1. New Zealand: What did I say? What did I learn?

2. Letter from America: Some thoughts on ecosystem-based fishery management. R.C. Francis School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences University of Washington

3. EBFM is about context rather than method In order to consider the concept of sustainability, a fishery should be considered as an integrated concept of humans in nature. Three essential concepts: resilience, evolution, scale Letter from America: Some thoughts on ecosystem-based fishery management.

5. Northern California Current Gulf of Alaska Eastern Bering Sea Aleutian Islands

6. Sustainability implies maintaining the capacity of ecological systems to support social and economic systems. A resilient social-ecological system, which can buffer a great deal of change or disturbance, is synonymous with ecological, economic and social sustainability. Social-Ecological Resilience and Sustainability Berkes et al. 2003. Navigating Social-Ecological Systems

7. Social-Ecological Resilience Berkes et al. 2003. Navigating Social-Ecological Systems Three defining characteristics: The amount of change a system can undergo and still retain the same controls on function and structure. The degree to which the system is capable of self- organization. The ability to build and increase the capacity for learning and adaptation.

8. Gulf of Alaska: Reorganization happens … 1 million mt harvest

9. Bond et al. 2003, (updated by Mick Spillane) North Pacific Winter SST Anomalies 1950-2005 EOF1 (PDO) EOF2 (Victoria) North Pacific Climate: Reorganization Happens Dominant signal in SST PCA shifted from PC1 to PC2 in 1990 SST PC1 => PDO SST PC2 => Victoria Pattern SST PC1 SST PC2

10. Social-Ecological Resilience Berkes et al. 2003. Navigating social-ecological systems Three defining characteristics: The amount of change a system can undergo and still retain the same controls on function and structure. The degree to which the system is capable of self- organization. The ability to build and increase the capacity for learning and adaptation.

11. Alaska: Self-Organization 1970s1980s 1990s King CrabJoint Venture Trawl Shoreside DeliveryAt Sea Processing

12. Self-organization at the community scale.

14. Social-Ecological Resilience Berkes et al. 2003. Navigating social-ecological systems Three defining characteristics: The amount of change a system can undergo and still retain the same controls on function and structure. The degree to which the system is capable of self- organization. The ability to build and increase the capacity for learning and adaptation.

15. Prof. Dave Fluharty 9 years on NPFMC Chair NOAA Ecosystem Principles Advisory Panel Ecosystem Considerations to NPFMC SAFE Report (1995- present) Chair NOAA Science Advisory Board (2007 - )

16. EBS - Pollock are “little farmer fish” Recent declines in EBS forage fish biomass

17. Principle of Incompatibility Berkes and Berkes (unpublished) An inverse relationship exists between the complexity of a system and the degree of precision that can be used to meaningfully describe it. Increasing recognition that the use of a few indicators, no matter how well chosen, may be inadequate in capturing complexity. Simple rules seem appropriate for dealing with complex adaptive systems.

18. Indigenous knowledge seems to build holistic pictures of the environment by considering large numbers of variables qualitatively (Berkes and Berkes, unpublished) Negative PDO Cool water, Shallow mixed layer, Weak stratification, High nutrients, “Subarctic” food web (abundant forage fish, fewer warm water predators) Positive PDO Warm water, Deep mixed layer, Strong stratification, Few nutrients, Low productivity, “Subtropical” food web (reduced forage fish, more abundant pelagic predators)

19. Principle of Incompatibility Berkes and Berkes (unpublished) An inverse relationship exists between the complexity of a system and the degree of precision that can be used to meaningfully describe it. Increasing recognition that the use of a few indicators, no matter how well chosen, may be inadequate in capturing complexity. Simple rules seem appropriate for dealing with complex adaptive systems.

