Claims
Scope Increases Unit Rate Changes Labor And Material Unit Rates Inefficiencies (Disruption) Delays Time Related Costs Inflation Cost Of Capital (e.g., Interest)

16 Labor Overrun Components
$30 Wage Variance $25,000 9,000 Hours Quantity Variance $120,000 10,000 Hours Productivity Variance $30,000 $25 $ Budget $125,000 5,000 Hours Time

17 Labor Overrun Components
$30 Wage Variance $50,000 $25 9,000 Hours Quantity Variance $100,000 $ 10,000 Hours Productivity Variance $25,000 Budget $125,000 5,000 Hours Time

18 Labor Claims, Generally Should
Be Based On Actual Project Experience. Be Based Upon Concurrent, Objective Evidence. Reflect A Reasonable Attempt By The Contractor To Capture Costs Expended Outside Of Its Control. Reflect Actual Productivity Information, If Available. Consider Actual Labor Rates Vs. Change Order Rates. The Contractor Advances Its Position By These Methods

19 Labor Claims – Approaches
Total Cost / Modified Total Cost Measured Mile Industry Factors

20 Measured Mile Example 1.36 MH/LF 1.13 MH/LF 1.0 MH/LF Period Period
2 Period 3 1.36 MH/LF Impact .23 mh/lf 1.13 MH/LF Budget .75 MH/LF 1.0 MH/LF

21 Measured Mile Example

22 Industry Factors Mechanical Contractors Association Of America (MCAA)
Used For Thirty Years Updated Publication In 2005 Derivation Of Factors Not Known Most Complete Approach Corps Of Engineers Modification Impact Evaluation Guide (COE Guide) July 1979 Curves For Certain Impacts (Trade Stacking, Crew Size, Overtime) Officially Withdrawn By The Corps Construction Users Roundtable (CURT) Recent Empirical Data Not Published Deals With Overtime, Weather, Schedule, Planning

23 Pitfalls Of Industry Factors Approach
Basis Of Data Is Often Unclear Applicability To Your Situation Different Industry Different Impacts Very Judgmental

24 Equipment Costs

25 Reasons For Increased Costs – Equipment Costs
Scope Increases Unit Rate Changes Labor And Material Unit Rates Inefficiencies (Disruption) Delays Time Related Costs Inflation Cost Of Capital (e.g., Interest)

26 Equipment Costs – Issues
Construction Equipment Can Be Owner-Supplied, Contractor-Owned, Or Rented. Very Complex Area Due To Number Of Disparate Views Of “Actual” Costs. Can Be Complicated By “Related Party” Transactions. Equipment Is Frequently Priced By “Agreed To” Rates To Avoid Confrontations Over Costs. Blue Book Cal Trans

27 Equipment Costs – Cost Components
Ownership Costs - Charges For Depreciation Of Acquisition Costs, As Well As Overhauling, Insurance, Financing, Taxes, And Storage Of Equipment. Operating Costs - Expenses The Contractor Faces By Turning The Equipment “On.” Charges Include Routine Equipment Maintenance, Fuel, Lubrication, Tires, Tracks, And Tool Attachment Repair.

28 Equipment Cost Issues What Does The Contract Say?
Change Order Rates Vs. Major Claims? Recording Equipment Hours Idle Vs. Standby What Are Actual Costs?

29 Home Office Overhead Costs

30 Reasons For Increased Costs – Home Office Overhead
Scope Increases Unit Rate Changes Labor And Material Unit Rates Inefficiencies (Disruption) Delays Time Related Costs Inflation Cost Of Capital (e.g., Interest)

31 Home Office Overhead – Conceptual Issues
Year 7 G&A 14% Planned Revenue Year 10 Planned G&A 15% Year 13 G&A 12% 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 YEARS $ MILLIONS $20M G&A Supports $131M-?M in Revenue Actual Revenue $10M G&A Supports Up to $70M in Revenue Actual G&A 21% $15M G&A Supports $71M-$130M in Revenue G&A Expenses

