1. GAME ON: Election 2004 A Few Reminders:  Democrat Convention in Boston July 26-29  Republican Convention in NYC August 30-September 2  Election Day November 2, 2004  Not a national election—state by state Electoral college: 270 to win Bush beat Gore 271-266 (DC elector (D) abstained) If all states fell as they did that night Bush would win 278 electoral votes  [that means more than just WV (5) or NH (4) must move]  Close calls:  Gore wins in NM, WI, IA, OR  Bush in FL, NH, OH, WV  Buchanan and Nader in FL Swing states: FL, PA, OH, MI, WI, MO, IA, MN, NH, ME, WV, OR, NV, NM, AZ, or 163 swing electoral votes Bush = 196 solid, Dems = 179 solid Katharine Q. Seelye, “Shift in States May Give Bush Electoral Edge,” New York Times, December 2, 2003, p. A24. http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/02/national/02ELEC.html Robert David Sullivan, “Beyond Red and Blue,” Commonwealth, Winter 2003 online exclusive. http://www.massinc.org/commonwealth/new_map_exclusive/b eyond_red_blue.html Kerry vs. Bush  Core voters and Swing voters  Help Wanted  Turnout  Veeps: who and when?  Key role of Ohio?  OBL Factor

2. 2000 Electoral Map Bush = Blue

3. 2000 County Results

4. Resize the Map: So Close

5. Wow. Do it again?

6. Pick your state(s)…

7. Veep-Stakes