1. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT PRODEC A system for supporting decisions in emergency situations Jan W. Owsiński Andrzej Ziółkowski Flooding hazards in Biala catchment example

2. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The principles of functioning of the ProDec system The ProDec system makes use of simple decision rules of the following type: If a definite threat takes place then undertake a definite action

3. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The structure of the ProDec system The ProDec system is composed of two parts:  the part supporting the determination of the decision rules  the part supporting decision making

4. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT The stages of development of the ProDec decision system  Determination of the threats and actions  Division into subareas  The choice of measured quantities  Definition of the degrees of emergency  Formation and testing of decision rules  Detailed description of the actions  Installing the system  Final testing

5. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Parameters, states, actions and tests

6. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Water level "states" with the use of "fuzzy" interval of values

7. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Defining states with fuzzy values

8. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules displayed in ProDec

9. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules testing

10. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Decision rules testing result

11. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Main internet page of ProDec system

12. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Weather forecast for Poland

13. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Forecasting precipitation Czech radar stations data

14. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Forecasting precipitation Polish radar stations data

15. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

16. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

17. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

18. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

19. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example

20. Fifth Framework Programme 1998 - 2002 ENERGY, ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Action description - example