1. The Democrats The Sprint that Turned into A Marathon

2. The Rules Matter  Proportional Representation with a 15% threshold  There is a prize for second place  Once you get a lead, it is hard to lose it

3. The Democratic Field  Those who didn’t run  Those who ran, but had not chance  Those who mattered

4. Those Who Didn’t Run  Gore  Kerry  Mark Warner  Evan Bayh

5. Those Who Had Little Chance  Dennis Kucinich  Mike Gravel

6. Other Also Rans  Chris Dodd  Bill Richardson

7. Joe Biden

8. The Top Tier- Those Who Mattered  Hillary Clinton  Barack Obama  John Edwards

9. John Edwards

10. Hillary Clinton- Advantages  Fundraising  Name Recognition  Experience

11. Hillary Clinton- Disadvantages  Polarizing  Iraq Vote  The Clinton Years

12. Obama in 2004, A Rise from Obscurity  Benefits from A Primary and General Election Scandal  Steals the Show at the 2004 Democratic Convention

13. Obama’s Strengths and Weaknesses  Strengths  Weaknesses

14. THE INVISIBLE PRIMARY

15. The Early Money Game  Clinton and Obama Forgo public money  Advantages of this for the candidates

16. Clinton’s Money Strategy  Scare off Potential Rivals  Control the debate through spending  Use the expected early victory to reload

17. Why the Clinton Strategy fails  Obama almost matches her 2007 Haul  How Obama does it

18. Delegate Strategy  Obama’s Strategy  Clinton’s Strategy

19. Electoral Bases  Obama Younger voters Upper-income voters Liberals and Netroots African-Americans  Clinton Women Lower & Middle Class Hispanics Originally African- Americans

20. Obama’s Message  About Himself  About Clinton

21. Clinton’s Message  About Herself  About Obama

22. December 31, 2007  Clinton Leads by 17% Nationwide  Obama on the Rise  Obama Leads in Some Iowa Polls

23. THE CAMPAIGN BEGINS (Finally)

24. The Iowa Results

25. Iowa- Why Obama Wins  Obama Outworks Clinton  Enthusiasm and Turnout were high

26. The Fallout  The Losers Leave  This is a disaster for Clinton  The Rocky IV AnalogyAnalogy

27. New Hampshire  Some said this was Clinton’s Last chance  Clinton Comes back hard on Obama

28. The New Hampshire Primary

29. The Results  Clinton Regains Her Base  Richardson is done  Edward’s is now the 3 rd of 3 candidates

30. S.C. and the Change in African- American support  Obama wins by 28 Points  Edward’s drops out  African American support tilts to Obama  The Clintons get angry

31. Nevada, Michigan and Florida  Clinton wins Michigan and Florida, but no one cares  Clinton wins Nevada, but loses the delegate count

32. Super Tuesday: The supposed Clinton Coronation.  Obama wins 13 states  Clinton Wins more votes but fewer Delegates  No knockout blow  Clinton Trails by 55 delegates at days end

33. The Clinton Camp in Disarray  No Money  No Strategy

34. March 4 th : Clinton’s last chance  February Belongs to Obama  Texas and Ohio  American meets William Ayers

35. The 3:00 AM Ad

36. March 4 th favors Clinton  Popular vote wins in Both States  BUT Marginal delegate gains

37. The Final Months  Jeremiah Wright and the Speech on RaceWright  Proportional Representation  Clinton’s Last Grasp

38. Putting Superdelegates to the Test  Obama’s belief  Clinton’s Counter  The Last Day of Voting

39. How Obama Won  Money  Knowing the Rules

41. How Obama Won- Caucuses  Advantages  Results

43. The Advantage of the Long Campaign  Scrutiny  Kept him in the News  Tested his leadership  Made the party enthusiastic