32 Home Office Overhead – Example Costs
Officers’ Salaries Rent Advertising & Promotion Corporate Accounting General & Administrative Estimating Legal Insurance Utilities Office Supplies Telephones Contributions Medical And Other Benefits Taxes

33 Home Office Overhead Generally Represents The Cost To The Project For Support From A Remote Home Or Division Office, Which Provides Some Services To The Project. Also Called General & Administrative (“G&A”) Costs. The Eichleay Formula Is Often Used As A Means Of Allocating Some Portion Of Home Office Overhead To Projects, Which Have Been Delayed By Owner Caused Interference (Billings To Billings).

34 Home Office Overhead – Eichleay Formula
x Home Office Overhead For Actual Contract Period = Allocable Home Office Overhead Contract Billings Total Billings For Contractor In Contract Period Daily Home Office Overhead Rate Allocable To Contract Actual Days Of Contract Performance Number Of Days Of Compensable Delay Claimed Home Office Overhead Allocable To Contract

35 Home Office Overhead – Eichleay Vs. Cost-To-Cost
Percentage Percentage Project A 10% TOTAL 100% Project B 40% Project C 50% Costs $195,000 $520,000 $585,000 $1,300,000 15% 40% 45% 100% $140,000 $560,000 $700,000 $1,400,000 Billings Claim Project Eichleay Method $480,000 x 10% = 48,000 Cost-To-Cost Method $480,000 x 15% = $72,000 vs.

36 Why Are We So Careful?

37 Daewoo Engineering And Construction Co. , Ltd. V
Daewoo Engineering And Construction Co., Ltd. V. United States of America

38 Background

39 Background Palau Has A “Compact Of Free Association” With The U.S.
U.S. Was To Build A Road Around Island Of Babeldaop (One Of 300 Islands That Make Up Palau). Issue Was Compaction Specification For Embankments, Weather.

40 Background Daewoo’s Certified Claim
$13.4 Million In “Incurred Damages,” Additional Costs Of $50 Million Not Yet Incurred. REA Was Ultimately Denied By The CO. Daewoo Hired Exponent To “Update/Reprice” The Claim. Resulted In Measured Mile Study Of $42M.

41 $50 Million Court Findings Contracts Disputes Act Fraud Clause:
“If a contractor is unable to support any part of his claim and it is determined that such inability is attributable to misrepresentation of fact or fraud on the part of the contractor, he shall be liable to the Government for an amount equal to such unsupported part of the claim in addition to all costs to the Government attributable to the cost of reviewing said part of his claim.” $50 Million

42 Claims Analysis And Pricing
Setting The Stage To Claims Analysis And Pricing Relevance Of Claims Some “Street - Lore” Identifying Contract Changes Challenges Of Claim Preparation Hypothetical Claim Possible Reasons Claim Might Be Waived 42 42

43 Why Claims Are Relevant
Management – Claim Knowledge Will Improve Job Performance Customer – Expects Some Claims Owners And Creditors Equity Security For Financing 43 43

44 NOT! Some “Street - Lore” 100% Avoidance Of Changes
Customer Is Offended By Changed Work Claims Claim Preparation Is Not “Fun” NOT! 44 44

45 Identification Of Contract Changes Formal Changes
Unilateral Customer Directives Pricing Constructive Or Informal Changes Technical Specifications Statements Of Work 45 45

46 Claim Preparation Challenges
Skill - Mix Sufficiency Of Resources Scope And Pricing Timeliness Organization 46 46

47 Hypothetical Claim 47 47

48 Hypothetical Claim (Continued) 48 48

49 Hypothetical Claim Claim Settlement Compared To New Business
(Continued) Claim Settlement Compared To New Business Assume Average Before Tax Profit Is 10% $30 million ÷ 10% = $300 million 49 49

