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IPCC2007: Science for Policymakers
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Acidification of ocean ADCC
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Black =observed Simulations Blue=natural forcings due to solar activity and volcanoes ONLY; 19 sim’ns from 5 climate models Red = both natural AND anthropogenic forcings 58 sim’ns from 14 climate models. 5–95% confidence ranges shaded
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Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation multi-Model average projections for the B1 (top), A1B (middle) and A2 (bottom) SRES scenarios 1980-99 vs 2020-29 vs 2090-99 IPCC Sc/Pkrs 2007
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% rainfall change, for SRES A1B 2090-99 vs 1980-99 Dec-Jan-Feb June-July-Aug Multiple simulations White=> mixed results Stippled=> sign agreed IPCC ScPkrs 2007
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IPCC AR4 Impacts SPM
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Spring flowers One of several figures from the (see go/px272 for online access)
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Climate sensitivity of key staple crops
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IPCC2007: Changes in temperature, sea level, northern snow cover
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Vulnerability of W Antarctica Ca 70m sleq total Ca 6m sleq possibly vulnerable
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Science 2007 (DOI: 10.1126/science.1136843) Sea level rise particularly underpredicted (note measurement change at 1993: tide gauges -> satellite data)
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IPCC AR4 Impacts TS Increased vulnerability of coastal deltas to flooding
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Thermohaline reduction vs T rise ADCC 2007
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California
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Under-prediction of rise by previous IPCC reports. Solid=actual Science 2007 (DOI: 10.1126/science.1136843)
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