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August- September NSF NOAA NRL NCAR UW UM AGU, San Francisco, 12 December 2006.

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Presentation on theme: "August- September NSF NOAA NRL NCAR UW UM AGU, San Francisco, 12 December 2006."— Presentation transcript:

1 August- September NSF NOAA NRL NCAR UW UM AGU, San Francisco, 12 December 2006

2 KatrinaOpheliaRita Hurricanes investigated in RAINEX

3 Motivation for RAINEX Understanding Rapid Intensity Changes

4

5 How do interactions of environment, eyewalls & rainbands in the mature storm… … lead to intensity changes like these? rainband Intensity change problem: Intensity of Katrina (2005) Max Wind Speed (knots) 242528262927 August Willoughby 88

6 High-Resolution Multi-nested Vortex-Following Numerical Models at University of Miami: UM/RSMAS Coupled Atmos- Wave-Ocean Model 15 km 1.6 km 5 km Mini ensemble MM5 and WRF forecasts using GFS, NOGAPS, CMC, and GFDL forecast fields as initial and lateral boundary conditions Courtesy S. Chen

7 RitaKatrina Model forecast of eyewall & rainbands at 1.6 km resolution Rain rate Courtesy S. Chen

8 Distance from vortex center Day RainWind Katrina Courtesy S. Chen

9 Rita Rain Wind Rain Distance from vortex center Day Courtesy S. Chen

10 Targeted

11 RAINEX Flight Coordination ELDORA radar

12 Katrina

13 Katrina-28 August ELDORA data Barnes et al. ‘ 83 NRL

14 Katrina-28 August Confirms “ Barnes ” structure

15 Rita

16 RAINEX Flights in Hurricane Rita Cat. 5Concentric Eyewalls Sheared

17 Concentric eyewalls in Rita Unprecedented

18 Sample cross section through eyewalls of Rita Horizontal Distance (km)  Height (km)  Eye

19 Dropsonde in the “ moat ” region 1802 UTC 22 September ‘05 Rita-22 September

20 ELDORA observations of vorticity in the eyewalls Maybe first observation of “ axisymmetrization ”

21 Vorticity ELDORA observations of the inner eyewall EyeVorticity This has been called “ turbo-boosting ” of the eyewall Eye Heitht (km) warm air Vortex on eyewall

22 Inner eyewallOuter eyewall Turbo-boosting Eye Moat formation 2ndary eyewall taking over Courtesy Michael Bell Composite of all ELDORA data

23 Data Availability

24 KatrinaOpheliaRita Three important storms observed Innovative satellite-based flight control First use of ELDORA in hurricanes Data available via NCAR field catalog Operations and data analysis aided by high-resolution modeling RAINEX Technical Accomplishments

25 Formation of “ moat ” documented during eyewall replacement in Rita ELDORA shows high wave no. vorticity pattern in 2ndary eyewall ELDORA confirms internal structure of rainband in Katrina High-res. model captures eyewall replacement in Rita RAINEX Science Directions

26 Thanks


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