50 Possible Reasons Claim
Might Be Waived Lack Of Training Insufficient Cross Checking With Counsel Lack Of Clarity Regarding The Original Contract Requirements “Our Fault” Attitude 50 50

51 Conclusion Claim Control And Preparation May Be Challenging, But Is Very Important And Beneficial To Your Company. Damage Claim 51 51

52 Simple Example Of Dispute Process Involving The Government
FAR, Part 33: Protests, Disputes And Appeals Contractor Notifies Contracting Officer And Prepares Claim Claim Summary Requirements Of The Original Contract Describe Change (Entitlement) Describe Impact (What Changed) Quantify Increased Costs And Increased Schedule Audit And Technical Evaluation Performed At Contracting Officer’s Request Contracting Officer Negotiates With Contractor Representative Final Decision By Contracting Officer 52

53 Simple Example Of Dispute Process Involving The Government
(Continued) Contractor Can Accept Or Appeal Final Decision Boards Of Contract Appeals U.S. Court Of Federal Claims Contractor And Government Prepare For Trial Claim Brought Current Document Production Depositions Other Preparation Trial Or Hearing 53 53

54 Claims Pricing “How To’s”
Types Of Increased Costs Some Recommendations For Identifying And Pricing Claims Claim Pricing Challenges 54

55 Developing The Claim Determine The “Rough” Cost Baseline
Cost Baseline Is Generally The BAFO + Formal Changes, Or The Budget Develop Overruns By Task, Functional Area Or Both Cost Analysis Helps You Avoid Missing The 800 lb. Gorilla Determine The Technical Baseline - Know The “Hard Legal Requirements” Of The Contract 55

56 Changed Work Claim Identification 56 56

57 Typical Changed Work Claim Elements
Direct Cost Claims For Changed Work Labor Material Subcontracts Delay-Related Costs Sustaining Personnel (i.e., Fixed Direct Charging Personnel) Escalation (Both Material And Labor) Unabsorbed Overhead 57

58 Typical Changed Work Claim Elements (continued)
Disruption, Acceleration And Inefficiencies Other Profit Claim Preparation Costs (Internal & External) Legal Fees Interest 58

59 Some Challenges In Developing The Claim
Claim Development Is Resource Intensive Requires Input Of Key Program Personnel Throughout The Process Perspective Of Program Personnel Waivers And Other Legal Issues Waivers Not Fully Considered Or Too Broadly Interpreted Schedule Slippage 59

60 Avoid Common Pricing Challenges
Double Counting Between Claim Elements Improper Baseline Overstated Claims Understated Claims No Linkage Between Entitlement And Pricing (Cause And Effect) 60

61 Summary And Recommendations
Generally Avoid Use Of Total Cost Method Use Modified Total Cost For Settlement Discussions, ADR And Trial Where Appropriate Consider Combination Of Modified Total Cost And Detailed Cost Build-Up Methods When Using Modified Total Cost, Still Demonstrate And Prove Costs Claimed 61

62 Summary And Recommendations (continued)
Detailed Cost Build-Up (Change By Change) Generally Results In Fastest And Best Settlement Perform Thorough Technical And Legal Evaluation To Determine The “Hard Legal Requirements Of The Contract” Coordinate Cost, Technical And Legal Claim Efforts To Maximize “Hardcore” Claim Pricing Avoid The Common Claim Pricing Pitfalls 62

63 Delay-Related Cost “How To’s”
Sustaining Personnel Material And Labor Escalation Fixed Overhead Costs Claim 63

64 Schedule Analysis Goals
Quantify Actual Program Delays Identify Actions, Inactions Or Events Which Caused Delays Determine Party(ies) Responsible Identify Impact On Costs = 64

65 As-Planned Vs. As-Built
Hardware Procurement Start Finish 5 Months As-Planned Design Assembly 4 Months 4 Months Software Development Delay 3 Months 4 months Hardware Procurement Start Finish 5 Months As-Built Design Design Mods Assembly 4 Months 3 Months 4 Months Software Development 6 Months 65