21. Principle of Incompatibility Berkes and Berkes (unpublished) An inverse relationship exists between the complexity of a system and the degree of precision that can be used to meaningfully describe it. Increasing recognition that the use of a few indicators, no matter how well chosen, may be inadequate in capturing complexity. Simple rules seem appropriate for dealing with complex adaptive systems.

22. EBS - Pollock are “little farmer fish” Recent declines in EBS forage fish biomass

23. What did I learn? Marine resource science and policy Climate change –Leadership –Proaction

24. New Zealand is a small country with limited resources for natural resource science and management

25. What did I learn? Marine resource science and policy Climate change/sustainability –Leadership –Proaction

26. Leadership Environmental sustainability challenge – central to NZ national identity Lead by action: carbon neutral public service Helen Clark

27. New Zealand’s future is dependent on long-term strategies for our economy, society, environment, culture and way of life. Those strategies have to be driven by strong leadership and sound policies. Our challenge is to build a sustainable economy based on innovation and quality in a world where high volume, low quality goods and services will always undercut us on price. Our challenge is to sustain family and community living standards in our open, competitive economy. Our challenge is to sustain our unique culture, values, and national identity in a world of globalised media and culture.

28. New Zealand can aim to be the first nation to be truly sustainable – across four pillars of the economy, society, the environment, and nationhood. New Zealand can aspire to become carbon neutral in its economy and way of life. –Biofuels sales obligation = 3.4% of annual energy content of petrol and diesel sales by 2012 –Permanent Forest Sinks Obligation “I believe that in the years to come, the pride we take in our quest for sustainability and carbon neutrality will define our nation, just as our quest for a nuclear free world has over the past 23 years.” Helen Clark

29. 2007 Sustainability Priorities for Government Towards a carbon neutral public service –Lead by example –6 departments will commit to reaching carbon neutrality by 2012 –DOC – air travel, electricity and fuel use, vehicle emissions, new “sustainable” office building Role of govt. procurement in achieving sustainability –Use purchasing power to help drive innovation, cleaner production, and improved cost effectiveness over the whole life cycle of goods and services.

31. Out In The Cold – Climate change is the single most important global issue we face. If we are going to defend the interests of people who are most vulnerable to it, we are going to have to offend the interests of people whose produce has a high carbon footprint. George Monbiot, UK Journalist Not Buying It – Food miles – “If you carry it to its logical conclusion, you would end up growing bananas in the UK because youy’re minimizing the food miles.” Philip Gregan, NZ Wine Institute Flight or Fright – “Fly less and stay longer.” Tony Wheeler (Lonely Planet) and Mark Ellingham (Rough Guide)

32. Out In The Cold – Climate change is the single most important global issue we face. If we are going to defend the interests of people who are most vulnerable to it, we are going to have to offend the interests of people whose produce has a high carbon footprint. George Monbiot, UK Journalist Not Buying It – Food miles – “If you carry it to its logical conclusion, you would end up growing bananas in the UK because youy’re minimizing the food miles.” Philip Gregan, NZ Wine Institute Flight or Fright – “Fly less and stay longer.” Tony Wheeler (Lonely Planet) and Mark Ellingham (Rough Guide)

33. Out In The Cold – Climate change is the single most important global issue we face. If we are going to defend the interests of people who are most vulnerable to it, we are going to have to offend the interests of people whose produce has a high carbon footprint. George Monbiot, UK Journalist Not Buying It – Food miles – “If you carry it to its logical conclusion, you would end up growing bananas in the UK because youy’re minimizing the food miles.” Philip Gregan, NZ Wine Institute Flight or Fright – “Fly less and stay longer.” Tony Wheeler (Lonely Planet) and Mark Ellingham (Rough Guide)

34. Once again, Helen Clark … In our high value markets in Europe, we face increasing pressure on our trade and tourism, from competitors who are all too ready to use against us the distance our goods must travel to market, and the distance tourists must travel to us. By lowering our carbon footprint, we strengthen our position against that kind of protectionism – and the government is working to lower the footprint in many ways.