66 Sustaining Personnel Certain Direct Charge Personnel Perform Work As A Function Of Time Program Extension Can Cause A Direct Increase In The Cost Of Time-Related Efforts In Order To Identify Time-Related Personnel: Focus On Program Roles Not Individuals Critically Evaluate Which Roles Must Continue In Order To Maintain The Program 66

67 Sustaining Personnel Examples Of Time-Related Personnel:
Program Manager Certain Program Control Personnel Departmental Managers, Supervisors, And Liaisons Direct Charge Clerks Or Administrative Personnel Some Engineering Personnel Certain Personnel In Quality And Product Assurance 67

68 Sustaining Personnel To Fully Support This Area Of Claim:
Provide Accounting Records For All Hours Incurred On Time-Related Efforts Prepare Exhibit Depicting How Each Time-Related Effort Transitioned To Different Personnel Throughout The Program Prepare A Graph Of Total Time-Related Work Throughout The Program To Show Consistency Over Time 68

69 Sustaining Personnel Direct Labor Hours Total Direct Labor Impact Of
Extended Manning Of Time-Related Personnel Time-Related Personnel Direct Labor Planned Performance Period Extension Period 69

70 Sustaining Personnel Impact For This Claim Area Can Be Calculated As Follows: Months Of Compensable Delay Multiplied By: Average Monthly Hours Multiplied By: Labor And Overhead Rates To Try To Simplify Pricing, Consider Estimating The Impact Of Each Department Separately 70

71 Labor And Material Escalation
When A Program Is Delayed, The Performance Of Certain Activities And The Procurement Of Certain Material May Occur In A Later Time Period Than Otherwise Would Have Been The Case The Increased Cost Which Is Caused By Direct Labor Rate Or Material Unit Cost Increases Are Typically The Subject Of Escalation Claims 71

72 Labor And Material Escalation
Compensable Labor And Material Escalation From Customer Delay Can Occur From: Normal Economic Inflation Negotiated Union Contracts Purchase Agreements Labor Or Skill Mix Variance $ 72

73 Labor And Material Escalation
To Prove This Claim Area: Emphasize The Difference Between The Actual Rates And The Rates That Should Have Occurred Had There Been No Delay Avoid Relying On Overly Simplistic Comparisons Of Bid Vs. Actual Rates Or Unit Costs 73

74 Recap Of Delay-Related Damages
Recovery Of Damages Is Dependent On Proof Of Delay Sustaining Personnel Material And Labor Escalation Fixed Indirect Costs 74

75 Disruption Pricing “How To’s”
Definition Of Disruption Some Example Causes Of Disruption Entitlement, Causation, And Increased Cost Some Pricing Approaches 75 75

76 What Is Disruption? Loss Of Productivity On Original Scope Of Work
Change In Working Conditions, Resources Or Manner Of Performing Work Change Orders Can Affect Work Not Otherwise Thought Of As Changed 76

77 Example Causes Of Disruption
Changed Work Rescheduling Of Planned Work Excessive Overtime To Avoid Schedule Slippage Less Than Optimal Work Sequencing Changes In Manufacturing Or Design Work Methods Excessive Rework Loss Of Learning 77 77

78 Example Causes Of Disruption (Continued)
Customer Delays Unnecessary Starts And Stops To Contract Activity More Loss Of Learning Underutilization Of Work Force Loss Of Economies Of Scale Acceleration Excessive Overtime Congestion In The Work Place Resequencing Of Work Performance 78

79 Entitlement, Causation And Increased Cost
Entitlement: Often The Same As For Discrete Claims Causation: Demonstrate The Effects Of Changed Work On The Original Scope Of Work, i.e. The Unchanged Work Increased Cost: Quantify Increased Cost Of Performing Original Scope Of Work, Plus Profit 79

80 Simple Example In Millions Estimated Cost-At-Completion $500
Less: Original Budget <200> Cost Growth 300 Less: Discrete Changes <110> Unexplained Cost Growth $190 80 80

81 Disruption Pricing Approaches
“Should Cost” Approach - Compare Actual Productivity To Productivity On: Unaffected Portions Of Work Similar Work Productivity Contemplated In The Original Bid Learning Curve Analysis 81

82 Regression Analysis Method Of Using One Or More Independent Variables To Quantify A Dependent Variable Applying Regression Analysis To Disruption Independent Variable - Increased Costs Of Changed Work Dependent Variable - Increased Costs Of Unchanged Work Regression Calculates The Mathematical Relationships Between The Variables Least Squares Regression Analysis 82

83 Cost Recovery Issues on Claims Disclosing Cost Information
Cost Information Under CAS And / Or FAR Part 31 Cost Information Assuming CAS And FAR Part 31 Do Not Apply Direct Costs Only Disclosure Of Indirect Cost Rates Disclosure Of Typical Profit Rates Inclusion Of Expressly Unallowable Costs Establishing That Contractors Books And Records Should Be Relied Upon Prior Government Audits (e.g., DCAA, DCMA, IRS, EPA, DHS, Etc.) Audited Financial Statements Lending Covenants Special Purpose Audits Of Claimed Costs Reliance On The Work Of Others Work Papers

84 Termination For Convenience Equitable Adjustment After Partial Termination
Contractor May Request An Equitable Adjustment On Continued Work (FAR ) Contracting Officer Has Authority, Unless Delegated To The TCO Follow Cost/Pricing Proposal Format (FAR ) Costs Included In A Request For Equitable Adjustment Shall Not Also Be Included In The Termination Settlement Proposal Contractor Shall Complete TINA Certification

85 Termination For Convenience Pricing Unsettled Contract Changes
Resolve All Unsettled Contract Changes As Part Of Negotiating The Final Termination Settlement Proposal (FAR ) Incorporate Resulting Changes In Contract Price Into The Profit/Loss Analysis (FAR )

86 Reference Materials “BACK TO BASICS: As The Pendulum Shifts To More Fixed Price Contracts, Be Prepared For More Contract Changes and Know How To Price Them,” By Greg Bingham, Cheryl LeeVan And David Hall, American Bar Association Annual Meeting Of The Public Contract Section, August 2010. “Administering Subcontracts After A Termination For Convenience,” By Greg Bingham and Patricia Meagher, Briefing Papers, March 2004, Thomson West Publishers. “DCAA Contract Audit Manual Chapter Auditing Contract Termination, Delay/Disruption, And Other Price Adjustment Proposals Or Claims”

87 Greg Bingham Greg Bingham is a Vice President with The Kenrich Group, LLC. He has over 22 years of experience in the fields of business and litigation consulting including investigation of allegations of fraud or overbilling. Professional Experience Mr. Bingham has assisted clients on Government Contract matters including: 1) regulatory consulting on allowable costs issues arising from the Cost Principles found at Part 31 of the Federal Acquisition Regulation (“FAR”) as well as allocation of cost issues associated with the Cost Accounting Standards (“CAS”), 2) consulting on matters involving allegations of defective pricing, false claims, mischarges and other improper billings to the Government, 3) the Earned Value Management Systems requirements of Department of Defense regulation R, 4) financial statement and special purpose auditing, 5) management consulting and 6) Foreign Military Sales issues and foreign sales issues. This experience has provided him with substantial knowledge of the program management, financial and accounting records and systems maintained by companies who sell to the Federal Government. Greg’s work has included the quantification of cost impacts and negotiation with Government auditors and oversight personnel. Greg has planned and performed reviews of various defense contractors’ systems including Internal Controls, Accounting, Billing and Estimating as well as policies and procedures. Contact Information: 1250 Connecticut Avenue NW, Suite 650 Washington, DC 20036 Tel: (202) Fax: (202) Masters of Business Administration University of Texas at Austin Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering University of Kentucky


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